Language:English
TPS Turku v Ilves Tampere
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
TPS Turku (Local)
Prediction 36.49%2.74fair odd
EV -2.57%
Edge -0.964%
Kelly -1.54%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.67
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.48%36.52%36.60%37.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.522.502.6743.48%39.72%40.00%37.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Ilves Tampere (Visit)
Prediction 37.22%2.69fair odd
EV -3.22%
Edge -1.24%
Kelly -2.02%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.56%37.22%37.17%38.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.452.452.6045.45%40.82%40.82%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.29%3.80fair odd
EV -2.73%
Edge -0.737%
Kelly -1.01%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.73%26.25%26.23%27.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.513.503.7030.30%28.50%28.57%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: TPS Turku (Local): 36.49%; Ilves Tampere (Visit): 37.22%; Draw: 26.29%. For TPS Turku (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.74. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.67, with an expected value of -2.57%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.98%EV -2.57%E -0.964%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.95%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.06%EV -6.67%E -1.88%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-13 15:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.66%EV -4.03%E -1.53%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.28%EV -8.81%E -3.60%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-15 08:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.66%EV -4.03%E -1.53%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.28%EV -8.81%E -3.60%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-15 08:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.66%EV -4.03%E -1.53%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.28%EV -8.81%E -3.60%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-15 08:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.66%EV -4.03%E -1.53%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.28%EV -8.81%E -3.60%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-15 08:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.66%EV -4.03%E -1.53%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.28%EV -8.81%E -3.60%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-15 08:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.66%EV -4.03%E -1.53%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.28%EV -8.81%E -3.60%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-15 08:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.66%EV -4.03%E -1.53%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.28%EV -8.81%E -3.60%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-15 08:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.66%EV -4.03%E -1.53%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.28%EV -8.81%E -3.60%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-15 08:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.66%EV -4.03%E -1.53%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.28%EV -8.81%E -3.60%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-15 08:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.21%EV -4.40%E -1.68%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.06%EV -4.71%E -1.84%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.73%EV -6.67%E -1.88%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-18 12:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.60%EV -5.13%E -1.97%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.32%EV -5.09%E -1.99%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.07%EV -4.04%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-18 12:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.23%EV -5.13%E -1.97%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.38%EV -6.20%E -2.46%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.39%EV -6.15%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-15 08:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -5.13%E -1.97%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -5.09%E -1.99%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -9.30%E -2.70%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-18 12:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.75%EV -5.49%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.32%EV -5.09%E -1.99%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.93%EV -3.52%E -0.958%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-13 15:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.59I 38.61%NM 35.91%EV -5.49%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.81%EV -8.44%E -3.43%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.28%EV -6.93%E -1.96%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-14 21:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.59I 38.61%NM 35.91%EV -5.49%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.81%EV -8.44%E -3.43%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.28%EV -6.93%E -1.96%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-15 03:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.95%E -2.73%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -6.95%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-18 00:33 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.95%E -2.73%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -6.95%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-18 00:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -6.95%E -2.73%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.95%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.99%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-15 08:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -6.95%E -2.73%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.95%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.99%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-18 00:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.21%EV -6.95%E -2.73%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.64%EV -6.20%E -2.46%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -10.62%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-18 12:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -8.81%E -3.60%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -7.99%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-17 12:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -8.81%E -3.60%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -7.99%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-18 00:09 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -8.81%E -3.60%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -7.99%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-18 00:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -6.95%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -10.62%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-16 15:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -6.95%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -10.62%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-16 15:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -6.95%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -10.62%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-16 15:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -6.95%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -10.62%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-16 15:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -10.67%E -4.45%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-16 07:41 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.14%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.88%EV -8.81%E -3.60%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.97%EV -11.93%E -3.56%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-18 12:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.91%EV -9.51%E -3.83%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.90%EV -12.53%E -5.33%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -10.62%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-15 08:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.91%EV -9.51%E -3.83%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.90%EV -12.53%E -5.33%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -10.62%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-15 08:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.79%EV -9.51%E -3.83%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.10%EV -13.27%E -5.70%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -10.62%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-15 08:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.79%EV -9.51%E -3.83%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.10%EV -13.27%E -5.70%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -10.62%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-15 08:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -10.60%E -4.33%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.09%EV -6.95%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -2.73%E -0.737%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-18 12:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.59%EV -10.60%E -4.33%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -6.95%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-15 08:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.45%EV -10.60%E -4.33%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -6.95%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -6.67%E -1.88%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-15 08:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -10.60%E -4.33%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -6.95%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -7.99%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-15 08:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.04%EV -10.60%E -4.33%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.04%EV -8.81%E -3.60%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -7.99%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-18 12:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -10.60%E -4.33%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -10.67%E -4.45%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -10.62%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-15 08:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -10.60%E -4.33%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -10.67%E -4.45%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -10.62%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-15 08:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -10.60%E -4.33%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -10.67%E -4.45%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -10.62%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-15 08:31 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -10.60%E -4.33%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -10.67%E -4.45%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -10.62%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-15 08:31 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.79%EV -12.43%E -5.18%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -8.81%E -3.60%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-15 08:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.79%EV -12.43%E -5.18%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -8.81%E -3.60%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-15 08:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.23%EV -12.43%E -5.18%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.23%EV -10.67%E -4.45%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -7.99%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-15 08:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.48%EV -12.43%E -5.18%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.71%EV -18.11%E -8.23%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.81%EV -13.24%E -4.01%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 17.4% | 2026-09-18 12:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.72%EV -13.16%E -5.53%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.64%EV -8.81%E -3.60%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -7.99%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-16 12:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 35.98%EV -13.16%E -5.53%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.06%EV -16.25%E -7.22%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.95%EV -13.24%E -4.01%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-09-15 08:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -16.08%E -6.99%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -14.39%E -6.26%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.73%EV -7.99%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-09-14 02:14 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.19% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.57% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.25% | 1.6% | 2026-09-18 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.19% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.57% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.25% | 1.6% | 2026-09-18 14:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.19% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.57% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.25% | 1.6% | 2026-09-18 13:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.08% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.75% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.17% | 1.9% | 2026-09-18 14:45 |