La escuela de los momios

VPS Vaasa v AC Oulu

Inicio: 2026-06-23 15:00 UTC

Final: VPS Vaasa 5–1 AC Oulu

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

VPS Vaasa (Local)

Predicción 45.56%2.20momio equitativo
EV -4.33%
Ventaja -2.06%
Kelly -3.94%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.66%45.49%45.58%46.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.912.032.052.1052.36%49.17%48.78%47.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

AC Oulu (Visitante)

Predicción 26.52%3.77momio equitativo
EV -0.533%
Ventaja -0.142%
Kelly -0.194%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.46%26.60%26.53%28.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.053.393.403.7532.79%29.47%29.41%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.92%3.58momio equitativo
EV -2.29%
Ventaja -0.653%
Kelly -0.915%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.11%27.91%27.89%30.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.263.303.5036.36%30.65%30.30%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.10I 47.62%NM 46.07%EV -4.33%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.80%EV -0.533%E -0.142%K -0.194%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.13%EV -3.96%E -1.15%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-23 14:10
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.80%EV -4.33%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.72%EV -4.51%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.48%EV -2.29%E -0.653%K -0.915%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-23 12:20
GTbets2.10I 47.62%NM 45.13%EV -4.33%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.63%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 27.95%EV -5.36%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-23 13:10
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -5.24%E -2.52%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -11.14%E -3.33%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -3.68%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-23 13:50
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -5.24%E -2.52%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -11.14%E -3.33%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -3.68%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-23 13:50
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.95%EV -5.24%E -2.52%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -7.87%E -2.39%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-23 12:10
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.85%EV -5.24%E -2.52%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -15.12%E -4.73%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -7.87%E -2.39%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-23 12:10
Unibet (NL)2.08I 48.08%NM 43.85%EV -5.24%E -2.52%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -15.12%E -4.73%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -7.87%E -2.39%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-23 12:10
Unibet (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 43.85%EV -5.24%E -2.52%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -15.12%E -4.73%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -7.87%E -2.39%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-23 12:10
Casumo2.08I 48.08%NM 43.85%EV -5.24%E -2.52%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -15.12%E -4.73%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -7.87%E -2.39%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-23 12:10
TABtouch2.08I 48.08%NM 43.85%EV -5.24%E -2.52%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -15.12%E -4.73%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -7.87%E -2.39%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-23 12:10
Grosvenor2.08I 48.08%NM 43.85%EV -5.24%E -2.52%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -15.12%E -4.73%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -7.87%E -2.39%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-23 12:10
ATG (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 43.85%EV -5.24%E -2.52%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -15.12%E -4.73%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -7.87%E -2.39%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-23 12:10
betPARX2.08I 48.08%NM 43.85%EV -5.24%E -2.52%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -15.12%E -4.73%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -7.87%E -2.39%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-23 12:10
Svenska Spel2.08I 48.08%NM 43.85%EV -5.24%E -2.52%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -15.12%E -4.73%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -7.87%E -2.39%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-23 12:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 43.97%EV -5.70%E -2.75%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.44%EV -15.12%E -4.73%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.58%EV -7.87%E -2.39%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-23 12:10
BetRivers2.07I 48.31%NM 43.97%EV -5.70%E -2.75%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.44%EV -15.12%E -4.73%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.58%EV -7.87%E -2.39%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-23 12:10
1xBet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.48%EV -6.15%E -2.99%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.47%EV -6.10%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.05%EV -6.75%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-23 14:10
Virgin Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 43.91%EV -6.15%E -2.99%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -15.12%E -4.73%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-23 12:10
LeoVegas2.06I 48.54%NM 43.91%EV -6.15%E -2.99%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -15.12%E -4.73%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-23 12:10
LiveScore Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 43.91%EV -6.15%E -2.99%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -15.12%E -4.73%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-23 12:10
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 45.84%EV -6.61%E -3.22%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -4.51%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -6.47%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-23 13:00
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 45.67%EV -6.61%E -3.22%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -5.84%E -1.64%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -6.47%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-23 14:00
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 45.67%EV -6.61%E -3.22%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -5.84%E -1.64%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -6.47%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-23 14:00
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -6.61%E -3.22%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.87%E -2.39%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-23 12:09
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.61%E -3.22%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.87%E -2.39%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-23 11:40
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.61%E -3.22%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.87%E -2.39%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-23 13:10
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.61%E -3.22%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.87%E -2.39%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-23 13:10
LowVig.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 46.48%EV -7.06%E -3.46%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.63%EV -1.86%E -0.503%K -0.689%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.89%EV -5.08%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-23 12:20
BetOnline.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 46.48%EV -7.06%E -3.46%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.63%EV -1.86%E -0.503%K -0.689%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.89%EV -5.08%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-23 12:20
BetAnything2.04I 49.02%NM 46.48%EV -7.06%E -3.46%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.63%EV -1.86%E -0.503%K -0.689%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.89%EV -5.08%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-23 12:20
Marathon Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 45.72%EV -7.06%E -3.46%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.35%EV -6.10%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.93%EV -6.75%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-23 14:20
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 44.77%EV -7.97%E -3.95%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -13.80%E -4.24%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -7.87%E -2.39%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-23 13:50
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -8.88%E -4.44%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -4.51%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.87%E -2.39%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-23 12:19
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.88%E -4.44%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.87%E -2.39%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-23 11:40
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -8.88%E -4.44%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-23 12:30
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.88%E -4.44%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -7.87%E -2.39%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-23 14:09
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.88%E -4.44%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -10.66%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-23 13:09
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -8.88%E -4.44%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-23 13:10
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -8.88%E -4.44%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -13.45%E -4.34%K -6.41%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-23 12:30
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -8.88%E -4.44%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -13.45%E -4.34%K -6.41%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-23 12:29
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -8.88%E -4.44%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -13.45%E -4.34%K -6.41%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-23 12:30
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -8.88%E -4.44%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -13.45%E -4.34%K -6.41%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-23 12:30
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -8.88%E -4.44%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -12.47%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-23 13:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.88%E -4.44%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -13.45%E -4.34%K -6.41%G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-23 12:10
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.88%E -4.44%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -13.45%E -4.34%K -6.41%G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-23 12:10
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.88%E -4.44%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -13.45%E -4.34%K -6.41%G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-23 12:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.88%E -4.44%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -13.45%E -4.34%K -6.41%G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-23 12:10
PMU (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.66%EV -8.88%E -4.44%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.63%EV -19.10%E -6.26%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.72%EV -12.06%E -3.83%K -5.61%G +0.000%14.5%2026-06-23 12:10
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -11.16%E -5.72%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -10.66%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-23 12:30
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -11.16%E -5.72%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -13.45%E -4.34%K -6.41%G +0.000%13.0%2026-06-23 12:20
Unibet (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 45.38%EV -11.62%E -5.99%K -12.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -12.47%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.95%EV -12.06%E -3.83%K -5.61%G +0.000%13.6%2026-06-23 12:10
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 45.96%EV -12.99%E -6.80%K -14.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -12.47%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -10.66%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000%13.9%2026-06-23 11:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 43.99%EV -12.99%E -6.80%K -14.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.46%EV -12.47%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.55%EV -23.23%E -8.45%K -13.27%G +0.000%19.0%2026-06-23 12:29
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.33%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.93%0.9%2026-06-23 14:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.56%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.64%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.80%1.3%2026-06-23 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.56%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.64%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.80%1.3%2026-06-23 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.56%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.64%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.80%1.3%2026-06-23 14:00