L’École des cotes

VPS Vaasa v HJK Helsinki

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-22 16:00 UTC

Score final : VPS Vaasa 2–1 HJK Helsinki

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

VPS Vaasa (Local)

Prévision 26.66%3.75cote équitable
EV +14.64%
Avantage +3.41%
Kelly +4.44%
Croissance +0.650%

avec la cote maximale 4.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.68%26.41%26.70%28.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.463.454.3032.26%28.90%28.99%23.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

HJK Helsinki (Visiteur)

Prévision 47.10%2.12cote équitable
EV -3.45%
Avantage -1.68%
Kelly -3.28%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.45%47.33%47.10%52.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.791.941.952.0555.87%51.42%51.28%48.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.24%3.81cote équitable
EV -2.91%
Avantage -0.787%
Kelly -1.08%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.65%26.26%26.20%27.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.483.503.7033.33%28.77%28.57%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV +14.64%E +3.41%K +4.44%G +0.650%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.75%EV -14.75%E -8.15%K -18.21%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.46%EV -7.11%E -2.01%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-22 15:50
Marathon Bet4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV +14.64%E +3.41%K +4.44%G +0.650%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.07%EV -15.69%E -8.77%K -19.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.25%EV -6.85%E -1.93%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-22 15:51
Bovada3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -0.021%E -0.006%K -0.008%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.84%EV -10.04%E -5.26%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -6.85%E -1.93%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-22 15:49
Pinnacle3.69I 27.10%NM 26.22%EV -1.62%E -0.439%K -0.602%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.20%EV -3.45%E -1.68%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.58%EV -4.49%E -1.23%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-22 15:50
BetOnline.ag3.65I 27.40%NM 26.07%EV -2.69%E -0.736%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.86%E -2.41%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.81%EV -6.85%E -1.93%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-22 15:51
LowVig.ag3.65I 27.40%NM 26.07%EV -2.69%E -0.736%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.86%E -2.41%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.81%EV -6.85%E -1.93%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-22 15:50
BetUS3.65I 27.40%NM 26.07%EV -2.69%E -0.736%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.86%E -2.41%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.81%EV -6.85%E -1.93%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-22 15:50
BetAnything3.65I 27.40%NM 26.07%EV -2.69%E -0.736%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.86%E -2.41%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.81%EV -6.85%E -1.93%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-22 15:51
Coolbet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.69%EV -4.02%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.34%EV -4.39%E -2.16%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.97%EV -2.91%E -0.787%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-22 15:50
GTbets3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57%EV -5.35%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.16%EV -5.80%E -2.90%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.27%EV -5.80%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-22 15:40
DraftKings3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -5.35%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.02%EV -5.80%E -2.90%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -6.85%E -1.93%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-22 15:40
NordicBet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -5.35%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -6.74%E -3.41%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -6.85%E -1.93%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-22 15:50
Betsson3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -5.35%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -6.74%E -3.41%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -6.85%E -1.93%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-22 15:50
BetMGM3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -6.74%E -3.41%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.54%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-22 15:40
FanDuel3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.80%E -2.90%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.16%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-22 15:39
Tipico (DE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -9.10%E -4.71%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.16%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-22 15:50
Unibet (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -8.02%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -6.74%E -3.41%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -5.54%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-22 15:50
Unibet3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -8.02%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -7.69%E -3.92%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -9.47%E -2.75%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-22 10:30
Grosvenor3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -8.02%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.94%EV -8.16%E -4.18%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -9.47%E -2.75%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-22 10:30
Unibet (NL)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -8.02%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.94%EV -8.16%E -4.18%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -9.47%E -2.75%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-22 10:30
Casumo3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -8.02%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.94%EV -8.16%E -4.18%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -9.47%E -2.75%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-22 10:30
TABtouch3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -8.02%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.94%EV -8.16%E -4.18%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -9.47%E -2.75%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-22 10:30
Unibet (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -8.02%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.94%EV -8.16%E -4.18%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -9.47%E -2.75%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-22 10:30
ATG (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -8.02%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.94%EV -8.16%E -4.18%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -9.47%E -2.75%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-22 10:30
Svenska Spel3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -8.02%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.94%EV -8.16%E -4.18%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -9.47%E -2.75%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-22 10:30
betPARX3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -8.02%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.94%EV -8.16%E -4.18%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -9.47%E -2.75%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-22 10:30
BetRivers3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -8.02%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.07%EV -8.63%E -4.45%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -9.47%E -2.75%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-22 10:30
LeoVegas (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -8.02%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.07%EV -8.63%E -4.45%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -9.47%E -2.75%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-22 10:30
Everygame3.45I 28.99%NM 26.27%EV -8.02%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.46%EV -10.04%E -5.26%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.27%EV -9.47%E -2.75%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-22 15:50
SportsBet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.35%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.16%E -4.18%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.16%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-22 15:30
888sport3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.35%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.16%E -4.18%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.16%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-22 15:50
William Hill3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.35%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.16%E -4.18%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.16%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-22 15:51
888sport (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.35%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.16%E -4.18%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.16%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-22 15:51
Mr Green (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.35%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.16%E -4.18%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.16%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-22 15:50
Bet Victor3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.35%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.16%E -4.18%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.16%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-22 15:50
Betway3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.35%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.16%E -4.18%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.16%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-22 15:40
LiveScore Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -9.35%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.88%EV -8.63%E -4.45%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -9.47%E -2.75%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-22 10:30
Virgin Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -9.35%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.88%EV -8.63%E -4.45%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -9.47%E -2.75%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-22 10:30
LeoVegas3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -9.35%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.01%EV -9.10%E -4.71%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -9.47%E -2.75%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-22 10:30
PlayUp3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.35%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.83%EV -9.10%E -4.71%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.78%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-22 15:50
Ladbrokes (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -12.02%E -3.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -10.04%E -5.26%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -10.78%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-22 15:40
Ladbrokes (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -12.02%E -3.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -10.04%E -5.26%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -10.78%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-22 15:40
Neds3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -12.02%E -3.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -10.04%E -5.26%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -10.78%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-22 15:40
Coral3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -12.02%E -3.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -10.04%E -5.26%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -10.78%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-22 15:40
Paddy Power3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -12.02%E -3.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -10.04%E -5.26%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -10.78%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-22 15:40
Sky Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -12.02%E -3.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.35%EV -10.04%E -5.26%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -13.41%E -4.06%K -5.83%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-22 15:40
PMU (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -12.02%E -3.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 46.88%EV -11.92%E -6.38%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -13.41%E -4.06%K -5.83%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-22 10:30
Unibet (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.43%EV -12.02%E -3.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 47.92%EV -14.28%E -7.85%K -17.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.65%EV -10.78%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-22 15:50
Bet Right3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -13.35%E -4.11%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -5.80%E -2.90%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -6.85%E -1.93%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-22 15:40
PointsBet (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -13.35%E -4.11%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -5.80%E -2.90%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.16%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-22 15:30
BoyleSports3.25I 30.77%NM 27.07%EV -13.35%E -4.11%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 47.05%EV -11.92%E -6.38%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.88%EV -10.78%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-22 15:48
betfred_uk3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -14.68%E -4.59%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -8.16%E -4.18%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -8.16%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-22 15:30
Betr (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -14.68%E -4.59%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -8.16%E -4.18%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -8.16%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-22 15:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 26.83%EV -17.35%E -5.60%K -8.26%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 45.45%EV -13.81%E -7.55%K -16.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.72%EV -21.28%E -7.09%K -10.64%G +0.000%20.2%2026-05-22 15:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%1.1%2026-05-22 15:51
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%1.1%2026-05-22 15:50
Matchbook3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%1.1%2026-05-22 15:51
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.30%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.41%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.30%1.4%2026-05-22 15:50