Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

SJK Seinäjoki v VPS Vaasa

Kickoff: 2026-06-17 18:00 UTC

Final: SJK Seinäjoki 1–2 VPS Vaasa

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

SJK Seinäjoki (Local)

Prediction 40.34%2.48fair odd
EV -3.18%
Edge -1.32%
Kelly -2.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.51%40.23%40.48%41.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.282.252.4047.62%43.92%44.44%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

VPS Vaasa (Visit)

Prediction 32.71%3.06fair odd
EV -0.577%
Edge -0.190%
Kelly -0.283%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.04

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.81%32.78%32.59%33.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.812.803.0438.46%35.64%35.71%32.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.95%3.71fair odd
EV -2.97%
Edge -0.825%
Kelly -1.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.28%26.98%26.93%28.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.383.403.6034.72%29.59%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SJK Seinäjoki (Local): 40.34%; VPS Vaasa (Visit): 32.71%; Draw: 26.95%. For VPS Vaasa (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.06. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.04, with an expected value of -0.577%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.56%EV -3.18%E -1.32%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 07:20
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -3.18%E -1.32%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-17 15:30
NordicBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -3.98%E -1.67%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.63%EV -9.08%E -3.27%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.01%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-17 07:20
Betsson🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -3.98%E -1.67%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.63%EV -9.08%E -3.27%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.01%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-17 07:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -3.98%E -1.67%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-17 17:50
Coolbet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.72%EV -4.79%E -2.03%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.58%EV -3.52%E -1.19%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.70%EV -2.97%E -0.825%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-17 16:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.19%EV -4.79%E -2.03%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.16%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.10%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 17:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.19%EV -4.79%E -2.03%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.16%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.10%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 17:50
BetUS🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -5.20%E -2.21%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -7.01%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-17 17:50
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -5.20%E -2.21%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.01%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-17 15:39
Pinnacle🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.33%EV -5.60%E -2.39%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.81%EV -0.577%E -0.190%K -0.283%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.86%EV -2.97%E -0.825%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-17 17:50
GTbets🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.14%EV -6.41%E -2.76%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.02%EV -7.77%E -2.76%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.84%EV -6.48%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-13 16:40
1xBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 40.55%EV -6.81%E -2.95%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.30%EV -5.16%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -7.01%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-17 17:50
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -7.21%E -3.14%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-17 17:49
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.21%E -3.14%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-17 17:50
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -7.21%E -3.14%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-17 17:50
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -7.21%E -3.14%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-17 17:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -7.21%E -3.14%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-17 17:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -7.21%E -3.14%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-17 17:50
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.39%EV -7.21%E -3.14%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -11.70%E -4.33%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -9.71%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-17 07:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.56%EV -7.21%E -3.14%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -13.99%E -5.32%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -13.75%E -4.30%K -6.25%G +0.000%12.8%2026-06-17 15:20
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.56%EV -7.21%E -3.14%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -13.99%E -5.32%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -13.75%E -4.30%K -6.25%G +0.000%12.8%2026-06-17 15:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -7.21%E -3.14%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.81%EV -14.31%E -5.46%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -13.75%E -4.30%K -6.25%G +0.000%12.9%2026-06-17 15:30
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -7.21%E -3.14%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.81%EV -14.31%E -5.46%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -13.75%E -4.30%K -6.25%G +0.000%12.9%2026-06-17 15:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 40.71%EV -7.62%E -3.33%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.26%EV -5.48%E -1.90%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -7.01%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-17 17:49
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -9.23%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -5.81%E -2.02%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-13 21:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -9.23%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -5.81%E -2.02%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-13 21:20
Grosvenor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -9.23%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -5.81%E -2.02%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-13 21:20
TABtouch🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -9.23%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -5.81%E -2.02%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-13 21:20
Casumo🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -9.23%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -5.81%E -2.02%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-13 21:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -9.23%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -5.81%E -2.02%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-13 21:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -9.23%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -5.81%E -2.02%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-13 21:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -9.23%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -5.81%E -2.02%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-13 21:20
betPARX🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -9.23%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -5.81%E -2.02%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-13 21:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -9.23%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-17 17:50
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -9.23%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-13 21:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -9.23%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-13 21:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -9.23%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-17 17:50
Bet Right🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -9.23%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -7.01%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-17 17:50
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -9.23%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-17 17:50
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -9.23%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-17 17:50
Everygame🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.40%EV -9.23%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -9.71%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-17 17:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -9.23%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-17 17:50
LeoVegas🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.85%EV -10.04%E -4.50%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.96%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -9.71%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-13 21:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.85%EV -10.04%E -4.50%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.96%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -9.71%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-13 21:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.85%EV -10.04%E -4.50%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.96%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -9.71%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-13 21:20
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -11.25%E -5.11%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-17 17:49
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -11.25%E -5.11%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-17 17:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -11.25%E -5.11%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -11.70%E -4.33%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.8%2026-06-17 17:50
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -11.25%E -5.11%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -11.70%E -4.33%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.8%2026-06-17 17:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 40.82%EV -12.86%E -5.95%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.06%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -12.40%E -3.82%K -5.51%G +0.000%13.4%2026-06-13 21:20
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.85%EV -13.26%E -6.17%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -11.70%E -4.33%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%13.9%2026-06-17 17:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 39.42%EV -15.28%E -7.28%K -13.89%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 31.84%EV -14.97%E -5.76%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.74%EV -22.38%E -7.77%K -11.90%G +0.000%20.8%2026-06-17 17:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.27%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.74%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.99%0.1%2026-06-17 17:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.27%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.74%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.99%0.1%2026-06-17 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.27%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.74%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.99%0.1%2026-06-17 17:50
Matchbook2.48I 40.32%NM 40.27%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.74%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.99%0.1%2026-06-17 17:50