La escuela de los momiosmomios.info
Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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VPS Vaasa v KuPS Kuopio

Inicio: 2026-09-19 13:59 UTC

Final: VPS Vaasa 0–2 KuPS Kuopio

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

VPS Vaasa (Local)

Predicción 30.49%3.28momio equitativo
EV +3.66%
Ventaja +1.08%
Kelly +1.53%
Crecimiento +0.056%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.21%30.34%30.40%32.04%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.803.013.003.4035.71%33.26%33.33%29.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

KuPS Kuopio (Visitante)

Predicción 41.93%2.39momio equitativo
EV -4.41%
Ventaja -1.93%
Kelly -3.44%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.28

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.78%42.09%41.93%43.59%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.002.192.202.2850.00%45.74%45.45%43.86%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 27.58%3.63momio equitativo
EV -3.18%
Ventaja -0.906%
Kelly -1.27%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.51

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.35%27.57%27.67%28.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.053.313.303.5132.79%30.22%30.30%28.49%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: VPS Vaasa (Local): 30.49%; KuPS Kuopio (Visitante): 41.93%; Empate: 27.58%. Para VPS Vaasa (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.28. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.40, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +3.66%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.21%EV +3.66%E +1.08%K +1.53%G +0.056%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -7.76%E -3.53%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.21%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-15 22:35
Pinnacle🎯3.16I 31.65%NM 30.43%EV -3.66%E -1.16%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.17%EV -4.41%E -1.93%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.40%EV -3.18%E -0.906%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-18 15:10
DraftKings🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -3.96%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -7.76%E -3.53%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -4.83%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 14:00
LowVig.ag🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.46%EV -5.49%E -1.77%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.78%EV -5.25%E -2.32%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 15:10
BetOnline.ag🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.46%EV -5.49%E -1.77%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.78%EV -5.25%E -2.32%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 15:10
BetAnything🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.46%EV -5.49%E -1.77%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.78%EV -5.25%E -2.32%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 15:13
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -5.49%E -1.77%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.66%E -2.52%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-16 14:05
Bovada🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -5.49%E -1.77%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -7.76%E -3.53%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -4.83%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 03:01
BetUS🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -5.49%E -1.77%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -7.76%E -3.53%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -4.83%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 03:04
GTbets🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.07%EV -5.49%E -1.77%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.43%EV -5.66%E -2.52%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 28.50%EV -9.80%E -3.00%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-18 03:04
Marathon Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -5.49%E -1.77%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.93%EV -6.92%E -3.12%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.04%EV -8.42%E -2.54%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 15:30
1xBet🎯3.09I 32.36%NM 30.27%EV -5.79%E -1.87%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -5.66%E -2.52%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.17%EV -8.42%E -2.54%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-18 15:14
Unibet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -7.01%E -2.30%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -6.50%E -2.92%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -7.59%E -2.27%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-16 08:25
Casumo🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -7.01%E -2.30%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -6.50%E -2.92%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -7.59%E -2.27%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-16 08:25
Unibet (NL)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -7.01%E -2.30%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -6.50%E -2.92%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -7.59%E -2.27%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-16 08:25
Grosvenor🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -7.01%E -2.30%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -6.50%E -2.92%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -7.59%E -2.27%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-16 08:25
Unibet (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -7.01%E -2.30%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -6.50%E -2.92%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -7.59%E -2.27%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-16 08:25
Svenska Spel🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -7.01%E -2.30%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -6.50%E -2.92%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -7.59%E -2.27%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-16 08:25
ATG (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -7.01%E -2.30%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -6.50%E -2.92%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -7.59%E -2.27%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-16 08:25
betPARX🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -7.01%E -2.30%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -6.50%E -2.92%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -7.59%E -2.27%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-16 08:25
TABtouch🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -7.01%E -2.30%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -6.50%E -2.92%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -7.59%E -2.27%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-16 08:25
NordicBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -7.01%E -2.30%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.66%EV -6.92%E -3.12%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -8.97%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-18 15:10
Betsson🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -7.01%E -2.30%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.66%EV -6.92%E -3.12%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -8.97%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-18 15:10
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.53%E -2.84%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.76%E -3.53%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-18 00:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.53%E -2.84%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.76%E -3.53%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-18 03:00
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.53%E -2.84%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.76%E -3.53%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-18 15:10
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -8.53%E -2.84%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -9.86%E -4.58%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -3.45%E -0.987%K -1.38%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-18 14:05
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.53%E -2.84%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.76%E -3.53%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.97%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-18 15:14
betano_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.53%E -2.84%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.76%E -3.53%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.97%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-18 15:15
Bet Right🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.53%E -2.84%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -9.86%E -4.58%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-18 03:00
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.53%E -2.84%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.76%E -3.53%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.35%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-18 15:10
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.53%E -2.84%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.76%E -3.53%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.35%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-18 15:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.53%E -2.84%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.76%E -3.53%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.35%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-18 15:10
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.53%E -2.84%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.76%E -3.53%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.35%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-18 15:10
SportsBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -8.53%E -2.84%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.91%EV -11.11%E -5.24%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-18 03:00
LeoVegas🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -8.53%E -2.84%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.71%EV -8.60%E -3.94%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -10.35%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-15 12:05
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -8.53%E -2.84%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -9.86%E -4.58%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.35%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 14:15
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.53%E -2.84%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -11.95%E -5.69%K -10.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -8.97%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-18 02:59
Betr (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -10.06%E -3.41%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.01%EV -9.86%E -4.58%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -8.97%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-18 14:05
Neds🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.58%E -3.99%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.86%E -4.58%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -11.73%E -3.67%K -5.33%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-18 00:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.58%E -3.99%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.86%E -4.58%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -11.73%E -3.67%K -5.33%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-18 00:35
Coral🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.58%E -3.99%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.86%E -4.58%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -11.73%E -3.67%K -5.33%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-18 00:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.58%E -3.99%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.86%E -4.58%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -11.73%E -3.67%K -5.33%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-18 00:35
Sky Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -11.58%E -3.99%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -11.95%E -5.69%K -10.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -10.35%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-18 03:00
BetRivers🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -11.58%E -3.99%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 41.37%EV -10.28%E -4.80%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.10%EV -13.11%E -4.16%K -6.10%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-16 08:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -11.58%E -3.99%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 41.37%EV -10.28%E -4.80%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.10%EV -13.11%E -4.16%K -6.10%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-16 08:25
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -12.19%E -4.23%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -9.86%E -4.58%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -8.97%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-18 03:00
BoyleSports🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.70%EV -12.19%E -4.23%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.10%EV -11.95%E -5.69%K -10.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.20%EV -10.35%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-15 19:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.56%EV -12.19%E -4.23%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.51%EV -11.11%E -5.24%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.94%EV -13.11%E -4.16%K -6.10%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-16 08:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.56%EV -12.19%E -4.23%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.51%EV -11.11%E -5.24%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.94%EV -13.11%E -4.16%K -6.10%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-16 08:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 29.90%EV -13.11%E -4.60%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.61%EV -16.15%E -8.07%K -16.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.49%EV -14.49%E -4.67%K -6.90%G +0.000%17.3%2026-09-18 14:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -14.63%E -5.23%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -7.76%E -3.53%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -8.97%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-14 17:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 30.45%EV -14.63%E -5.23%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 41.59%EV -14.05%E -6.85%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.96%EV -15.87%E -5.20%K -7.74%G +0.000%17.3%2026-09-16 08:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.04%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.08%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.89%2.4%2026-09-18 15:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 29.47%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.92%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.61%2.8%2026-09-18 15:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 29.47%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.92%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.61%2.8%2026-09-18 15:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 29.79%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.73%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.48%3.3%2026-09-18 15:25