Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

VPS Vaasa v FC Lahti

Inicio: 2026-08-31 16:00 UTC

Final: VPS Vaasa 0–1 FC Lahti

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

VPS Vaasa (Local)

Predicción 49.82%2.01momio equitativo
EV -2.85%
Ventaja -1.46%
Kelly -3.00%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.88%49.82%49.81%52.06%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.751.871.871.9557.14%53.59%53.48%51.28%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

FC Lahti (Visitante)

Predicción 24.28%4.12momio equitativo
EV +0.258%
Ventaja +0.062%
Kelly +0.082%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.13

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.04%24.31%24.23%26.75%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.203.683.754.1331.25%27.16%26.67%24.21%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 25.90%3.86momio equitativo
EV -2.87%
Ventaja -0.764%
Kelly -1.04%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.90%25.87%25.96%26.96%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.253.503.453.7530.77%28.61%28.99%26.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: VPS Vaasa (Local): 49.82%; FC Lahti (Visitante): 24.28%; Empate: 25.90%. Para FC Lahti (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.12. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.13, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.258%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.61%EV -4.84%E -2.53%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.41%EV +0.258%E +0.062%K +0.082%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.99%EV -3.64%E -0.979%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-31 15:50
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -7.83%E -4.23%K -9.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -2.90%E -0.724%K -0.966%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-31 15:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.06%EV -11.82%E -6.68%K -15.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -2.90%E -0.724%K -0.966%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -4.16%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-31 15:55
Bovada🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.05%EV -6.33%E -3.37%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -4.11%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 15:49
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -6.33%E -3.37%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -4.11%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -10.64%E -3.08%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-31 15:50
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -6.33%E -3.37%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -4.11%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -10.64%E -3.08%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-31 15:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.37%EV -4.34%E -2.26%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -5.33%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 15:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.37%EV -4.34%E -2.26%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -5.33%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 15:40
BetAnything🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.37%EV -4.34%E -2.26%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -5.33%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 15:40
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.50%EV -4.84%E -2.53%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -5.33%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 15:40
FanDuel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.03%EV -6.83%E -3.65%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -5.33%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 15:48
Coolbet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.47%EV -3.35%E -1.72%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.93%EV -6.54%E -1.70%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.59%EV -2.87%E -0.764%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-31 12:45
BetUS🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.87%EV -6.83%E -3.65%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -6.54%E -1.70%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 15:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -7.83%E -4.23%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -7.75%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.06%EV -3.64%E -0.979%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-31 15:55
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -8.83%E -4.82%K -10.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -7.75%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-31 15:55
SportsBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.75%EV -8.33%E -4.53%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -7.75%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -9.34%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-31 15:50
GTbets🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.42%EV -2.85%E -1.46%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 24.91%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.67%EV -8.31%E -2.35%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 15:19
1xBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.10%EV -6.83%E -3.65%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 24.72%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.18%EV -3.64%E -0.979%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 15:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -5.34%E -2.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -8.97%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-31 15:40
Bet Right🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -8.83%E -4.82%K -10.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -8.97%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-31 15:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -8.83%E -4.82%K -10.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -8.97%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-31 15:25
Bet Victor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -8.83%E -4.82%K -10.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -8.97%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -9.34%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-31 15:49
betano_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -8.83%E -4.82%K -10.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -8.97%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -9.34%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-31 15:49
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -7.83%E -4.23%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -8.97%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.93%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-31 15:40
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -7.83%E -4.23%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -8.97%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.93%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-31 15:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -7.83%E -4.23%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -8.97%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.93%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-31 15:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -7.83%E -4.23%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -8.97%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.93%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-31 15:40
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -10.32%E -5.73%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -8.97%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -11.93%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-31 15:50
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -10.32%E -5.73%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -8.97%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -11.93%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-31 15:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -10.32%E -5.73%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -8.97%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -11.93%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-31 15:25
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -10.32%E -5.73%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -8.97%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -11.93%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-31 15:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -10.32%E -5.73%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -8.97%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -11.93%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-31 15:25
PlayUp🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.92%EV -7.83%E -4.23%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -10.18%E -2.75%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -11.93%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-31 15:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.70%EV -9.32%E -5.12%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -10.18%E -2.75%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -9.34%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-31 15:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.61%EV -10.32%E -5.73%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -10.18%E -2.75%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -11.93%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-31 15:50
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -8.83%E -4.82%K -10.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -12.61%E -3.50%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -9.34%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-31 15:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -10.32%E -5.73%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -12.61%E -3.50%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -11.93%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-31 15:40
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -10.32%E -5.73%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -12.61%E -3.50%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -11.93%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-31 15:50
LeoVegas🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.99%EV -4.84%E -2.53%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.82%EV -13.82%E -3.89%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -9.34%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-31 15:50
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.00%EV -12.81%E -7.32%K -17.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -15.04%E -4.30%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -9.34%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-31 15:20
Unibet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.88%EV -3.35%E -1.72%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -17.46%E -5.14%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -10.64%E -3.08%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-31 15:25
Grosvenor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.01%EV -3.84%E -1.99%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -17.46%E -5.14%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -10.64%E -3.08%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-31 15:25
Casumo🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.01%EV -3.84%E -1.99%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -17.46%E -5.14%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -10.64%E -3.08%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-31 15:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.01%EV -3.84%E -1.99%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -17.46%E -5.14%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -10.64%E -3.08%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-31 15:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.01%EV -3.84%E -1.99%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -17.46%E -5.14%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -10.64%E -3.08%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-31 15:25
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.01%EV -3.84%E -1.99%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -17.46%E -5.14%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -10.64%E -3.08%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-31 15:25
betPARX🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.01%EV -3.84%E -1.99%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -17.46%E -5.14%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -10.64%E -3.08%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-31 15:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.01%EV -3.84%E -1.99%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -17.46%E -5.14%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -10.64%E -3.08%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-31 15:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.01%EV -3.84%E -1.99%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -17.46%E -5.14%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -10.64%E -3.08%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-31 15:25
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.30%EV -6.33%E -3.37%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.54%EV -18.68%E -5.58%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.15%EV -11.93%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-31 15:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.30%EV -6.33%E -3.37%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.54%EV -18.68%E -5.58%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.15%EV -11.93%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-31 15:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.12%EV -6.33%E -3.37%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.44%EV -18.68%E -5.58%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.44%EV -13.23%E -3.95%K -5.63%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-31 15:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.12%EV -6.33%E -3.37%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.44%EV -18.68%E -5.58%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.44%EV -13.23%E -3.95%K -5.63%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-31 15:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 46.98%EV -9.32%E -5.12%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.72%EV -22.32%E -6.97%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.31%EV -15.82%E -4.87%K -7.03%G +0.000%17.0%2026-08-31 15:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.61%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%0.8%2026-08-31 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.15%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.98%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.87%1.7%2026-08-31 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.15%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.98%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.87%1.7%2026-08-31 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.15%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.98%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.87%1.7%2026-08-31 15:55