Language:English
TPS Turku v IF Gnistan
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
TPS Turku (Local)
Prediction 40.04%2.50fair odd
EV -3.89%
Edge -1.62%
Kelly -2.78%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.82%40.01%40.06%45.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.302.302.4052.36%43.53%43.48%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
IF Gnistan (Visit)
Prediction 33.81%2.96fair odd
EV -2.97%
Edge -1.03%
Kelly -1.59%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.87
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.03%33.82%33.78%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.702.702.8740.00%36.97%37.04%34.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.15%3.82fair odd
EV -1.43%
Edge -0.379%
Kelly -0.515%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.77
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.48%26.17%26.16%28.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.503.503.7734.72%28.58%28.57%26.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: TPS Turku (Local): 40.04%; IF Gnistan (Visit): 33.81%; Draw: 26.15%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.82. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.77, with an expected value of -1.43%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.05%EV -3.89%E -1.62%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.97%EV -4.32%E -1.53%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.98%EV -3.26%E -0.880%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-21 17:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.82%EV -3.89%E -1.62%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.77%EV -4.32%E -1.53%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.40%EV -5.35%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-23 21:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.52%EV -3.89%E -1.62%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.49%EV -7.03%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.99%EV -4.56%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 15:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.64%EV -4.69%E -1.97%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.70%EV -2.97%E -1.03%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.66%EV -1.43%E -0.379%K -0.515%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.07%EV -4.69%E -1.97%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -10.41%E -3.93%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -5.87%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 13:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -5.89%E -2.51%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -8.72%E -3.23%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -5.87%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 15:03 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -5.89%E -2.51%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -8.72%E -3.23%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -5.87%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-24 03:46 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -5.89%E -2.51%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -8.72%E -3.23%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -5.87%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -5.89%E -2.51%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -10.41%E -3.93%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.49%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-23 10:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -5.89%E -2.51%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -10.41%E -3.93%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.49%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-23 10:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.47%EV -6.30%E -2.69%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.58%EV -4.66%E -1.65%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.95%EV -4.56%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 19:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.47%EV -6.30%E -2.69%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.58%EV -4.66%E -1.65%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.95%EV -4.56%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 19:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.47%EV -6.30%E -2.69%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.58%EV -4.66%E -1.65%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.95%EV -4.56%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 19:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.03%EV -6.30%E -2.69%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 33.58%EV -5.67%E -2.03%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -7.18%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 23:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.19%EV -7.10%E -3.06%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.54%EV -6.01%E -2.16%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -7.18%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 23:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -7.90%E -3.43%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -5.34%E -1.91%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -8.49%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 21:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.90%E -3.43%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -5.34%E -1.91%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -11.10%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 20:13 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.90%E -3.43%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.72%E -3.23%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.49%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-24 03:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.90%E -3.43%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.72%E -3.23%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.49%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 22:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.90%E -3.43%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.72%E -3.23%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.49%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 22:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.90%E -3.43%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.72%E -3.23%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.49%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 22:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.90%E -3.43%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.72%E -3.23%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.49%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 22:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.90%E -3.43%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.72%E -3.23%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.49%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 22:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.90%E -3.43%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.72%E -3.23%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.49%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 22:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.90%E -3.43%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.72%E -3.23%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.49%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 22:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.90%E -3.43%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.72%E -3.23%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.49%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 22:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.90%E -3.43%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.72%E -3.23%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.49%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 22:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.90%E -3.43%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.03%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.10%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-23 19:43 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -7.90%E -3.43%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -8.72%E -3.23%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -11.10%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-24 03:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -7.90%E -3.43%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -8.72%E -3.23%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -11.10%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-24 02:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -7.90%E -3.43%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -8.72%E -3.23%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -11.10%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-24 02:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -7.90%E -3.43%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -8.72%E -3.23%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -11.10%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-24 03:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.90%E -3.43%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.63%EV -11.42%E -4.36%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -8.49%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-23 10:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.90%E -3.43%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.63%EV -11.42%E -4.36%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -8.49%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-23 10:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -7.90%E -3.43%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -10.41%E -3.93%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -11.10%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-23 15:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -7.90%E -3.43%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -11.42%E -4.36%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -11.10%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-23 10:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -7.90%E -3.43%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -12.10%E -4.65%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -11.10%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-23 13:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -7.90%E -3.43%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -12.10%E -4.65%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -11.10%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-23 12:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -7.90%E -3.43%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -12.10%E -4.65%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -11.10%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-23 12:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -7.90%E -3.43%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -12.10%E -4.65%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -11.10%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-23 12:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.80%EV -8.70%E -3.81%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.99%EV -4.66%E -1.65%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -7.18%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 19:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.80%EV -8.70%E -3.81%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.99%EV -4.66%E -1.65%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -7.18%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 19:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.07%EV -8.70%E -3.81%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -8.72%E -3.23%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -8.49%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-23 22:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.07%EV -8.70%E -3.81%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -8.72%E -3.23%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -8.49%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-23 22:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.07%EV -8.70%E -3.81%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -8.72%E -3.23%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -8.49%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-23 22:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.07%EV -8.70%E -3.81%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -8.72%E -3.23%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -8.49%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-23 22:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.07%EV -8.70%E -3.81%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -8.72%E -3.23%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -8.49%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-23 22:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -9.90%E -4.40%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -8.72%E -3.23%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -8.49%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-23 19:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -9.90%E -4.40%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -8.72%E -3.23%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -8.49%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-24 03:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -9.90%E -4.40%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -12.10%E -4.65%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -11.10%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-23 10:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.95%EV -11.90%E -5.41%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.81%EV -12.10%E -4.65%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.24%EV -12.41%E -3.70%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-23 22:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 37.82%EV -11.90%E -5.41%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.28%EV -15.48%E -6.19%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.89%EV -24.70%E -8.58%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-04-23 10:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.96%EV -13.90%E -6.47%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.87%EV -12.10%E -4.65%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -8.49%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-23 19:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.49%EV -23.51%E -12.31%K -25.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.03%EV -5.34%E -1.91%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.48%EV -3.26%E -0.880%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-04-24 03:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.40% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.31% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.29% | 1.4% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.60% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.20% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.20% | 1.8% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.60% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.20% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.20% | 1.8% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.46% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.08% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.46% | 2.1% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |