Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.75
assuming max odds 4.82
assuming max odds 4.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: VPS Vaasa (Local): 54.63%; TPS Turku (Visit): 20.69%; Draw: 24.68%. For TPS Turku (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.83. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.82, with an expected value of -0.297%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.39%EV -4.39%E -2.51%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.85%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.92%EV -5.72%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 10:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.39%EV -4.39%E -2.51%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.85%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.92%EV -5.72%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 10:24 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.39%E -2.51%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.48I 22.32%NM 21.07%EV -7.33%E -1.64%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.98%EV -6.71%E -1.78%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 14:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.54%EV -4.94%E -2.84%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 4.82I 20.75%NM 20.05%EV -0.297%E -0.062%K -0.078%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.41%EV -2.27%E -0.573%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-14 14:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.96%EV -4.94%E -2.84%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -8.98%E -2.04%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.71%EV -6.22%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-14 14:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.77%EV -4.94%E -2.84%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.17%EV -12.71%E -3.01%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.05%EV -4.00%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 14:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.79%EV -5.48%E -3.17%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.39%EV -10.02%E -2.30%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -7.45%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-14 14:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.92%EV -6.03%E -3.50%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.04%EV -0.711%E -0.148%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.04%EV -1.28%E -0.320%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-14 09:28 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -6.03%E -3.50%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -6.92%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -6.22%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-14 14:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -6.03%E -3.50%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -8.98%E -2.04%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -11.15%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-14 14:48 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -6.03%E -3.50%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -8.98%E -2.04%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -11.15%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-14 14:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.07%EV -6.57%E -3.84%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -4.85%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -4.98%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-14 14:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.63%EV -6.57%E -3.84%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.58%EV -12.09%E -2.84%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -8.68%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-14 14:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.63%EV -6.57%E -3.84%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.58%EV -12.09%E -2.84%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -8.68%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-14 09:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.92%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.52%EV -5.88%E -1.29%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -6.22%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-14 14:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.17%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.27%EV -10.43%E -2.41%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -7.45%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-14 14:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -8.98%E -2.04%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -11.15%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-14 14:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -8.98%E -2.04%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -11.15%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-14 14:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -8.98%E -2.04%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -11.15%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-14 14:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -8.98%E -2.04%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -11.15%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-14 14:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.36%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -15.19%E -3.70%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -8.68%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-14 14:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -17.26%E -4.31%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -11.15%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-14 14:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -17.26%E -4.31%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -11.15%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-14 14:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -17.26%E -4.31%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -11.15%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-14 14:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -17.26%E -4.31%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -11.15%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-14 14:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -17.26%E -4.31%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -11.15%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-14 14:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.06%EV -7.67%E -4.54%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -2.78%E -0.591%K -0.751%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.15%EV -8.68%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-14 14:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.72%EV -8.21%E -4.89%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -6.92%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -8.68%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-14 14:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.71%EV -8.21%E -4.89%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.23%EV -12.09%E -2.84%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.06%EV -11.15%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-14 14:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -8.76%E -5.25%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -4.85%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -8.68%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-14 14:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.80%EV -8.76%E -5.25%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -8.98%E -2.04%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -7.45%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-14 14:48 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -8.76%E -5.25%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -10.43%E -2.41%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -6.22%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-14 14:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -8.76%E -5.25%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -10.43%E -2.41%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -6.22%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-14 14:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.61%EV -8.76%E -5.25%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -10.43%E -2.41%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.32%EV -7.45%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-14 14:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -8.76%E -5.25%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -10.43%E -2.41%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.61%EV -13.62%E -3.89%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-14 14:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -8.76%E -5.25%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -17.26%E -4.31%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -11.15%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-14 09:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.27%EV -9.31%E -5.61%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -0.711%E -0.148%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.26%EV -4.98%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-14 08:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.27%EV -9.31%E -5.61%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -0.711%E -0.148%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.26%EV -4.98%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-14 08:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.27%EV -9.31%E -5.61%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -0.711%E -0.148%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.26%EV -4.98%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-14 08:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.27%EV -9.31%E -5.61%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -0.711%E -0.148%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.26%EV -4.98%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-14 08:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.27%EV -9.31%E -5.61%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -0.711%E -0.148%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.26%EV -4.98%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-14 08:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.27%EV -9.31%E -5.61%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -0.711%E -0.148%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.26%EV -4.98%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-14 08:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.27%EV -9.31%E -5.61%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -0.711%E -0.148%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.26%EV -4.98%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-14 08:44 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.27%EV -9.31%E -5.61%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -0.711%E -0.148%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.26%EV -4.98%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-14 08:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.27%EV -9.31%E -5.61%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -0.711%E -0.148%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.26%EV -4.98%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-14 08:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.55%EV -9.85%E -5.97%K -15.16%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -8.98%E -2.04%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.15%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-14 14:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 54.78%EV -10.95%E -6.71%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.76%EV -11.05%E -2.57%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.46%EV -9.92%E -2.72%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-14 14:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.44%EV -11.49%E -7.09%K -18.53%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.37%EV -10.43%E -2.41%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -13.62%E -3.89%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-14 14:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.74%EV -12.58%E -7.87%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.82%EV -6.92%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.44%EV -9.92%E -2.72%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-14 08:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.74%EV -12.58%E -7.87%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.82%EV -6.92%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.44%EV -9.92%E -2.72%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-14 08:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 55.87%EV -13.68%E -8.66%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.62%EV -6.92%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.52%EV -11.15%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-14 14:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 55.87%EV -13.68%E -8.66%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.62%EV -6.92%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.52%EV -11.15%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-14 14:13 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 55.74%EV -15.86%E -10.30%K -29.37%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 19.73%EV -10.02%E -2.30%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.53%EV -13.62%E -3.89%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-08-14 14:14 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.52% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.77% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71% | 1.2% | 2026-08-14 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.52% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.77% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71% | 1.2% | 2026-08-14 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.52% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.77% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71% | 1.2% | 2026-08-14 14:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.52% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.77% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71% | 1.2% | 2026-08-14 14:50 |