Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

TPS Turku v KuPS Kuopio

Kickoff: 2026-06-17 15:00 UTC

Final: TPS Turku 1–2 KuPS Kuopio

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

54 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

TPS Turku (Local)

Prediction 18.01%5.55fair odd
EV +5.37%
Edge +0.918%
Kelly +1.11%
Growth +0.060%

assuming max odds 5.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.44%17.88%18.14%19.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.065.005.8522.22%19.77%20.00%17.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

KuPS Kuopio (Visit)

Prediction 57.88%1.73fair odd
EV -4.50%
Edge -2.73%
Kelly -6.92%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.10%58.00%57.79%60.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.591.601.6566.67%62.81%62.50%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.11%4.15fair odd
EV -1.16%
Edge -0.282%
Kelly -0.373%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.45%24.11%24.07%26.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.773.804.1031.25%26.55%26.32%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: TPS Turku (Local): 18.01%; KuPS Kuopio (Visit): 57.88%; Draw: 24.11%. For TPS Turku (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.55. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.37%.

Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯5.85I 17.09%NM 16.44%EV +5.37%E +0.918%K +1.11%G +0.060%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.11%EV -7.39%E -4.62%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.46%EV -1.16%E -0.282%K -0.373%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-17 11:19
Pinnacle🎯5.71I 17.51%NM 16.86%EV +2.85%E +0.499%K +0.605%G +0.017%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.07%EV -5.66%E -3.47%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.07%EV -3.57%E -0.892%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-17 14:50
FanDuel🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -0.932%E -0.169%K -0.207%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.24%EV -9.13%E -5.81%K -16.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -5.98%E -1.53%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-17 14:40
Marathon Bet🎯5.45I 18.35%NM 17.11%EV -1.83%E -0.336%K -0.412%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.66%EV -7.97%E -5.01%K -13.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -7.18%E -1.87%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-17 14:30
LowVig.ag🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.49%EV -2.73%E -0.506%K -0.621%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.30%EV -6.23%E -3.85%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -5.98%E -1.53%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-17 13:20
BetOnline.ag🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.49%EV -2.73%E -0.506%K -0.621%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.30%EV -6.23%E -3.85%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -5.98%E -1.53%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-17 13:20
BetAnything🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.49%EV -2.73%E -0.506%K -0.621%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.30%EV -6.23%E -3.85%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -5.98%E -1.53%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-17 13:20
1xBet🎯5.36I 18.66%NM 17.48%EV -3.45%E -0.644%K -0.792%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.19%EV -6.81%E -4.23%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -7.18%E -1.87%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-17 14:30
Tipico (DE)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -4.53%E -0.856%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.50%EV -9.13%E -5.81%K -16.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -8.39%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-17 13:20
DraftKings🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.95%EV -5.44%E -1.04%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.18%EV -6.23%E -3.85%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -4.77%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-17 11:20
BetUS🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -5.44%E -1.04%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.98%EV -6.81%E -4.23%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.24%EV -7.18%E -1.87%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-17 13:51
Everygame🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.29%EV -5.44%E -1.04%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.83%EV -9.13%E -5.81%K -16.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.88%EV -12.01%E -3.29%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-17 13:09
Bovada🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -6.34%E -1.22%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.73%EV -6.23%E -3.85%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -7.18%E -1.87%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-17 13:49
Unibet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.08%EV -8.14%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.64%EV -7.39%E -4.62%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -8.39%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-17 13:50
Unibet (NL)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.08%EV -8.14%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.64%EV -7.39%E -4.62%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -8.39%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-17 13:50
TABtouch🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.08%EV -8.14%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.64%EV -7.39%E -4.62%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -8.39%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-17 13:51
Casumo🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.08%EV -8.14%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.64%EV -7.39%E -4.62%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -8.39%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-17 13:50
Grosvenor🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.08%EV -8.14%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.64%EV -7.39%E -4.62%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -8.39%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-17 13:50
Unibet (SE)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.08%EV -8.14%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.64%EV -7.39%E -4.62%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -8.39%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-17 13:50
ATG (SE)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.08%EV -8.14%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.64%EV -7.39%E -4.62%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -8.39%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-17 13:50
Svenska Spel🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.08%EV -8.14%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.64%EV -7.39%E -4.62%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -8.39%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-17 13:51
betPARX🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.08%EV -8.14%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.64%EV -7.39%E -4.62%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -8.39%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-17 13:50
GTbets🎯5.09I 19.65%NM 18.35%EV -8.32%E -1.63%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.61%EV -4.50%E -2.73%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.04%EV -10.08%E -2.70%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-17 12:50
BetMGM🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -9.94%E -1.99%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -4.50%E -2.73%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -9.60%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-16 22:19
Unibet (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -9.94%E -1.99%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -6.23%E -3.85%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -8.39%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-17 11:20
Betway🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -9.94%E -1.99%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -7.39%E -4.62%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -8.39%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-17 11:20
Bet Right🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -9.94%E -1.99%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.10%EV -8.55%E -5.41%K -14.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -5.98%E -1.53%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-17 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -9.94%E -1.99%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -7.39%E -4.62%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -9.60%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-17 13:50
BetRivers🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -9.94%E -1.99%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -7.39%E -4.62%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -9.60%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-17 13:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -9.94%E -1.99%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -9.13%E -5.81%K -16.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -5.98%E -1.53%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-17 14:20
888sport🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -9.94%E -1.99%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.06%EV -7.39%E -4.62%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -10.80%E -2.92%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-17 12:40
William Hill🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -9.94%E -1.99%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.06%EV -7.39%E -4.62%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -10.80%E -2.92%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-17 12:40
888sport (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -9.94%E -1.99%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.06%EV -7.39%E -4.62%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -10.80%E -2.92%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-17 12:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -9.94%E -1.99%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.06%EV -7.39%E -4.62%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -10.80%E -2.92%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-17 12:40
Virgin Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -9.94%E -1.99%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.56%EV -8.55%E -5.41%K -14.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.25%EV -9.60%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-17 13:50
LiveScore Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -9.94%E -1.99%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.56%EV -8.55%E -5.41%K -14.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.25%EV -9.60%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-17 13:51
Bet Victor🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -9.94%E -1.99%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -9.13%E -5.81%K -16.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -8.39%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-17 13:39
LeoVegas🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -9.94%E -1.99%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -9.13%E -5.81%K -16.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -9.60%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-17 13:50
betfred_uk🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -9.94%E -1.99%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -9.13%E -5.81%K -16.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -9.60%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-17 14:20
SportsBet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -9.94%E -1.99%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.21%EV -10.29%E -6.64%K -18.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -8.39%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-17 14:40
Sky Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -9.94%E -1.99%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.77%EV -11.44%E -7.48%K -21.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -13.21%E -3.67%K -5.08%G +0.000%13.1%2026-06-17 14:40
Paddy Power🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -9.94%E -1.99%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.82%EV -13.18%E -8.79%K -26.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.53%EV -9.60%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000%13.3%2026-06-17 14:40
NordicBet🎯4.95I 20.20%NM 18.84%EV -10.84%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.56%EV -6.23%E -3.85%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV -4.77%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-17 11:20
Betsson🎯4.95I 20.20%NM 18.84%EV -10.84%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.56%EV -6.23%E -3.85%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV -4.77%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-17 11:20
Betr (AU)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.55%EV -11.74%E -2.40%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.53%EV -8.55%E -5.41%K -14.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -8.39%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-17 14:21
Unibet (FR)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.47%EV -13.54%E -2.82%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 57.57%EV -10.87%E -7.06%K -20.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.96%EV -10.80%E -2.92%K -4.00%G +0.000%12.8%2026-06-17 14:30
PMU (FR)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.28%EV -13.54%E -2.82%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.35%EV -11.44%E -7.48%K -21.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -13.21%E -3.67%K -5.08%G +0.000%14.0%2026-06-17 13:50
PlayUp🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -14.44%E -3.04%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -7.39%E -4.62%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -9.60%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-17 13:00
BoyleSports🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 18.57%EV -14.44%E -3.04%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 56.92%EV -10.29%E -6.64%K -18.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.51%EV -13.21%E -3.67%K -5.08%G +0.000%13.3%2026-06-17 13:20
Neds🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -17.14%E -3.73%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -6.23%E -3.85%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -15.62%E -4.46%K -6.25%G +0.000%12.0%2026-06-16 22:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -17.14%E -3.73%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -6.23%E -3.85%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -15.62%E -4.46%K -6.25%G +0.000%12.0%2026-06-16 22:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -17.14%E -3.73%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.25%EV -6.81%E -4.23%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -15.62%E -4.46%K -6.25%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-16 22:20
Coral🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -17.14%E -3.73%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.25%EV -6.81%E -4.23%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -15.62%E -4.46%K -6.25%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-16 22:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 18.50%EV -18.94%E -4.21%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 55.49%EV -13.18%E -8.79%K -26.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.01%EV -22.85%E -7.14%K -10.39%G +0.000%20.1%2026-06-17 14:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.49%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.96%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%1.1%2026-06-17 14:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.49%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.96%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%1.1%2026-06-17 14:41
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.49%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.96%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%1.1%2026-06-17 14:41
Matchbook6.00I 16.67%NM 16.49%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.96%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%1.1%2026-06-17 14:30