默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chambéry v Grenoble

开赛时间： 2026-11-12 18:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

20 家博彩公司 (5 家纳入分析 )

11%

74%

15%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chambéry (主队)

预测 10.76%9.29公平赔率

EV +50.70%

优势 +3.62%

Kelly +3.90%

增长率 +1.98%

假设最高赔率为 14.00

博彩公司预测分布

6.47%10.84%10.48%11.71%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

7.7510.559.0014.0012.90%9.48%11.11%7.14%最小值均值中位数最大值

Grenoble (客队)

预测 73.80%1.35公平赔率

EV -6.27%

优势 -4.94%

Kelly -23.23%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.27

博彩公司预测分布

72.28%74.00%74.04%80.12%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.131.201.211.2788.50%83.06%82.64%78.74%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 15.44%6.48公平赔率

EV +8.05%

优势 +1.15%

Kelly +1.34%

增长率 +0.108%

假设最高赔率为 7.00

博彩公司预测分布

13.27%15.16%15.49%16.43%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

5.506.326.007.0018.18%15.82%16.67%14.29%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Chambéry (主队)：10.76%；Grenoble (客队)：73.80%；平局：15.44%。对于“Chambéry (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为9.29。当时有8家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为14.00，对应+50.70%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (20 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	平局	利润率	更新时间
Unibet🎯	14.00I 7.14%NM 6.64%EV +50.70%E +3.62%K +3.90%G +1.98%	1.16I 86.21%NM 80.09%EV -14.39%E -12.41%K -89.94%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV +8.05%E +1.15%K +1.34%G +0.108%	7.6%	2026-11-12 15:59
Unibet (SE)🎯	14.00I 7.14%NM 6.64%EV +50.70%E +3.62%K +3.90%G +1.98%	1.16I 86.21%NM 80.09%EV -14.39%E -12.41%K -89.94%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV +8.05%E +1.15%K +1.34%G +0.108%	7.6%	2026-11-12 16:00
Grosvenor🎯	14.00I 7.14%NM 6.64%EV +50.70%E +3.62%K +3.90%G +1.98%	1.16I 86.21%NM 80.09%EV -14.39%E -12.41%K -89.94%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV +8.05%E +1.15%K +1.34%G +0.108%	7.6%	2026-11-12 16:00
Svenska Spel🎯	14.00I 7.14%NM 6.64%EV +50.70%E +3.62%K +3.90%G +1.98%	1.16I 86.21%NM 80.09%EV -14.39%E -12.41%K -89.94%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV +8.05%E +1.15%K +1.34%G +0.108%	7.6%	2026-11-12 16:00
ATG (SE)🎯	14.00I 7.14%NM 6.64%EV +50.70%E +3.62%K +3.90%G +1.98%	1.16I 86.21%NM 80.09%EV -14.39%E -12.41%K -89.94%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV +8.05%E +1.15%K +1.34%G +0.108%	7.6%	2026-11-12 15:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	14.00I 7.14%NM 6.51%EV +50.70%E +3.62%K +3.90%G +1.98%	1.14I 87.72%NM 79.98%EV -15.87%E -13.92%K -113.33%G +0.000%	6.75I 14.81%NM 13.51%EV +4.19%E +0.620%K +0.728%G +0.030%	9.7%	2026-11-12 16:00
Virgin Bet🎯	14.00I 7.14%NM 6.47%EV +50.70%E +3.62%K +3.90%G +1.98%	1.13I 88.50%NM 80.12%EV -16.60%E -14.69%K -127.73%G +0.000%	6.75I 14.81%NM 13.41%EV +4.19%E +0.620%K +0.728%G +0.030%	10.5%	2026-11-12 16:00
LiveScore Bet🎯	14.00I 7.14%NM 6.47%EV +50.70%E +3.62%K +3.90%G +1.98%	1.13I 88.50%NM 80.12%EV -16.60%E -14.69%K -127.73%G +0.000%	6.75I 14.81%NM 13.41%EV +4.19%E +0.620%K +0.728%G +0.030%	10.5%	2026-11-12 15:59
Codere (IT)🎯	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV -3.12%E -0.347%K -0.391%G +0.000%	1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.27%E -4.94%K -23.23%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -7.39%E -1.23%K -1.48%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-11-12 17:50
Unibet (UK)🎯	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -3.12%E -0.347%K -0.391%G +0.000%	1.25I 80.00%NM 73.73%EV -7.75%E -6.20%K -30.99%G +0.000%	5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -11.25%E -1.96%K -2.37%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-11-12 17:50
betfred_uk🎯	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -3.12%E -0.347%K -0.391%G +0.000%	1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -9.96%E -8.17%K -45.29%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -7.39%E -1.23%K -1.48%G +0.000%	9.7%	2026-11-12 17:50
Bet Victor🎯	8.50I 11.76%NM 10.46%EV -8.51%E -1.00%K -1.13%G +0.000%	1.20I 83.33%NM 74.08%EV -11.44%E -9.53%K -57.19%G +0.000%	5.75I 17.39%NM 15.46%EV -11.25%E -1.96%K -2.37%G +0.000%	12.5%	2026-11-12 17:14
William Hill🎯	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -13.89%E -1.74%K -1.98%G +0.000%	1.25I 80.00%NM 73.28%EV -7.75%E -6.20%K -30.99%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -7.39%E -1.23%K -1.48%G +0.000%	9.2%	2026-11-12 17:50
888sport🎯	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -13.89%E -1.74%K -1.98%G +0.000%	1.25I 80.00%NM 73.28%EV -7.75%E -6.20%K -30.99%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -7.39%E -1.23%K -1.48%G +0.000%	9.2%	2026-11-12 17:50
888sport (SE)🎯	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -13.89%E -1.74%K -1.98%G +0.000%	1.25I 80.00%NM 73.28%EV -7.75%E -6.20%K -30.99%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -7.39%E -1.23%K -1.48%G +0.000%	9.2%	2026-11-12 17:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -13.89%E -1.74%K -1.98%G +0.000%	1.25I 80.00%NM 73.28%EV -7.75%E -6.20%K -30.99%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -7.39%E -1.23%K -1.48%G +0.000%	9.2%	2026-11-12 17:50
Coral🎯	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.29%EV -13.89%E -1.74%K -1.98%G +0.000%	1.25I 80.00%NM 72.28%EV -7.75%E -6.20%K -30.99%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -15.11%E -2.75%K -3.36%G +0.000%	10.7%	2026-11-12 17:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.29%EV -13.89%E -1.74%K -1.98%G +0.000%	1.25I 80.00%NM 72.28%EV -7.75%E -6.20%K -30.99%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -15.11%E -2.75%K -3.36%G +0.000%	10.7%	2026-11-12 17:50
Pinnacle🎯	7.76I 12.89%NM 11.60%EV -16.47%E -2.12%K -2.44%G +0.000%	1.20I 83.33%NM 74.99%EV -11.44%E -9.53%K -57.19%G +0.000%	6.71I 14.90%NM 13.41%EV +3.57%E +0.532%K +0.625%G +0.022%	11.1%	2026-11-12 17:15
Winamax (DE)🎯	7.75I 12.90%NM 11.71%EV -16.58%E -2.14%K -2.46%G +0.000%	1.24I 80.65%NM 73.17%EV -8.49%E -6.84%K -35.36%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -7.39%E -1.23%K -1.48%G +0.000%	10.2%	2026-11-12 17:50

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

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