L’École des cotes

TPS Turku v FC Lahti

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-10 15:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

TPS Turku (Local)

Prévision 30.09%3.32cote équitable
EV -2.21%
Avantage -0.680%
Kelly -0.983%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.46%30.03%30.10%31.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.073.103.2535.71%32.59%32.26%30.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

FC Lahti (Visiteur)

Prévision 42.96%2.33cote équitable
EV -3.34%
Avantage -1.48%
Kelly -2.67%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.72%43.05%42.94%45.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.142.152.2550.00%46.75%46.51%44.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.95%3.71cote équitable
EV -0.286%
Avantage -0.077%
Kelly -0.106%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.82%26.92%26.96%29.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.343.403.7034.72%29.93%29.41%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
BetMGM3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -2.21%E -0.680%K -0.983%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -11.93%E -5.82%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -5.68%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-10 05:15
Pinnacle3.24I 30.86%NM 29.88%EV -2.51%E -0.775%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.81%EV -5.06%E -2.29%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.31%EV -0.825%E -0.224%K -0.308%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-10 14:45
GTbets3.23I 30.96%NM 28.81%EV -2.81%E -0.871%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.53%EV -10.21%E -4.89%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 26.66%EV -5.95%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-10 05:35
Tipico (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -3.72%E -1.16%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -9.78%E -4.66%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -8.37%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-10 14:44
Betsson3.15I 31.75%NM 30.25%EV -5.22%E -1.66%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.92%EV -4.63%E -2.08%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.84%EV -4.33%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-10 14:34
NordicBet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.25%EV -5.22%E -1.66%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.92%EV -4.63%E -2.08%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.84%EV -4.33%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-10 14:34
DraftKings3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -5.22%E -1.66%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.97%EV -5.49%E -2.49%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.01%EV -5.68%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-10 05:35
Bovada3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -5.22%E -1.66%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -7.63%E -3.55%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.02%E -2.04%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-10 14:40
BetUS3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -5.22%E -1.66%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -7.63%E -3.55%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.02%E -2.04%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-10 14:50
BetAnything3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -5.22%E -1.66%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -7.63%E -3.55%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.02%E -2.04%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-10 14:50
1xBet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.17%EV -6.77%E -3.12%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.61%EV -5.14%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-10 14:50
Unibet (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -5.49%E -2.49%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.37%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-10 14:04
Marathon Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -7.63%E -3.55%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.51%EV -5.14%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-10 14:44
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.63%E -3.55%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.37%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-10 14:54
Casumo3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.49%E -2.49%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -13.76%E -4.30%K -6.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-09 18:00
Unibet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.49%E -2.49%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -13.76%E -4.30%K -6.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-09 18:01
TABtouch3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.49%E -2.49%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -13.76%E -4.30%K -6.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-09 18:00
Unibet (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.49%E -2.49%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -13.76%E -4.30%K -6.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-09 18:00
Unibet (NL)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.49%E -2.49%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -13.76%E -4.30%K -6.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-09 18:00
Grosvenor3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.49%E -2.49%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -13.76%E -4.30%K -6.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-09 18:01
ATG (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.49%E -2.49%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -13.76%E -4.30%K -6.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-09 18:00
betPARX3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.49%E -2.49%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -13.76%E -4.30%K -6.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-09 18:00
Svenska Spel3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.49%E -2.49%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -13.76%E -4.30%K -6.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-09 18:01
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.63%E -3.55%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.07%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-10 14:30
PointsBet (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -9.78%E -4.66%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.37%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-10 14:29
Virgin Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -6.34%E -2.91%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -13.76%E -4.30%K -6.25%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-09 18:00
LeoVegas3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -6.34%E -2.91%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -13.76%E -4.30%K -6.25%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-09 18:00
BetRivers3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -6.34%E -2.91%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -13.76%E -4.30%K -6.25%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-09 18:00
LiveScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -6.34%E -2.91%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -13.76%E -4.30%K -6.25%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-09 18:01
LeoVegas (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -6.34%E -2.91%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -13.76%E -4.30%K -6.25%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-09 18:00
Neds3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -14.08%E -7.04%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -11.07%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-10 05:14
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -14.08%E -7.04%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -11.07%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-10 05:15
Ladbrokes (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -14.08%E -7.04%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -11.07%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-10 05:14
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -14.08%E -7.04%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -11.07%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-10 05:15
Coolbet3.07I 32.57%NM 31.31%EV -7.63%E -2.48%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.72%EV -3.34%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.98%EV -0.286%E -0.077%K -0.106%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-10 14:45
Bet Right3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -8.23%E -2.70%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.53%EV -9.78%E -4.66%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -7.02%E -2.04%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-10 14:30
Everygame3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -8.23%E -2.70%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.36%EV -9.78%E -4.66%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -8.37%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-10 12:30
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -9.73%E -3.24%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.63%E -3.55%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.37%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-10 14:54
William Hill3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -9.73%E -3.24%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.63%E -3.55%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.37%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-10 14:55
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -9.73%E -3.24%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.63%E -3.55%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.37%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-10 14:54
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -9.73%E -3.24%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.63%E -3.55%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.37%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-10 14:54
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -9.73%E -3.24%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.63%E -3.55%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.37%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-10 14:48
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.73%E -3.24%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -9.78%E -4.66%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.37%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-10 14:55
Betr (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.73%E -3.24%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -9.78%E -4.66%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.37%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-10 14:30
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -9.73%E -3.24%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.78%E -4.66%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.07%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-10 14:55
PMU (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -9.73%E -3.24%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -9.78%E -4.66%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -16.46%E -5.31%K -7.84%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-09 18:00
LowVig.ag2.98I 33.56%NM 30.71%EV -10.33%E -3.47%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.37%EV -7.20%E -3.34%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.37%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-10 14:45
BetOnline.ag2.98I 33.56%NM 30.71%EV -10.33%E -3.47%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.37%EV -7.20%E -3.34%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.37%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-10 14:45
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -12.74%E -4.39%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -7.63%E -3.55%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -8.37%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-10 14:34
Sky Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -12.74%E -4.39%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -9.78%E -4.66%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -12.41%E -3.82%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-10 14:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 29.07%EV -13.34%E -4.63%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 41.86%EV -14.08%E -7.04%K -14.08%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.07%EV -22.38%E -7.77%K -11.91%G +0.000%19.4%2026-04-10 14:43
BoyleSports2.80I 35.71%NM 31.35%EV -15.75%E -5.63%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.83%EV -11.93%E -5.82%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -8.37%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-10 14:48
Unibet (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 30.14%EV -15.75%E -5.63%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.19%EV -14.08%E -7.04%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.67%EV -17.80%E -5.84%K -8.68%G +0.000%18.5%2026-04-10 14:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.34%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.71%1.2%2026-04-10 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.34%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.71%1.2%2026-04-10 14:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.34%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.71%1.2%2026-04-10 14:55
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.34%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.71%1.2%2026-04-10 14:50