Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

TPS Turku v SJK Seinäjoki

Inicio: 2026-09-08 15:00 UTC

Final: TPS Turku 0–0 SJK Seinäjoki

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

TPS Turku (Local)

Predicción 34.80%2.87momio equitativo
EV -2.91%
Ventaja -1.04%
Kelly -1.62%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.79

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.87%35.11%34.84%39.23%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.302.592.602.7943.48%38.64%38.46%35.84%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

SJK Seinäjoki (Visitante)

Predicción 37.55%2.66momio equitativo
EV +5.89%
Ventaja +2.09%
Kelly +3.23%
Crecimiento +0.190%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.82

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.08%37.29%37.40%38.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.302.482.452.8243.48%40.31%40.82%35.46%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 27.65%3.62momio equitativo
EV -0.454%
Ventaja -0.126%
Kelly -0.175%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.70%27.60%27.75%28.31%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.153.333.303.6031.75%30.01%30.30%27.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: TPS Turku (Local): 34.80%; SJK Seinäjoki (Visitante): 37.55%; Empate: 27.65%. Para SJK Seinäjoki (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.66. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.82, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +5.89%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.23%EV -14.74%E -6.02%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.08%EV +5.89%E +2.09%K +3.23%G +0.190%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.70%EV -0.454%E -0.126%K -0.175%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-08 14:05
Grosvenor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.38%EV -13.00%E -5.20%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -1.25%E -0.475%K -0.766%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -4.60%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 10:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.38%EV -13.00%E -5.20%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -1.25%E -0.475%K -0.766%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -4.60%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 10:40
TABtouch🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.38%EV -13.00%E -5.20%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -1.25%E -0.475%K -0.766%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -4.60%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 10:40
Casumo🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.38%EV -13.00%E -5.20%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -1.25%E -0.475%K -0.766%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -4.60%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 10:40
betPARX🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.38%EV -13.00%E -5.20%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -1.25%E -0.475%K -0.766%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -4.60%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 10:39
Unibet (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.38%EV -13.00%E -5.20%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -1.25%E -0.475%K -0.766%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -4.60%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 10:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.38%EV -13.00%E -5.20%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -1.25%E -0.475%K -0.766%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -4.60%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 10:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.38%EV -13.00%E -5.20%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -1.25%E -0.475%K -0.766%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -4.60%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 10:40
Unibet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.38%EV -13.00%E -5.20%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -1.25%E -0.475%K -0.766%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -4.60%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 10:40
Pinnacle🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 34.69%EV -2.91%E -1.04%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.09%EV -2.00%E -0.766%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.22%EV -5.15%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-08 14:55
GTbets🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.88%EV -5.34%E -1.96%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.21%EV -4.25%E -1.67%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%EV -5.98%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-08 05:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.36%EV -3.95%E -1.43%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.33%EV -4.63%E -1.82%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.31%EV -7.37%E -2.20%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-08 14:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.36%EV -3.95%E -1.43%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.33%EV -4.63%E -1.82%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.31%EV -7.37%E -2.20%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-08 14:45
DraftKings🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -6.04%E -2.24%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -6.13%E -2.45%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -3.22%E -0.920%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-08 05:25
Bovada🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -6.04%E -2.24%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -6.13%E -2.45%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.37%E -2.20%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-08 14:39
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -7.78%E -2.94%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -6.13%E -2.45%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -5.98%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-08 14:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 34.79%EV -6.74%E -2.51%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV -6.13%E -2.45%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.92%EV -7.64%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-08 14:55
FanDuel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.93%EV -7.78%E -2.94%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -6.13%E -2.45%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.75%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-08 14:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.11%EV -16.48%E -6.87%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.91%EV -6.88%E -2.77%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.99%EV -8.75%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-08 10:40
BetRivers🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.11%EV -16.48%E -6.87%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.91%EV -6.88%E -2.77%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.99%EV -8.75%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-08 10:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.15%EV -17.18%E -7.22%K -12.45%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.65%EV -6.88%E -2.77%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.20%EV -10.13%E -3.12%K -4.50%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-08 10:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.15%EV -17.18%E -7.22%K -12.45%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.65%EV -6.88%E -2.77%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.20%EV -10.13%E -3.12%K -4.50%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-08 10:40
Betsson🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.08%EV -5.34%E -1.96%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.83%EV -8.01%E -3.27%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -8.75%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-08 14:35
NordicBet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.08%EV -5.34%E -1.96%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.83%EV -8.01%E -3.27%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -8.75%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-08 14:39
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -6.04%E -2.24%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -8.01%E -3.27%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -8.75%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-08 14:40
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.24%EV -9.52%E -3.66%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.40%EV -8.01%E -3.27%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -7.37%E -2.20%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-08 14:40
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -8.82%E -3.37%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -8.01%E -3.27%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -8.75%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-08 14:30
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -8.82%E -3.37%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -8.01%E -3.27%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -8.75%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-08 14:29
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -8.82%E -3.37%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -8.01%E -3.27%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -8.75%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-08 14:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -8.82%E -3.37%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -8.01%E -3.27%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -8.75%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-08 14:30
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -9.52%E -3.66%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -8.01%E -3.27%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -8.75%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-08 14:45
1xBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.01%EV -4.30%E -1.56%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -9.88%E -4.12%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.03%EV -4.33%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-08 14:55
Bet Right🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -7.78%E -2.94%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -9.88%E -4.12%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -5.98%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-08 14:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -7.78%E -2.94%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -9.88%E -4.12%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -5.98%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-08 14:55
betano_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -8.82%E -3.37%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -9.88%E -4.12%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.98%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-08 14:55
Betway🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -8.82%E -3.37%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -9.88%E -4.12%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.75%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-08 14:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -9.52%E -3.66%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -9.88%E -4.12%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -8.75%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-08 14:55
PlayUp🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.10%EV -7.78%E -2.94%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -9.88%E -4.12%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -11.51%E -3.60%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-08 14:55
Paddy Power🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -9.52%E -3.66%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -9.88%E -4.12%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -11.51%E -3.60%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-08 14:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.97%EV -11.26%E -4.42%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.16%EV -9.88%E -4.12%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.87%EV -11.51%E -3.60%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-08 14:45
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -13.00%E -5.20%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -9.88%E -4.12%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -11.51%E -3.60%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-08 14:45
PMU (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.20%EV -19.96%E -8.68%K -15.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.65%EV -9.88%E -4.12%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.16%EV -12.90%E -4.09%K -6.00%G +0.000%16.9%2026-09-08 10:40
Bet Victor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.87%EV -6.04%E -2.24%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -10.64%E -4.47%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.75%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-08 14:54
betfred_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.72%EV -9.52%E -3.66%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.93%EV -10.64%E -4.47%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -8.75%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-08 14:40
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.42%EV -9.52%E -3.66%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -10.64%E -4.47%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.97%EV -11.51%E -3.60%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-08 14:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.42%EV -9.52%E -3.66%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -10.64%E -4.47%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.97%EV -11.51%E -3.60%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-08 14:40
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.37%EV -9.52%E -3.66%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -11.01%E -4.65%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -11.51%E -3.60%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-08 14:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.37%EV -9.52%E -3.66%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -11.01%E -4.65%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -11.51%E -3.60%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-08 14:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.70%EV -11.26%E -4.42%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.65%EV -11.76%E -5.01%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -11.51%E -3.60%K -5.23%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-08 14:39
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.86%EV -13.00%E -5.20%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.90%EV -13.64%E -5.93%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.24%EV -11.51%E -3.60%K -5.23%G +0.000%14.7%2026-09-08 14:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.71%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.32%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.97%0.7%2026-09-08 14:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.71%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.32%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.97%0.7%2026-09-08 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.71%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.32%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.97%0.7%2026-09-08 14:50
Matchbook◎2.88I 34.72%NM 34.32%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.44%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.24%1.2%2026-09-08 14:55