L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
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TPS Turku v Ilves Tampere

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-19 12:00 UTC

Score final : TPS Turku 0–3 Ilves Tampere

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

TPS Turku (Local)

Prévision 36.49%2.74cote équitable
EV -2.57%
Avantage -0.964%
Kelly -1.54%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.67

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.48%36.52%36.60%37.85%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.302.522.502.6743.48%39.72%40.00%37.45%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Ilves Tampere (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.22%2.69cote équitable
EV -3.22%
Avantage -1.24%
Kelly -2.02%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.56%37.22%37.17%38.71%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.202.452.452.6045.45%40.82%40.82%38.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.29%3.80cote équitable
EV -2.73%
Avantage -0.737%
Kelly -1.01%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.73%26.25%26.23%27.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.513.503.7030.30%28.50%28.57%27.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : TPS Turku (Local) : 36.49% ; Ilves Tampere (Visiteur) : 37.22% ; Match nul : 26.29%. Pour TPS Turku (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.74. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.67, pour une espérance de -2.57% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 35.98%EV -2.57%E -0.964%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.95%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.06%EV -6.67%E -1.88%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-13 15:55
Unibet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.66%EV -4.03%E -1.53%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.28%EV -8.81%E -3.60%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-15 08:35
Casumo🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.66%EV -4.03%E -1.53%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.28%EV -8.81%E -3.60%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-15 08:35
Grosvenor🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.66%EV -4.03%E -1.53%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.28%EV -8.81%E -3.60%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-15 08:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.66%EV -4.03%E -1.53%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.28%EV -8.81%E -3.60%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-15 08:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.66%EV -4.03%E -1.53%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.28%EV -8.81%E -3.60%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-15 08:34
TABtouch🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.66%EV -4.03%E -1.53%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.28%EV -8.81%E -3.60%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-15 08:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.66%EV -4.03%E -1.53%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.28%EV -8.81%E -3.60%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-15 08:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.66%EV -4.03%E -1.53%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.28%EV -8.81%E -3.60%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-15 08:35
betPARX🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.66%EV -4.03%E -1.53%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.28%EV -8.81%E -3.60%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-15 08:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.21%EV -4.40%E -1.68%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.06%EV -4.71%E -1.84%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.73%EV -6.67%E -1.88%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-18 12:05
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.60%EV -5.13%E -1.97%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.32%EV -5.09%E -1.99%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.07%EV -4.04%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-18 12:05
GTbets🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.23%EV -5.13%E -1.97%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.38%EV -6.20%E -2.46%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.39%EV -6.15%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-15 08:35
Betsson🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -5.13%E -1.97%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -5.09%E -1.99%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -9.30%E -2.70%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 12:10
Pinnacle🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 36.75%EV -5.49%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.32%EV -5.09%E -1.99%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.93%EV -3.52%E -0.958%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 15:20
1xBet🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 35.91%EV -5.49%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.81%EV -8.44%E -3.43%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.28%EV -6.93%E -1.96%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-14 21:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 35.91%EV -5.49%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.81%EV -8.44%E -3.43%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.28%EV -6.93%E -1.96%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-15 03:45
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.95%E -2.73%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -6.95%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 00:33
BetUS🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.95%E -2.73%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -6.95%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 00:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -6.95%E -2.73%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.95%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.99%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-15 08:25
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -6.95%E -2.73%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.95%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.99%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-18 00:35
NordicBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.21%EV -6.95%E -2.73%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.64%EV -6.20%E -2.46%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -10.62%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-18 12:15
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -8.81%E -3.60%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -7.99%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-17 12:05
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -8.81%E -3.60%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -7.99%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-18 00:09
betano_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -8.81%E -3.60%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -7.99%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-18 00:10
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -6.95%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -10.62%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-16 15:25
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -6.95%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -10.62%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-16 15:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -6.95%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -10.62%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-16 15:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -6.95%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -10.62%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-16 15:25
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -10.67%E -4.45%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-16 07:41
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.14%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.88%EV -8.81%E -3.60%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.97%EV -11.93%E -3.56%K -5.08%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-18 12:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.91%EV -9.51%E -3.83%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.90%EV -12.53%E -5.33%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -10.62%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-15 08:35
BetRivers🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.91%EV -9.51%E -3.83%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.90%EV -12.53%E -5.33%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -10.62%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-15 08:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.79%EV -9.51%E -3.83%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.10%EV -13.27%E -5.70%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -10.62%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-15 08:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.79%EV -9.51%E -3.83%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.10%EV -13.27%E -5.70%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -10.62%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-15 08:34
FanDuel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -10.60%E -4.33%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.09%EV -6.95%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -2.73%E -0.737%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-18 12:04
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.59%EV -10.60%E -4.33%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -6.95%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-15 08:55
Bet Right🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.45%EV -10.60%E -4.33%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -6.95%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -6.67%E -1.88%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-15 08:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -10.60%E -4.33%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -6.95%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -7.99%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-15 08:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.04%EV -10.60%E -4.33%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.04%EV -8.81%E -3.60%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -7.99%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-18 12:10
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -10.60%E -4.33%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -10.67%E -4.45%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -10.62%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-15 08:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -10.60%E -4.33%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -10.67%E -4.45%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -10.62%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-15 08:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -10.60%E -4.33%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -10.67%E -4.45%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -10.62%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-15 08:31
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -10.60%E -4.33%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -10.67%E -4.45%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -10.62%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-15 08:31
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.79%EV -12.43%E -5.18%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -8.81%E -3.60%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-15 08:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.79%EV -12.43%E -5.18%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -8.81%E -3.60%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-15 08:55
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.23%EV -12.43%E -5.18%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.23%EV -10.67%E -4.45%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -7.99%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-15 08:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 35.48%EV -12.43%E -5.18%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.71%EV -18.11%E -8.23%K -15.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.81%EV -13.24%E -4.01%K -5.76%G +0.000%17.4%2026-09-18 12:10
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.72%EV -13.16%E -5.53%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.64%EV -8.81%E -3.60%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -7.99%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-16 12:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 35.98%EV -13.16%E -5.53%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.06%EV -16.25%E -7.22%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.95%EV -13.24%E -4.01%K -5.76%G +0.000%16.8%2026-09-15 08:35
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -16.08%E -6.99%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -14.39%E -6.26%K -11.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.73%EV -7.99%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%15.5%2026-09-14 02:14
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.19%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.57%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.25%1.6%2026-09-18 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.19%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.57%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.25%1.6%2026-09-18 14:50
Matchbook◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.19%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.57%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.25%1.6%2026-09-18 13:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.08%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.75%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.17%1.9%2026-09-18 14:45