Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

VPS Vaasa v TPS Turku

2026-08-14 15:00 UTC — Veikkausliiga - Finland

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

VPS Vaasa (Local)

Prediction 56.73%1.76fair odd
EV -2.99%
Edge -1.75%
Kelly -4.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.06%56.73%56.73%56.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.621.621.7164.52%61.64%61.73%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

TPS Turku (Visit)

Prediction 19.23%5.20fair odd
EV -8.66%
Edge -1.82%
Kelly -2.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.13%19.23%19.23%21.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.654.754.7524.39%21.49%21.05%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.04%4.16fair odd
EV -7.46%
Edge -1.94%
Kelly -2.62%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.88%24.04%24.04%24.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.793.853.8528.57%26.38%25.97%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: VPS Vaasa (Local): 56.73%; TPS Turku (Visit): 19.23%; Draw: 24.04%. For VPS Vaasa (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.76. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.71, with an expected value of -2.99%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.06%EV -2.99%E -1.75%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.41I 22.68%NM 20.96%EV -15.20%E -3.45%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -11.06%E -2.99%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-07 15:25
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.55%E -2.09%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.27%EV -16.74%E -3.87%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -9.86%E -2.63%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-07 15:15
Unibet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.76%EV -8.09%E -5.00%K -13.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -8.66%E -1.82%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -7.46%E -1.94%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-07 15:15
Grosvenor🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.76%EV -8.09%E -5.00%K -13.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -8.66%E -1.82%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -7.46%E -1.94%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-07 15:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.76%EV -8.09%E -5.00%K -13.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -8.66%E -1.82%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -7.46%E -1.94%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-07 15:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.76%EV -8.09%E -5.00%K -13.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -8.66%E -1.82%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -7.46%E -1.94%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-07 15:15
TABtouch🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.76%EV -8.09%E -5.00%K -13.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -8.66%E -1.82%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -7.46%E -1.94%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-07 15:15
Casumo🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.76%EV -8.09%E -5.00%K -13.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -8.66%E -1.82%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -7.46%E -1.94%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-07 15:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.76%EV -8.09%E -5.00%K -13.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -8.66%E -1.82%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -7.46%E -1.94%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-07 15:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.76%EV -8.09%E -5.00%K -13.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -8.66%E -1.82%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -7.46%E -1.94%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-07 15:15
betPARX🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.76%EV -8.09%E -5.00%K -13.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -8.66%E -1.82%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -7.46%E -1.94%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-07 15:13
BetRivers🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -8.66%E -5.38%K -14.20%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.23%EV -8.66%E -1.82%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.66%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-07 15:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -8.66%E -5.38%K -14.20%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.23%EV -8.66%E -1.82%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.66%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-07 15:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.62%EV -8.66%E -5.38%K -14.20%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -9.62%E -2.05%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.99%EV -8.66%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-07 15:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.62%EV -8.66%E -5.38%K -14.20%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -9.62%E -2.05%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.99%EV -8.66%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-07 15:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 54.13%EV -9.23%E -5.77%K -15.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.12%EV -21.16%E -5.16%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.75%EV -15.87%E -4.53%K -6.35%G +0.000%15.5%2026-08-07 15:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 56.77%EV -12.06%E -7.78%K -21.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.13%EV -11.54%E -2.51%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.11%EV -12.26%E -3.36%K -4.63%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-07 15:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.