Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

TPS Turku v Ilves Tampere

2026-09-19 12:00 UTC — Veikkausliiga - Finland

Head to Head

27 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

TPS Turku (Local)

Prediction 36.55%2.74fair odd
EV -4.98%
Edge -1.91%
Kelly -3.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.01%36.41%36.55%37.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.512.502.6042.02%39.86%40.00%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ilves Tampere (Visit)

Prediction 37.38%2.67fair odd
EV -4.30%
Edge -1.68%
Kelly -2.76%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.17%37.50%37.38%38.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.402.402.5645.45%41.67%41.67%39.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.07%3.84fair odd
EV -4.85%
Edge -1.33%
Kelly -1.83%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.19%26.09%26.07%26.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.443.403.6531.25%29.08%29.41%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: TPS Turku (Local): 36.55%; Ilves Tampere (Visit): 37.38%; Draw: 26.07%. For Ilves Tampere (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.67. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.56, with an expected value of -4.30%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%EV -4.98%E -1.91%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.23%EV -4.30%E -1.68%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.85%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-12 18:11
1xBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -4.98%E -1.91%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -6.54%E -2.62%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.15%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 17:21
LowVig.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -4.98%E -1.91%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -6.54%E -2.62%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 18:25
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -6.80%E -2.67%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -10.28%E -4.28%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-12 14:20
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -6.80%E -2.67%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -10.28%E -4.28%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-12 14:20
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -6.80%E -2.67%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -10.28%E -4.28%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -6.80%E -2.67%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -10.28%E -4.28%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -6.80%E -2.67%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -10.28%E -4.28%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-12 14:20
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -6.80%E -2.67%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -10.28%E -4.28%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-12 14:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -6.80%E -2.67%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -10.28%E -4.28%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-12 14:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -6.80%E -2.67%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -10.28%E -4.28%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-12 14:20
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -6.80%E -2.67%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -10.28%E -4.28%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-12 14:20
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.59%EV -8.41%E -3.43%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -6.15%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-12 16:40
FanDuel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.59%EV -8.41%E -3.43%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -6.15%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-12 16:40
Bet Right🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.45%EV -8.41%E -3.43%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -7.45%E -2.10%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-12 16:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -8.41%E -3.43%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-12 16:21
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -8.41%E -3.43%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -10.06%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-12 16:21
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.59%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.86%EV -12.15%E -5.17%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.56%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-12 14:20
BetRivers🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.59%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.86%EV -12.15%E -5.17%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.56%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-12 14:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.63%EV -9.36%E -3.78%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.60%EV -12.15%E -5.17%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -13.97%E -4.23%K -6.07%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-12 14:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.63%EV -9.36%E -3.78%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.60%EV -12.15%E -5.17%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -13.97%E -4.23%K -6.07%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-12 14:20
Paddy Power🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -10.46%E -4.27%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.79%EV -10.28%E -4.28%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -6.15%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-12 16:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -10.46%E -4.27%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.79%EV -10.28%E -4.28%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -6.15%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-12 16:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.01%EV -10.46%E -4.27%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.99%EV -17.76%E -8.07%K -14.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.99%EV -13.97%E -4.23%K -6.07%G +0.000%16.6%2026-09-12 16:21
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.23%EV -12.29%E -5.12%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.23%EV -10.28%E -4.28%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-12 16:40
PMU (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 35.68%EV -12.29%E -5.12%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 37.56%EV -14.77%E -6.48%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.76%EV -16.58%E -5.18%K -7.54%G +0.000%16.8%2026-09-12 14:20
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 36.28%EV -13.02%E -5.47%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.55%EV -14.02%E -6.09%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.17%EV -13.97%E -4.23%K -6.07%G +0.000%15.8%2026-09-12 16:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.