Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

VPS Vaasa v AC Oulu

Kickoff: 2026-06-23 15:00 UTC

Final: VPS Vaasa 5–1 AC Oulu

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

54 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

VPS Vaasa (Local)

Prediction 45.56%2.20fair odd
EV -4.33%
Edge -2.06%
Kelly -3.94%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.66%45.49%45.58%46.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.032.052.1052.36%49.17%48.78%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

AC Oulu (Visit)

Prediction 26.52%3.77fair odd
EV -0.533%
Edge -0.142%
Kelly -0.194%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.46%26.60%26.53%28.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.393.403.7532.79%29.47%29.41%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.92%3.58fair odd
EV -2.29%
Edge -0.653%
Kelly -0.915%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.11%27.91%27.89%30.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.263.303.5036.36%30.65%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: VPS Vaasa (Local): 45.56%; AC Oulu (Visit): 26.52%; Draw: 27.92%. For AC Oulu (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.77. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.75, with an expected value of -0.533%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.07%EV -4.33%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.80%EV -0.533%E -0.142%K -0.194%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.13%EV -3.96%E -1.15%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-23 14:10
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.80%EV -4.33%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.72%EV -4.51%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.48%EV -2.29%E -0.653%K -0.915%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-23 12:20
GTbets🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.13%EV -4.33%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.63%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 27.95%EV -5.36%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-23 13:10
Betsson🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -5.24%E -2.52%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -11.14%E -3.33%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -3.68%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-23 13:50
NordicBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -5.24%E -2.52%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -11.14%E -3.33%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -3.68%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-23 13:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.95%EV -5.24%E -2.52%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -7.87%E -2.39%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-23 12:10
Unibet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.85%EV -5.24%E -2.52%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -15.12%E -4.73%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -7.87%E -2.39%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-23 12:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.85%EV -5.24%E -2.52%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -15.12%E -4.73%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -7.87%E -2.39%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-23 12:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.85%EV -5.24%E -2.52%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -15.12%E -4.73%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -7.87%E -2.39%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-23 12:10
Casumo🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.85%EV -5.24%E -2.52%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -15.12%E -4.73%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -7.87%E -2.39%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-23 12:10
TABtouch🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.85%EV -5.24%E -2.52%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -15.12%E -4.73%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -7.87%E -2.39%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-23 12:10
Grosvenor🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.85%EV -5.24%E -2.52%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -15.12%E -4.73%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -7.87%E -2.39%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-23 12:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.85%EV -5.24%E -2.52%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -15.12%E -4.73%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -7.87%E -2.39%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-23 12:10
betPARX🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.85%EV -5.24%E -2.52%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -15.12%E -4.73%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -7.87%E -2.39%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-23 12:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.85%EV -5.24%E -2.52%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -15.12%E -4.73%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -7.87%E -2.39%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-23 12:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.97%EV -5.70%E -2.75%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.44%EV -15.12%E -4.73%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.58%EV -7.87%E -2.39%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-23 12:10
BetRivers🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.97%EV -5.70%E -2.75%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.44%EV -15.12%E -4.73%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.58%EV -7.87%E -2.39%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-23 12:10
1xBet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.48%EV -6.15%E -2.99%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.47%EV -6.10%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.05%EV -6.75%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-23 14:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.91%EV -6.15%E -2.99%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -15.12%E -4.73%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-23 12:10
LeoVegas🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.91%EV -6.15%E -2.99%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -15.12%E -4.73%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-23 12:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.91%EV -6.15%E -2.99%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -15.12%E -4.73%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-23 12:10
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.84%EV -6.61%E -3.22%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -4.51%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -6.47%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-23 13:00
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.67%EV -6.61%E -3.22%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -5.84%E -1.64%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -6.47%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-23 14:00
BetUS🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.67%EV -6.61%E -3.22%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -5.84%E -1.64%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -6.47%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-23 14:00
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -6.61%E -3.22%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.87%E -2.39%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-23 12:09
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.61%E -3.22%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.87%E -2.39%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-23 11:40
Bet Right🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.61%E -3.22%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.87%E -2.39%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-23 13:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.61%E -3.22%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.87%E -2.39%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-23 13:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.48%EV -7.06%E -3.46%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.63%EV -1.86%E -0.503%K -0.689%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.89%EV -5.08%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-23 12:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.48%EV -7.06%E -3.46%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.63%EV -1.86%E -0.503%K -0.689%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.89%EV -5.08%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-23 12:20
BetAnything🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.48%EV -7.06%E -3.46%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.63%EV -1.86%E -0.503%K -0.689%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.89%EV -5.08%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-23 12:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.72%EV -7.06%E -3.46%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.35%EV -6.10%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.93%EV -6.75%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-23 14:20
PlayUp🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.77%EV -7.97%E -3.95%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -13.80%E -4.24%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -7.87%E -2.39%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-23 13:50
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -8.88%E -4.44%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -4.51%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.87%E -2.39%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-23 12:19
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.88%E -4.44%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.87%E -2.39%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-23 11:40
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -8.88%E -4.44%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-23 12:30
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.88%E -4.44%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -7.87%E -2.39%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-23 14:09
Everygame🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.88%E -4.44%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -10.66%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-23 13:09
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -8.88%E -4.44%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-23 13:10
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -8.88%E -4.44%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -13.45%E -4.34%K -6.41%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-23 12:30
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -8.88%E -4.44%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -13.45%E -4.34%K -6.41%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-23 12:29
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -8.88%E -4.44%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -13.45%E -4.34%K -6.41%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-23 12:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -8.88%E -4.44%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -13.45%E -4.34%K -6.41%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-23 12:30
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -8.88%E -4.44%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -12.47%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-23 13:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.88%E -4.44%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -13.45%E -4.34%K -6.41%G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-23 12:10
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.88%E -4.44%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -13.45%E -4.34%K -6.41%G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-23 12:10
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.88%E -4.44%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -13.45%E -4.34%K -6.41%G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-23 12:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.88%E -4.44%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -13.45%E -4.34%K -6.41%G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-23 12:10
PMU (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.66%EV -8.88%E -4.44%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.63%EV -19.10%E -6.26%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.72%EV -12.06%E -3.83%K -5.61%G +0.000%14.5%2026-06-23 12:10
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -11.16%E -5.72%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -10.66%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-23 12:30
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -11.16%E -5.72%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -13.45%E -4.34%K -6.41%G +0.000%13.0%2026-06-23 12:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.38%EV -11.62%E -5.99%K -12.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -12.47%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.95%EV -12.06%E -3.83%K -5.61%G +0.000%13.6%2026-06-23 12:10
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 45.96%EV -12.99%E -6.80%K -14.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -12.47%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -10.66%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000%13.9%2026-06-23 11:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 43.99%EV -12.99%E -6.80%K -14.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.46%EV -12.47%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.55%EV -23.23%E -8.45%K -13.27%G +0.000%19.0%2026-06-23 12:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.33%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.93%0.9%2026-06-23 14:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.56%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.64%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.80%1.3%2026-06-23 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.56%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.64%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.80%1.3%2026-06-23 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.56%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.64%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.80%1.3%2026-06-23 14:00