Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

VPS Vaasa v TPS Turku

Início: 2026-08-14 15:00 UTC

Final: VPS Vaasa 1–3 TPS Turku

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

VPS Vaasa (Local)

Previsão 54.63%1.83odd justa
EV -4.39%
Vantagem -2.51%
Kelly -5.85%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.71%54.57%54.68%56.27%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.541.681.691.7564.94%59.49%59.17%57.14%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

TPS Turku (Visitante)

Previsão 20.69%4.83odd justa
EV -0.297%
Vantagem -0.062%
Kelly -0.078%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.82

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.46%20.72%20.70%22.40%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.004.454.404.8225.00%22.50%22.73%20.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 24.68%4.05odd justa
EV -1.28%
Vantagem -0.320%
Kelly -0.427%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.04%24.70%24.63%25.61%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.503.723.704.0028.57%26.90%27.03%25.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: VPS Vaasa (Local): 54.63%; TPS Turku (Visitante): 20.69%; Empate: 24.68%. Para TPS Turku (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.83. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 4.82, com valor esperado de -0.297%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
BetOnline.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.39%EV -4.39%E -2.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.85%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.92%EV -5.72%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 10:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.39%EV -4.39%E -2.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.85%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.92%EV -5.72%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 10:24
GTbets🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.39%E -2.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.48I 22.32%NM 21.07%EV -7.33%E -1.64%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.98%EV -6.71%E -1.78%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 14:40
Pinnacle🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.54%EV -4.94%E -2.84%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 20.05%EV -0.297%E -0.062%K -0.078%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.41%EV -2.27%E -0.573%K -0.766%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-14 14:50
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.96%EV -4.94%E -2.84%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -8.98%E -2.04%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.71%EV -6.22%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-14 14:19
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.77%EV -4.94%E -2.84%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.17%EV -12.71%E -3.01%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.05%EV -4.00%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 14:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.79%EV -5.48%E -3.17%K -7.51%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.39%EV -10.02%E -2.30%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -7.45%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-14 14:19
Coolbet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.92%EV -6.03%E -3.50%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.04%EV -0.711%E -0.148%K -0.187%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.04%EV -1.28%E -0.320%K -0.427%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-14 09:28
Bovada🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -6.03%E -3.50%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -6.92%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -6.22%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 14:19
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -6.03%E -3.50%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -8.98%E -2.04%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -11.15%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-14 14:48
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -6.03%E -3.50%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -8.98%E -2.04%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -11.15%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-14 14:49
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.07%EV -6.57%E -3.84%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -4.85%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -4.98%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-14 14:19
Bet Right🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.63%EV -6.57%E -3.84%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.58%EV -12.09%E -2.84%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -8.68%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-14 14:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.63%EV -6.57%E -3.84%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.58%EV -12.09%E -2.84%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -8.68%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-14 09:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.92%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.52%EV -5.88%E -1.29%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -6.22%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 14:54
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.17%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.27%EV -10.43%E -2.41%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -7.45%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-14 14:19
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -8.98%E -2.04%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -11.15%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-14 14:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -8.98%E -2.04%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -11.15%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-14 14:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -8.98%E -2.04%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -11.15%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-14 14:19
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -8.98%E -2.04%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -11.15%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-14 14:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.36%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -15.19%E -3.70%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -8.68%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-14 14:29
betfred_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -17.26%E -4.31%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -11.15%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-14 14:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -17.26%E -4.31%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -11.15%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-14 14:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -17.26%E -4.31%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -11.15%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-14 14:20
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -17.26%E -4.31%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -11.15%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-14 14:19
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -17.26%E -4.31%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -11.15%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-14 14:20
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.06%EV -7.67%E -4.54%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -2.78%E -0.591%K -0.751%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.15%EV -8.68%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-14 14:24
SportsBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.72%EV -8.21%E -4.89%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -6.92%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -8.68%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-14 14:54
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.71%EV -8.21%E -4.89%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.23%EV -12.09%E -2.84%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.06%EV -11.15%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-14 14:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -8.76%E -5.25%K -13.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -4.85%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -8.68%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-14 14:54
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.80%EV -8.76%E -5.25%K -13.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -8.98%E -2.04%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -7.45%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-14 14:48
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -8.76%E -5.25%K -13.07%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -10.43%E -2.41%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -6.22%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-14 14:49
BetUS🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -8.76%E -5.25%K -13.07%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -10.43%E -2.41%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -6.22%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-14 14:54
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.61%EV -8.76%E -5.25%K -13.07%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -10.43%E -2.41%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.32%EV -7.45%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-14 14:54
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -8.76%E -5.25%K -13.07%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -10.43%E -2.41%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.61%EV -13.62%E -3.89%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-14 14:24
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -8.76%E -5.25%K -13.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -17.26%E -4.31%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -11.15%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-14 09:15
Unibet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.27%EV -9.31%E -5.61%K -14.10%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -0.711%E -0.148%K -0.187%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.26%EV -4.98%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-14 08:40
Grosvenor🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.27%EV -9.31%E -5.61%K -14.10%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -0.711%E -0.148%K -0.187%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.26%EV -4.98%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-14 08:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.27%EV -9.31%E -5.61%K -14.10%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -0.711%E -0.148%K -0.187%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.26%EV -4.98%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-14 08:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.27%EV -9.31%E -5.61%K -14.10%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -0.711%E -0.148%K -0.187%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.26%EV -4.98%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-14 08:40
TABtouch🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.27%EV -9.31%E -5.61%K -14.10%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -0.711%E -0.148%K -0.187%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.26%EV -4.98%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-14 08:40
Casumo🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.27%EV -9.31%E -5.61%K -14.10%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -0.711%E -0.148%K -0.187%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.26%EV -4.98%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-14 08:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.27%EV -9.31%E -5.61%K -14.10%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -0.711%E -0.148%K -0.187%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.26%EV -4.98%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-14 08:44
ATG (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.27%EV -9.31%E -5.61%K -14.10%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -0.711%E -0.148%K -0.187%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.26%EV -4.98%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-14 08:40
betPARX🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.27%EV -9.31%E -5.61%K -14.10%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -0.711%E -0.148%K -0.187%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.26%EV -4.98%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-14 08:45
Paddy Power🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.55%EV -9.85%E -5.97%K -15.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -8.98%E -2.04%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.15%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-14 14:54
Unibet (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.78%EV -10.95%E -6.71%K -17.37%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.76%EV -11.05%E -2.57%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.46%EV -9.92%E -2.72%K -3.74%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-14 14:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.44%EV -11.49%E -7.09%K -18.53%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.37%EV -10.43%E -2.41%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -13.62%E -3.89%K -5.45%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-14 14:54
BetRivers🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.74%EV -12.58%E -7.87%K -20.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.82%EV -6.92%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.44%EV -9.92%E -2.72%K -3.74%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-14 08:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.74%EV -12.58%E -7.87%K -20.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.82%EV -6.92%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.44%EV -9.92%E -2.72%K -3.74%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-14 08:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 55.87%EV -13.68%E -8.66%K -23.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.62%EV -6.92%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.52%EV -11.15%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-14 14:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 55.87%EV -13.68%E -8.66%K -23.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.62%EV -6.92%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.52%EV -11.15%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-14 14:13
PMU (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 55.74%EV -15.86%E -10.30%K -29.37%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 19.73%EV -10.02%E -2.30%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.53%EV -13.62%E -3.89%K -5.45%G +0.000%16.5%2026-08-14 14:14
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.52%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.77%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%1.2%2026-08-14 14:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.52%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.77%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%1.2%2026-08-14 14:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.52%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.77%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%1.2%2026-08-14 14:30
Matchbook◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.52%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.77%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%1.2%2026-08-14 14:50