La escuela de los momios

TPS Turku v FC Lahti

Inicio: 2026-04-10 15:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

TPS Turku (Local)

Predicción 30.09%3.32momio equitativo
EV -2.21%
Ventaja -0.680%
Kelly -0.983%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.46%30.03%30.10%31.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.073.103.2535.71%32.59%32.26%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

FC Lahti (Visitante)

Predicción 42.96%2.33momio equitativo
EV -3.34%
Ventaja -1.48%
Kelly -2.67%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.72%43.05%42.94%45.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.142.152.2550.00%46.75%46.51%44.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.95%3.71momio equitativo
EV -0.286%
Ventaja -0.077%
Kelly -0.106%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.82%26.92%26.96%29.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.343.403.7034.72%29.93%29.41%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
BetMGM3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -2.21%E -0.680%K -0.983%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -11.93%E -5.82%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -5.68%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-10 05:15
Pinnacle3.24I 30.86%NM 29.88%EV -2.51%E -0.775%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.81%EV -5.06%E -2.29%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.31%EV -0.825%E -0.224%K -0.308%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-10 14:45
GTbets3.23I 30.96%NM 28.81%EV -2.81%E -0.871%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.53%EV -10.21%E -4.89%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 26.66%EV -5.95%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-10 05:35
Tipico (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -3.72%E -1.16%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -9.78%E -4.66%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -8.37%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-10 14:44
Betsson3.15I 31.75%NM 30.25%EV -5.22%E -1.66%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.92%EV -4.63%E -2.08%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.84%EV -4.33%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-10 14:34
NordicBet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.25%EV -5.22%E -1.66%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.92%EV -4.63%E -2.08%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.84%EV -4.33%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-10 14:34
DraftKings3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -5.22%E -1.66%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.97%EV -5.49%E -2.49%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.01%EV -5.68%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-10 05:35
Bovada3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -5.22%E -1.66%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -7.63%E -3.55%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.02%E -2.04%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-10 14:40
BetUS3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -5.22%E -1.66%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -7.63%E -3.55%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.02%E -2.04%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-10 14:50
BetAnything3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -5.22%E -1.66%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -7.63%E -3.55%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.02%E -2.04%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-10 14:50
1xBet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.17%EV -6.77%E -3.12%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.61%EV -5.14%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-10 14:50
Unibet (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -5.49%E -2.49%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.37%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-10 14:04
Marathon Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -7.63%E -3.55%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.51%EV -5.14%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-10 14:44
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.63%E -3.55%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.37%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-10 14:54
Casumo3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.49%E -2.49%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -13.76%E -4.30%K -6.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-09 18:00
Unibet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.49%E -2.49%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -13.76%E -4.30%K -6.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-09 18:01
TABtouch3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.49%E -2.49%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -13.76%E -4.30%K -6.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-09 18:00
Unibet (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.49%E -2.49%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -13.76%E -4.30%K -6.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-09 18:00
Unibet (NL)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.49%E -2.49%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -13.76%E -4.30%K -6.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-09 18:00
Grosvenor3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.49%E -2.49%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -13.76%E -4.30%K -6.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-09 18:01
ATG (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.49%E -2.49%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -13.76%E -4.30%K -6.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-09 18:00
betPARX3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.49%E -2.49%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -13.76%E -4.30%K -6.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-09 18:00
Svenska Spel3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.49%E -2.49%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -13.76%E -4.30%K -6.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-09 18:01
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.63%E -3.55%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.07%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-10 14:30
PointsBet (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -9.78%E -4.66%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.37%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-10 14:29
Virgin Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -6.34%E -2.91%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -13.76%E -4.30%K -6.25%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-09 18:00
LeoVegas3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -6.34%E -2.91%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -13.76%E -4.30%K -6.25%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-09 18:00
BetRivers3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -6.34%E -2.91%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -13.76%E -4.30%K -6.25%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-09 18:00
LiveScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -6.34%E -2.91%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -13.76%E -4.30%K -6.25%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-09 18:01
LeoVegas (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -6.34%E -2.91%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -13.76%E -4.30%K -6.25%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-09 18:00
Neds3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -14.08%E -7.04%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -11.07%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-10 05:14
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -14.08%E -7.04%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -11.07%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-10 05:15
Ladbrokes (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -14.08%E -7.04%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -11.07%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-10 05:14
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -14.08%E -7.04%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -11.07%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-10 05:15
Coolbet3.07I 32.57%NM 31.31%EV -7.63%E -2.48%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.72%EV -3.34%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.98%EV -0.286%E -0.077%K -0.106%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-10 14:45
Bet Right3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -8.23%E -2.70%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.53%EV -9.78%E -4.66%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -7.02%E -2.04%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-10 14:30
Everygame3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -8.23%E -2.70%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.36%EV -9.78%E -4.66%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -8.37%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-10 12:30
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -9.73%E -3.24%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.63%E -3.55%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.37%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-10 14:54
William Hill3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -9.73%E -3.24%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.63%E -3.55%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.37%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-10 14:55
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -9.73%E -3.24%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.63%E -3.55%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.37%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-10 14:54
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -9.73%E -3.24%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.63%E -3.55%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.37%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-10 14:54
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -9.73%E -3.24%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.63%E -3.55%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.37%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-10 14:48
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.73%E -3.24%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -9.78%E -4.66%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.37%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-10 14:55
Betr (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.73%E -3.24%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -9.78%E -4.66%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.37%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-10 14:30
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -9.73%E -3.24%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.78%E -4.66%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.07%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-10 14:55
PMU (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -9.73%E -3.24%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -9.78%E -4.66%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -16.46%E -5.31%K -7.84%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-09 18:00
LowVig.ag2.98I 33.56%NM 30.71%EV -10.33%E -3.47%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.37%EV -7.20%E -3.34%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.37%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-10 14:45
BetOnline.ag2.98I 33.56%NM 30.71%EV -10.33%E -3.47%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.37%EV -7.20%E -3.34%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.37%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-10 14:45
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -12.74%E -4.39%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -7.63%E -3.55%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -8.37%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-10 14:34
Sky Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -12.74%E -4.39%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -9.78%E -4.66%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -12.41%E -3.82%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-10 14:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 29.07%EV -13.34%E -4.63%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 41.86%EV -14.08%E -7.04%K -14.08%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.07%EV -22.38%E -7.77%K -11.91%G +0.000%19.4%2026-04-10 14:43
BoyleSports2.80I 35.71%NM 31.35%EV -15.75%E -5.63%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.83%EV -11.93%E -5.82%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -8.37%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-10 14:48
Unibet (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 30.14%EV -15.75%E -5.63%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.19%EV -14.08%E -7.04%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.67%EV -17.80%E -5.84%K -8.68%G +0.000%18.5%2026-04-10 14:34
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.34%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.71%1.2%2026-04-10 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.34%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.71%1.2%2026-04-10 14:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.34%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.71%1.2%2026-04-10 14:55
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.34%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.71%1.2%2026-04-10 14:50