La escuela de los momios

TPS Turku v KuPS Kuopio

Inicio: 2026-06-17 15:00 UTC

Final: TPS Turku 1–2 KuPS Kuopio

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

TPS Turku (Local)

Predicción 18.01%5.55momio equitativo
EV +5.37%
Ventaja +0.918%
Kelly +1.11%
Crecimiento +0.060%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.44%17.88%18.14%19.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.065.005.8522.22%19.77%20.00%17.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

KuPS Kuopio (Visitante)

Predicción 57.88%1.73momio equitativo
EV -4.50%
Ventaja -2.73%
Kelly -6.92%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.10%58.00%57.79%60.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.591.601.6566.67%62.81%62.50%60.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.11%4.15momio equitativo
EV -1.16%
Ventaja -0.282%
Kelly -0.373%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.45%24.11%24.07%26.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.773.804.1031.25%26.55%26.32%24.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet5.85I 17.09%NM 16.44%EV +5.37%E +0.918%K +1.11%G +0.060%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.11%EV -7.39%E -4.62%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.46%EV -1.16%E -0.282%K -0.373%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-17 11:19
Pinnacle5.71I 17.51%NM 16.86%EV +2.85%E +0.499%K +0.605%G +0.017%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.07%EV -5.66%E -3.47%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.07%EV -3.57%E -0.892%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-17 14:50
FanDuel5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -0.932%E -0.169%K -0.207%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.24%EV -9.13%E -5.81%K -16.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -5.98%E -1.53%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-17 14:40
Marathon Bet5.45I 18.35%NM 17.11%EV -1.83%E -0.336%K -0.412%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.66%EV -7.97%E -5.01%K -13.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -7.18%E -1.87%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-17 14:30
LowVig.ag5.40I 18.52%NM 17.49%EV -2.73%E -0.506%K -0.621%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.30%EV -6.23%E -3.85%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -5.98%E -1.53%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-17 13:20
BetOnline.ag5.40I 18.52%NM 17.49%EV -2.73%E -0.506%K -0.621%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.30%EV -6.23%E -3.85%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -5.98%E -1.53%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-17 13:20
BetAnything5.40I 18.52%NM 17.49%EV -2.73%E -0.506%K -0.621%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.30%EV -6.23%E -3.85%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -5.98%E -1.53%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-17 13:20
1xBet5.36I 18.66%NM 17.48%EV -3.45%E -0.644%K -0.792%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.19%EV -6.81%E -4.23%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -7.18%E -1.87%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-17 14:30
Tipico (DE)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -4.53%E -0.856%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.50%EV -9.13%E -5.81%K -16.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -8.39%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-17 13:20
DraftKings5.25I 19.05%NM 17.95%EV -5.44%E -1.04%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.18%EV -6.23%E -3.85%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -4.77%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-17 11:20
BetUS5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -5.44%E -1.04%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.98%EV -6.81%E -4.23%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.24%EV -7.18%E -1.87%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-17 13:51
Everygame5.25I 19.05%NM 17.29%EV -5.44%E -1.04%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.83%EV -9.13%E -5.81%K -16.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.88%EV -12.01%E -3.29%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-17 13:09
Bovada5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -6.34%E -1.22%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.73%EV -6.23%E -3.85%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -7.18%E -1.87%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-17 13:49
Unibet5.10I 19.61%NM 18.08%EV -8.14%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.64%EV -7.39%E -4.62%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -8.39%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-17 13:50
Unibet (NL)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.08%EV -8.14%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.64%EV -7.39%E -4.62%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -8.39%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-17 13:50
TABtouch5.10I 19.61%NM 18.08%EV -8.14%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.64%EV -7.39%E -4.62%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -8.39%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-17 13:51
Casumo5.10I 19.61%NM 18.08%EV -8.14%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.64%EV -7.39%E -4.62%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -8.39%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-17 13:50
Grosvenor5.10I 19.61%NM 18.08%EV -8.14%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.64%EV -7.39%E -4.62%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -8.39%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-17 13:50
Unibet (SE)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.08%EV -8.14%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.64%EV -7.39%E -4.62%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -8.39%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-17 13:50
ATG (SE)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.08%EV -8.14%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.64%EV -7.39%E -4.62%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -8.39%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-17 13:50
Svenska Spel5.10I 19.61%NM 18.08%EV -8.14%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.64%EV -7.39%E -4.62%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -8.39%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-17 13:51
betPARX5.10I 19.61%NM 18.08%EV -8.14%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.64%EV -7.39%E -4.62%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -8.39%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-17 13:50
GTbets5.09I 19.65%NM 18.35%EV -8.32%E -1.63%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.61%EV -4.50%E -2.73%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.04%EV -10.08%E -2.70%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-17 12:50
BetMGM5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -9.94%E -1.99%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -4.50%E -2.73%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -9.60%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-16 22:19
Unibet (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -9.94%E -1.99%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -6.23%E -3.85%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -8.39%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-17 11:20
Betway5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -9.94%E -1.99%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -7.39%E -4.62%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -8.39%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-17 11:20
Bet Right5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -9.94%E -1.99%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.10%EV -8.55%E -5.41%K -14.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -5.98%E -1.53%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-17 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -9.94%E -1.99%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -7.39%E -4.62%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -9.60%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-17 13:50
BetRivers5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -9.94%E -1.99%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -7.39%E -4.62%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -9.60%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-17 13:50
PointsBet (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -9.94%E -1.99%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -9.13%E -5.81%K -16.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -5.98%E -1.53%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-17 14:20
888sport5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -9.94%E -1.99%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.06%EV -7.39%E -4.62%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -10.80%E -2.92%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-17 12:40
William Hill5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -9.94%E -1.99%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.06%EV -7.39%E -4.62%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -10.80%E -2.92%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-17 12:40
888sport (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -9.94%E -1.99%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.06%EV -7.39%E -4.62%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -10.80%E -2.92%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-17 12:40
Mr Green (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -9.94%E -1.99%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.06%EV -7.39%E -4.62%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -10.80%E -2.92%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-17 12:40
Virgin Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -9.94%E -1.99%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.56%EV -8.55%E -5.41%K -14.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.25%EV -9.60%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-17 13:50
LiveScore Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -9.94%E -1.99%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.56%EV -8.55%E -5.41%K -14.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.25%EV -9.60%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-17 13:51
Bet Victor5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -9.94%E -1.99%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -9.13%E -5.81%K -16.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -8.39%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-17 13:39
LeoVegas5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -9.94%E -1.99%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -9.13%E -5.81%K -16.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -9.60%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-17 13:50
betfred_uk5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -9.94%E -1.99%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -9.13%E -5.81%K -16.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -9.60%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-17 14:20
SportsBet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -9.94%E -1.99%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.21%EV -10.29%E -6.64%K -18.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -8.39%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-17 14:40
Sky Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -9.94%E -1.99%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.77%EV -11.44%E -7.48%K -21.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -13.21%E -3.67%K -5.08%G +0.000%13.1%2026-06-17 14:40
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -9.94%E -1.99%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.82%EV -13.18%E -8.79%K -26.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.53%EV -9.60%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000%13.3%2026-06-17 14:40
NordicBet4.95I 20.20%NM 18.84%EV -10.84%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.56%EV -6.23%E -3.85%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV -4.77%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-17 11:20
Betsson4.95I 20.20%NM 18.84%EV -10.84%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.56%EV -6.23%E -3.85%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV -4.77%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-17 11:20
Betr (AU)4.90I 20.41%NM 18.55%EV -11.74%E -2.40%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.53%EV -8.55%E -5.41%K -14.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -8.39%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-17 14:21
Unibet (FR)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.47%EV -13.54%E -2.82%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 57.57%EV -10.87%E -7.06%K -20.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.96%EV -10.80%E -2.92%K -4.00%G +0.000%12.8%2026-06-17 14:30
PMU (FR)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.28%EV -13.54%E -2.82%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.35%EV -11.44%E -7.48%K -21.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -13.21%E -3.67%K -5.08%G +0.000%14.0%2026-06-17 13:50
PlayUp4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -14.44%E -3.04%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -7.39%E -4.62%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -9.60%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-17 13:00
BoyleSports4.75I 21.05%NM 18.57%EV -14.44%E -3.04%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 56.92%EV -10.29%E -6.64%K -18.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.51%EV -13.21%E -3.67%K -5.08%G +0.000%13.3%2026-06-17 13:20
Neds4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -17.14%E -3.73%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -6.23%E -3.85%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -15.62%E -4.46%K -6.25%G +0.000%12.0%2026-06-16 22:20
Ladbrokes (AU)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -17.14%E -3.73%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -6.23%E -3.85%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -15.62%E -4.46%K -6.25%G +0.000%12.0%2026-06-16 22:20
Ladbrokes (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -17.14%E -3.73%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.25%EV -6.81%E -4.23%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -15.62%E -4.46%K -6.25%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-16 22:20
Coral4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -17.14%E -3.73%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.25%EV -6.81%E -4.23%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -15.62%E -4.46%K -6.25%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-16 22:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 18.50%EV -18.94%E -4.21%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 55.49%EV -13.18%E -8.79%K -26.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.01%EV -22.85%E -7.14%K -10.39%G +0.000%20.1%2026-06-17 14:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.49%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.96%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%1.1%2026-06-17 14:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.49%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.96%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%1.1%2026-06-17 14:41
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.49%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.96%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%1.1%2026-06-17 14:41
Matchbook6.00I 16.67%NM 16.49%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.96%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%1.1%2026-06-17 14:30