Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

VPS Vaasa v KuPS Kuopio

Kickoff: 2026-09-19 13:59 UTC

Final: VPS Vaasa 0–2 KuPS Kuopio

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

VPS Vaasa (Local)

Prediction 30.49%3.28fair odd
EV +3.66%
Edge +1.08%
Kelly +1.53%
Growth +0.056%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.21%30.34%30.40%32.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.013.003.4035.71%33.26%33.33%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

KuPS Kuopio (Visit)

Prediction 41.93%2.39fair odd
EV -4.41%
Edge -1.93%
Kelly -3.44%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.78%42.09%41.93%43.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.192.202.2850.00%45.74%45.45%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.58%3.63fair odd
EV -3.18%
Edge -0.906%
Kelly -1.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.51

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.35%27.57%27.67%28.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.313.303.5132.79%30.22%30.30%28.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: VPS Vaasa (Local): 30.49%; KuPS Kuopio (Visit): 41.93%; Draw: 27.58%. For VPS Vaasa (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.28. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.66%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.21%EV +3.66%E +1.08%K +1.53%G +0.056%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -7.76%E -3.53%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.21%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-15 22:35
Pinnacle🎯3.16I 31.65%NM 30.43%EV -3.66%E -1.16%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.17%EV -4.41%E -1.93%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.40%EV -3.18%E -0.906%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-18 15:10
DraftKings🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -3.96%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -7.76%E -3.53%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -4.83%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 14:00
LowVig.ag🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.46%EV -5.49%E -1.77%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.78%EV -5.25%E -2.32%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 15:10
BetOnline.ag🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.46%EV -5.49%E -1.77%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.78%EV -5.25%E -2.32%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 15:10
BetAnything🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.46%EV -5.49%E -1.77%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.78%EV -5.25%E -2.32%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 15:13
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -5.49%E -1.77%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.66%E -2.52%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-16 14:05
Bovada🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -5.49%E -1.77%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -7.76%E -3.53%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -4.83%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 03:01
BetUS🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -5.49%E -1.77%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -7.76%E -3.53%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -4.83%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 03:04
GTbets🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.07%EV -5.49%E -1.77%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.43%EV -5.66%E -2.52%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 28.50%EV -9.80%E -3.00%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-18 03:04
Marathon Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -5.49%E -1.77%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.93%EV -6.92%E -3.12%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.04%EV -8.42%E -2.54%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 15:30
1xBet🎯3.09I 32.36%NM 30.27%EV -5.79%E -1.87%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -5.66%E -2.52%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.17%EV -8.42%E -2.54%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-18 15:14
Unibet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -7.01%E -2.30%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -6.50%E -2.92%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -7.59%E -2.27%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-16 08:25
Casumo🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -7.01%E -2.30%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -6.50%E -2.92%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -7.59%E -2.27%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-16 08:25
Unibet (NL)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -7.01%E -2.30%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -6.50%E -2.92%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -7.59%E -2.27%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-16 08:25
Grosvenor🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -7.01%E -2.30%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -6.50%E -2.92%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -7.59%E -2.27%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-16 08:25
Unibet (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -7.01%E -2.30%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -6.50%E -2.92%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -7.59%E -2.27%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-16 08:25
Svenska Spel🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -7.01%E -2.30%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -6.50%E -2.92%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -7.59%E -2.27%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-16 08:25
ATG (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -7.01%E -2.30%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -6.50%E -2.92%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -7.59%E -2.27%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-16 08:25
betPARX🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -7.01%E -2.30%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -6.50%E -2.92%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -7.59%E -2.27%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-16 08:25
TABtouch🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -7.01%E -2.30%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -6.50%E -2.92%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -7.59%E -2.27%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-16 08:25
NordicBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -7.01%E -2.30%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.66%EV -6.92%E -3.12%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -8.97%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-18 15:10
Betsson🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -7.01%E -2.30%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.66%EV -6.92%E -3.12%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -8.97%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-18 15:10
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.53%E -2.84%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.76%E -3.53%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-18 00:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.53%E -2.84%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.76%E -3.53%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-18 03:00
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.53%E -2.84%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.76%E -3.53%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-18 15:10
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -8.53%E -2.84%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -9.86%E -4.58%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -3.45%E -0.987%K -1.38%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-18 14:05
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.53%E -2.84%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.76%E -3.53%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.97%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-18 15:14
betano_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.53%E -2.84%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.76%E -3.53%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.97%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-18 15:15
Bet Right🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.53%E -2.84%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -9.86%E -4.58%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-18 03:00
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.53%E -2.84%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.76%E -3.53%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.35%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-18 15:10
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.53%E -2.84%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.76%E -3.53%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.35%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-18 15:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.53%E -2.84%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.76%E -3.53%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.35%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-18 15:10
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.53%E -2.84%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.76%E -3.53%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.35%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-18 15:10
SportsBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -8.53%E -2.84%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.91%EV -11.11%E -5.24%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-18 03:00
LeoVegas🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -8.53%E -2.84%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.71%EV -8.60%E -3.94%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -10.35%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-15 12:05
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -8.53%E -2.84%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -9.86%E -4.58%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.35%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 14:15
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.53%E -2.84%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -11.95%E -5.69%K -10.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -8.97%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-18 02:59
Betr (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -10.06%E -3.41%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.01%EV -9.86%E -4.58%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -8.97%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-18 14:05
Neds🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.58%E -3.99%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.86%E -4.58%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -11.73%E -3.67%K -5.33%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-18 00:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.58%E -3.99%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.86%E -4.58%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -11.73%E -3.67%K -5.33%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-18 00:35
Coral🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.58%E -3.99%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.86%E -4.58%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -11.73%E -3.67%K -5.33%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-18 00:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.58%E -3.99%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.86%E -4.58%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -11.73%E -3.67%K -5.33%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-18 00:35
Sky Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -11.58%E -3.99%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -11.95%E -5.69%K -10.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -10.35%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-18 03:00
BetRivers🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -11.58%E -3.99%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 41.37%EV -10.28%E -4.80%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.10%EV -13.11%E -4.16%K -6.10%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-16 08:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -11.58%E -3.99%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 41.37%EV -10.28%E -4.80%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.10%EV -13.11%E -4.16%K -6.10%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-16 08:25
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -12.19%E -4.23%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -9.86%E -4.58%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -8.97%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-18 03:00
BoyleSports🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.70%EV -12.19%E -4.23%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.10%EV -11.95%E -5.69%K -10.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.20%EV -10.35%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-15 19:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.56%EV -12.19%E -4.23%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.51%EV -11.11%E -5.24%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.94%EV -13.11%E -4.16%K -6.10%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-16 08:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.56%EV -12.19%E -4.23%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.51%EV -11.11%E -5.24%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.94%EV -13.11%E -4.16%K -6.10%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-16 08:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 29.90%EV -13.11%E -4.60%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.61%EV -16.15%E -8.07%K -16.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.49%EV -14.49%E -4.67%K -6.90%G +0.000%17.3%2026-09-18 14:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -14.63%E -5.23%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -7.76%E -3.53%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -8.97%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-14 17:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 30.45%EV -14.63%E -5.23%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 41.59%EV -14.05%E -6.85%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.96%EV -15.87%E -5.20%K -7.74%G +0.000%17.3%2026-09-16 08:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.04%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.08%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.89%2.4%2026-09-18 15:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 29.47%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.92%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.61%2.8%2026-09-18 15:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 29.47%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.92%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.61%2.8%2026-09-18 15:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 29.79%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.73%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.48%3.3%2026-09-18 15:25