The School of Odds
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VPS Vaasa v FC Lahti

2026-08-31 16:00 UTC — Veikkausliiga - Finland

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

VPS Vaasa (Local)

Prediction 43.58%2.29fair odd
EV -6.31%
Edge -2.93%
Kelly -5.49%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.32%43.58%43.52%44.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.102.102.1550.00%47.58%47.62%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Lahti (Visit)

Prediction 29.72%3.36fair odd
EV -2.21%
Edge -0.672%
Kelly -0.966%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.89%29.72%29.51%31.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.003.003.2935.71%33.39%33.33%30.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.70%3.75fair odd
EV -4.42%
Edge -1.23%
Kelly -1.71%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.58

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.82%26.70%26.97%27.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.393.403.5831.25%29.52%29.41%27.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: VPS Vaasa (Local): 43.58%; FC Lahti (Visit): 29.72%; Draw: 26.70%. For FC Lahti (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.36. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.29, with an expected value of -2.21%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.26%EV -6.31%E -2.93%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.93%EV -2.21%E -0.672%K -0.966%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.81%EV -5.22%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-24 19:29
Bet Right🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -6.31%E -2.93%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -12.32%E -4.18%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-24 16:54
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -6.31%E -2.93%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -10.83%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.22%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-24 17:34
Grosvenor🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.68%EV -6.74%E -3.15%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -10.83%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -9.22%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-24 16:39
Unibet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.68%EV -6.74%E -3.15%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -10.83%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -9.22%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-24 16:39
Casumo🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.68%EV -6.74%E -3.15%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -10.83%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -9.22%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-24 16:39
Unibet (NL)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.68%EV -6.74%E -3.15%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -10.83%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -9.22%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-24 16:39
Unibet (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.68%EV -6.74%E -3.15%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -10.83%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -9.22%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-24 16:39
TABtouch🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.68%EV -6.74%E -3.15%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -10.83%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -9.22%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-24 16:39
betPARX🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.68%EV -6.74%E -3.15%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -10.83%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -9.22%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-24 16:39
ATG (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.68%EV -6.74%E -3.15%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -10.83%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -9.22%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-24 16:39
Svenska Spel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.68%EV -6.74%E -3.15%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -10.83%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -9.22%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-24 16:39
SportsBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.02%EV -7.62%E -3.59%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.92%EV -12.32%E -4.18%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-24 16:54
1xBet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 44.39%EV -8.05%E -3.82%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.45%EV -5.48%E -1.72%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.16%EV -4.42%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-24 19:25
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.26%EV -8.49%E -4.04%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -12.32%E -4.18%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-24 16:54
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.49%E -4.04%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -7.86%E -2.54%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.89%E -3.60%K -5.17%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-24 16:29
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.49%E -4.04%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -7.86%E -2.54%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.89%E -3.60%K -5.17%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-24 16:29
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.49%E -4.04%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -7.86%E -2.54%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.89%E -3.60%K -5.17%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-24 16:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.49%E -4.04%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -7.86%E -2.54%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.89%E -3.60%K -5.17%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-24 16:29
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.49%E -4.04%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -7.86%E -2.54%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.89%E -3.60%K -5.17%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-24 18:13
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.49%E -4.04%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.83%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.22%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-24 17:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -8.49%E -4.04%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -13.80%E -4.76%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-24 16:54
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -8.49%E -4.04%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -13.80%E -4.76%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-24 16:54
BetRivers🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.76%EV -8.49%E -4.04%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.44%EV -12.32%E -4.18%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.80%EV -10.56%E -3.15%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-24 16:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.76%EV -8.49%E -4.04%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.44%EV -12.32%E -4.18%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.80%EV -10.56%E -3.15%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-24 16:39
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -8.49%E -4.04%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -14.40%E -5.00%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -9.22%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-24 16:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 44.62%EV -8.92%E -4.27%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.33%EV -5.48%E -1.72%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.05%EV -4.42%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-24 19:24
LiveScore Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 42.60%EV -9.36%E -4.50%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -13.80%E -4.76%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.85%EV -11.89%E -3.60%K -5.17%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-24 16:39
Virgin Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 42.60%EV -9.36%E -4.50%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -13.80%E -4.76%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.85%EV -11.89%E -3.60%K -5.17%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-24 16:39
Sky Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.32%EV -10.67%E -5.20%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.98%EV -16.78%E -5.99%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.69%EV -13.23%E -4.07%K -5.88%G +0.000%15.3%2026-08-24 16:54
PMU (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 42.50%EV -11.97%E -5.93%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.66%EV -16.78%E -5.99%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.83%EV -14.56%E -4.55%K -6.62%G +0.000%16.5%2026-08-24 16:39
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -12.84%E -6.42%K -12.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -7.86%E -2.54%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -9.22%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-24 19:25
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.56%EV -12.84%E -6.42%K -12.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.04%EV -13.80%E -4.76%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -11.89%E -3.60%K -5.17%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-24 19:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 42.98%EV -12.84%E -6.42%K -12.84%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.16%EV -15.29%E -5.36%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.86%EV -14.56%E -4.55%K -6.62%G +0.000%16.3%2026-08-24 17:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 44.37%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.86%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%6.3%2026-08-24 19:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 44.37%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.86%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%6.3%2026-08-24 19:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 43.37%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%8.8%2026-08-24 19:29