Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

TPS Turku v SJK Seinäjoki

Kickoff: 2026-09-08 15:00 UTC

Final: TPS Turku 0–0 SJK Seinäjoki

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

TPS Turku (Local)

Prediction 34.80%2.87fair odd
EV -2.91%
Edge -1.04%
Kelly -1.62%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.87%35.11%34.84%39.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.592.602.7943.48%38.64%38.46%35.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

SJK Seinäjoki (Visit)

Prediction 37.55%2.66fair odd
EV +5.89%
Edge +2.09%
Kelly +3.23%
Growth +0.190%

assuming max odds 2.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.08%37.29%37.40%38.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.482.452.8243.48%40.31%40.82%35.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.65%3.62fair odd
EV -0.454%
Edge -0.126%
Kelly -0.175%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.70%27.60%27.75%28.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.333.303.6031.75%30.01%30.30%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: TPS Turku (Local): 34.80%; SJK Seinäjoki (Visit): 37.55%; Draw: 27.65%. For SJK Seinäjoki (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.66. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.82, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.89%.

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.23%EV -14.74%E -6.02%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.08%EV +5.89%E +2.09%K +3.23%G +0.190%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.70%EV -0.454%E -0.126%K -0.175%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-08 14:05
Grosvenor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.38%EV -13.00%E -5.20%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -1.25%E -0.475%K -0.766%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -4.60%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 10:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.38%EV -13.00%E -5.20%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -1.25%E -0.475%K -0.766%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -4.60%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 10:40
TABtouch🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.38%EV -13.00%E -5.20%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -1.25%E -0.475%K -0.766%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -4.60%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 10:40
Casumo🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.38%EV -13.00%E -5.20%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -1.25%E -0.475%K -0.766%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -4.60%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 10:40
betPARX🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.38%EV -13.00%E -5.20%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -1.25%E -0.475%K -0.766%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -4.60%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 10:39
Unibet (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.38%EV -13.00%E -5.20%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -1.25%E -0.475%K -0.766%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -4.60%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 10:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.38%EV -13.00%E -5.20%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -1.25%E -0.475%K -0.766%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -4.60%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 10:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.38%EV -13.00%E -5.20%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -1.25%E -0.475%K -0.766%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -4.60%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 10:40
Unibet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.38%EV -13.00%E -5.20%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -1.25%E -0.475%K -0.766%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -4.60%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 10:40
Pinnacle🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 34.69%EV -2.91%E -1.04%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.09%EV -2.00%E -0.766%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.22%EV -5.15%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-08 14:55
GTbets🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.88%EV -5.34%E -1.96%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.21%EV -4.25%E -1.67%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%EV -5.98%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-08 05:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.36%EV -3.95%E -1.43%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.33%EV -4.63%E -1.82%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.31%EV -7.37%E -2.20%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-08 14:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.36%EV -3.95%E -1.43%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.33%EV -4.63%E -1.82%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.31%EV -7.37%E -2.20%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-08 14:45
DraftKings🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -6.04%E -2.24%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -6.13%E -2.45%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -3.22%E -0.920%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-08 05:25
Bovada🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -6.04%E -2.24%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -6.13%E -2.45%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.37%E -2.20%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-08 14:39
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -7.78%E -2.94%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -6.13%E -2.45%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -5.98%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-08 14:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 34.79%EV -6.74%E -2.51%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV -6.13%E -2.45%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.92%EV -7.64%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-08 14:55
FanDuel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.93%EV -7.78%E -2.94%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -6.13%E -2.45%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.75%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-08 14:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.11%EV -16.48%E -6.87%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.91%EV -6.88%E -2.77%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.99%EV -8.75%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-08 10:40
BetRivers🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.11%EV -16.48%E -6.87%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.91%EV -6.88%E -2.77%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.99%EV -8.75%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-08 10:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.15%EV -17.18%E -7.22%K -12.45%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.65%EV -6.88%E -2.77%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.20%EV -10.13%E -3.12%K -4.50%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-08 10:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.15%EV -17.18%E -7.22%K -12.45%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.65%EV -6.88%E -2.77%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.20%EV -10.13%E -3.12%K -4.50%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-08 10:40
Betsson🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.08%EV -5.34%E -1.96%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.83%EV -8.01%E -3.27%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -8.75%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-08 14:35
NordicBet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.08%EV -5.34%E -1.96%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.83%EV -8.01%E -3.27%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -8.75%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-08 14:39
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -6.04%E -2.24%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -8.01%E -3.27%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -8.75%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-08 14:40
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.24%EV -9.52%E -3.66%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.40%EV -8.01%E -3.27%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -7.37%E -2.20%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-08 14:40
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -8.82%E -3.37%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -8.01%E -3.27%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -8.75%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-08 14:30
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -8.82%E -3.37%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -8.01%E -3.27%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -8.75%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-08 14:29
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -8.82%E -3.37%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -8.01%E -3.27%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -8.75%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-08 14:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -8.82%E -3.37%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -8.01%E -3.27%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -8.75%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-08 14:30
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -9.52%E -3.66%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -8.01%E -3.27%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -8.75%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-08 14:45
1xBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.01%EV -4.30%E -1.56%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -9.88%E -4.12%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.03%EV -4.33%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-08 14:55
Bet Right🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -7.78%E -2.94%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -9.88%E -4.12%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -5.98%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-08 14:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -7.78%E -2.94%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -9.88%E -4.12%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -5.98%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-08 14:55
betano_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -8.82%E -3.37%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -9.88%E -4.12%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.98%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-08 14:55
Betway🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -8.82%E -3.37%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -9.88%E -4.12%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.75%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-08 14:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -9.52%E -3.66%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -9.88%E -4.12%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -8.75%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-08 14:55
PlayUp🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.10%EV -7.78%E -2.94%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -9.88%E -4.12%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -11.51%E -3.60%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-08 14:55
Paddy Power🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -9.52%E -3.66%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -9.88%E -4.12%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -11.51%E -3.60%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-08 14:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.97%EV -11.26%E -4.42%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.16%EV -9.88%E -4.12%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.87%EV -11.51%E -3.60%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-08 14:45
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -13.00%E -5.20%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -9.88%E -4.12%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -11.51%E -3.60%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-08 14:45
PMU (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.20%EV -19.96%E -8.68%K -15.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.65%EV -9.88%E -4.12%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.16%EV -12.90%E -4.09%K -6.00%G +0.000%16.9%2026-09-08 10:40
Bet Victor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.87%EV -6.04%E -2.24%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -10.64%E -4.47%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.75%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-08 14:54
betfred_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.72%EV -9.52%E -3.66%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.93%EV -10.64%E -4.47%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -8.75%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-08 14:40
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.42%EV -9.52%E -3.66%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -10.64%E -4.47%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.97%EV -11.51%E -3.60%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-08 14:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.42%EV -9.52%E -3.66%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -10.64%E -4.47%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.97%EV -11.51%E -3.60%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-08 14:40
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.37%EV -9.52%E -3.66%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -11.01%E -4.65%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -11.51%E -3.60%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-08 14:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.37%EV -9.52%E -3.66%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -11.01%E -4.65%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -11.51%E -3.60%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-08 14:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.70%EV -11.26%E -4.42%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.65%EV -11.76%E -5.01%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -11.51%E -3.60%K -5.23%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-08 14:39
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.86%EV -13.00%E -5.20%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.90%EV -13.64%E -5.93%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.24%EV -11.51%E -3.60%K -5.23%G +0.000%14.7%2026-09-08 14:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.71%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.32%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.97%0.7%2026-09-08 14:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.71%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.32%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.97%0.7%2026-09-08 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.71%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.32%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.97%0.7%2026-09-08 14:50
Matchbook2.88I 34.72%NM 34.32%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.44%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.24%1.2%2026-09-08 14:55