Language:English
VPS Vaasa v HJK Helsinki
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
VPS Vaasa (Local)
Prediction 26.66%3.75fair odd
EV +14.64%
Edge +3.41%
Kelly +4.44%
Growth +0.650%
assuming max odds 4.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.68%26.41%26.70%28.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.463.454.3032.26%28.90%28.99%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
HJK Helsinki (Visit)
Prediction 47.10%2.12fair odd
EV -3.45%
Edge -1.68%
Kelly -3.28%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.45%47.33%47.10%52.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.791.941.952.0555.87%51.42%51.28%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.24%3.81fair odd
EV -2.91%
Edge -0.787%
Kelly -1.08%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.65%26.26%26.20%27.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.483.503.7033.33%28.77%28.57%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: VPS Vaasa (Local): 26.66%; HJK Helsinki (Visit): 47.10%; Draw: 26.24%. For VPS Vaasa (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.75. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +14.64%.
Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV +14.64%E +3.41%K +4.44%G +0.650% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.75%EV -14.75%E -8.15%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.46%EV -7.11%E -2.01%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-22 15:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV +14.64%E +3.41%K +4.44%G +0.650% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.07%EV -15.69%E -8.77%K -19.86%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.25%EV -6.85%E -1.93%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-22 15:51 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -0.021%E -0.006%K -0.008%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.84%EV -10.04%E -5.26%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -6.85%E -1.93%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-22 15:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.22%EV -1.62%E -0.439%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.20%EV -3.45%E -1.68%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.58%EV -4.49%E -1.23%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-22 15:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.07%EV -2.69%E -0.736%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.86%E -2.41%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.81%EV -6.85%E -1.93%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-22 15:51 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.07%EV -2.69%E -0.736%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.86%E -2.41%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.81%EV -6.85%E -1.93%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-22 15:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.07%EV -2.69%E -0.736%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.86%E -2.41%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.81%EV -6.85%E -1.93%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-22 15:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.07%EV -2.69%E -0.736%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.86%E -2.41%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.81%EV -6.85%E -1.93%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-22 15:51 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.69%EV -4.02%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.34%EV -4.39%E -2.16%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.97%EV -2.91%E -0.787%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-22 15:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57%EV -5.35%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.16%EV -5.80%E -2.90%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.27%EV -5.80%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-22 15:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -5.35%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.02%EV -5.80%E -2.90%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -6.85%E -1.93%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-22 15:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -5.35%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -6.74%E -3.41%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -6.85%E -1.93%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-22 15:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -5.35%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -6.74%E -3.41%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -6.85%E -1.93%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-22 15:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -6.74%E -3.41%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.54%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-22 15:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.80%E -2.90%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.16%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-22 15:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -9.10%E -4.71%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.16%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-22 15:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -8.02%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -6.74%E -3.41%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -5.54%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-22 15:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -8.02%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -7.69%E -3.92%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -9.47%E -2.75%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-22 10:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -8.02%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.94%EV -8.16%E -4.18%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -9.47%E -2.75%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-22 10:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -8.02%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.94%EV -8.16%E -4.18%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -9.47%E -2.75%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-22 10:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -8.02%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.94%EV -8.16%E -4.18%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -9.47%E -2.75%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-22 10:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -8.02%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.94%EV -8.16%E -4.18%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -9.47%E -2.75%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-22 10:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -8.02%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.94%EV -8.16%E -4.18%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -9.47%E -2.75%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-22 10:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -8.02%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.94%EV -8.16%E -4.18%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -9.47%E -2.75%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-22 10:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -8.02%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.94%EV -8.16%E -4.18%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -9.47%E -2.75%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-22 10:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -8.02%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.94%EV -8.16%E -4.18%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -9.47%E -2.75%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-22 10:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -8.02%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.07%EV -8.63%E -4.45%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -9.47%E -2.75%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-22 10:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -8.02%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.07%EV -8.63%E -4.45%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -9.47%E -2.75%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-22 10:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.27%EV -8.02%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.46%EV -10.04%E -5.26%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.27%EV -9.47%E -2.75%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-22 15:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.35%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.16%E -4.18%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.16%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-22 15:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.35%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.16%E -4.18%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.16%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-22 15:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.35%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.16%E -4.18%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.16%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-22 15:51 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.35%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.16%E -4.18%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.16%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-22 15:51 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.35%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.16%E -4.18%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.16%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-22 15:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.35%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.16%E -4.18%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.16%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-22 15:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.35%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.16%E -4.18%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.16%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-22 15:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -9.35%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.88%EV -8.63%E -4.45%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -9.47%E -2.75%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-22 10:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -9.35%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.88%EV -8.63%E -4.45%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -9.47%E -2.75%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-22 10:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -9.35%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.01%EV -9.10%E -4.71%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -9.47%E -2.75%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-22 10:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.35%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.83%EV -9.10%E -4.71%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.78%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-22 15:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -12.02%E -3.64%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -10.04%E -5.26%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -10.78%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-22 15:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -12.02%E -3.64%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -10.04%E -5.26%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -10.78%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-22 15:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -12.02%E -3.64%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -10.04%E -5.26%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -10.78%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-22 15:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -12.02%E -3.64%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -10.04%E -5.26%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -10.78%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-22 15:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -12.02%E -3.64%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -10.04%E -5.26%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -10.78%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-22 15:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -12.02%E -3.64%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.35%EV -10.04%E -5.26%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -13.41%E -4.06%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-22 15:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -12.02%E -3.64%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 46.88%EV -11.92%E -6.38%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -13.41%E -4.06%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-22 10:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.43%EV -12.02%E -3.64%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 47.92%EV -14.28%E -7.85%K -17.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.65%EV -10.78%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-05-22 15:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -13.35%E -4.11%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -5.80%E -2.90%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -6.85%E -1.93%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-22 15:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -13.35%E -4.11%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -5.80%E -2.90%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.16%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-22 15:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.07%EV -13.35%E -4.11%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.05%EV -11.92%E -6.38%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.88%EV -10.78%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-22 15:48 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -14.68%E -4.59%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -8.16%E -4.18%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -8.16%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-22 15:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -14.68%E -4.59%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -8.16%E -4.18%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -8.16%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-22 15:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.83%EV -17.35%E -5.60%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 45.45%EV -13.81%E -7.55%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.72%EV -21.28%E -7.09%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-05-22 15:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04% | 1.1% | 2026-05-22 15:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04% | 1.1% | 2026-05-22 15:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04% | 1.1% | 2026-05-22 15:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.30% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.41% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.30% | 1.4% | 2026-05-22 15:50 |