La escuela de los momios

SJK Seinäjoki v VPS Vaasa

Inicio: 2026-06-17 18:00 UTC

Final: SJK Seinäjoki 1–2 VPS Vaasa

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

SJK Seinäjoki (Local)

Predicción 40.34%2.48momio equitativo
EV -3.18%
Ventaja -1.32%
Kelly -2.27%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.51%40.23%40.48%41.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.282.252.4047.62%43.92%44.44%41.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

VPS Vaasa (Visitante)

Predicción 32.71%3.06momio equitativo
EV -0.577%
Ventaja -0.190%
Kelly -0.283%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.04

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.81%32.78%32.59%33.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.812.803.0438.46%35.64%35.71%32.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.95%3.71momio equitativo
EV -2.97%
Ventaja -0.825%
Kelly -1.14%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.28%26.98%26.93%28.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.383.403.6034.72%29.59%29.41%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.56%EV -3.18%E -1.32%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 07:20
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -3.18%E -1.32%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-17 15:30
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -3.98%E -1.67%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.63%EV -9.08%E -3.27%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.01%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-17 07:20
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -3.98%E -1.67%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.63%EV -9.08%E -3.27%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.01%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-17 07:20
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -3.98%E -1.67%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-17 17:50
Coolbet2.36I 42.37%NM 40.72%EV -4.79%E -2.03%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.58%EV -3.52%E -1.19%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.70%EV -2.97%E -0.825%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-17 16:10
BetOnline.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 40.19%EV -4.79%E -2.03%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.16%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.10%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 17:50
LowVig.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 40.19%EV -4.79%E -2.03%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.16%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.10%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 17:50
BetUS2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -5.20%E -2.21%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -7.01%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-17 17:50
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -5.20%E -2.21%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.01%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-17 15:39
Pinnacle2.34I 42.74%NM 41.33%EV -5.60%E -2.39%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.81%EV -0.577%E -0.190%K -0.283%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.86%EV -2.97%E -0.825%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-17 17:50
GTbets2.32I 43.10%NM 40.14%EV -6.41%E -2.76%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.02%EV -7.77%E -2.76%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.84%EV -6.48%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-13 16:40
1xBet2.31I 43.29%NM 40.55%EV -6.81%E -2.95%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.30%EV -5.16%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -7.01%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-17 17:50
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -7.21%E -3.14%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-17 17:49
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.21%E -3.14%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-17 17:50
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -7.21%E -3.14%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-17 17:50
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -7.21%E -3.14%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-17 17:50
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -7.21%E -3.14%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-17 17:50
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -7.21%E -3.14%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-17 17:50
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 39.39%EV -7.21%E -3.14%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -11.70%E -4.33%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -9.71%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-17 07:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.56%EV -7.21%E -3.14%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -13.99%E -5.32%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -13.75%E -4.30%K -6.25%G +0.000%12.8%2026-06-17 15:20
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 38.56%EV -7.21%E -3.14%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -13.99%E -5.32%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -13.75%E -4.30%K -6.25%G +0.000%12.8%2026-06-17 15:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -7.21%E -3.14%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.81%EV -14.31%E -5.46%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -13.75%E -4.30%K -6.25%G +0.000%12.9%2026-06-17 15:30
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -7.21%E -3.14%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.81%EV -14.31%E -5.46%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -13.75%E -4.30%K -6.25%G +0.000%12.9%2026-06-17 15:20
Marathon Bet2.29I 43.67%NM 40.71%EV -7.62%E -3.33%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.26%EV -5.48%E -1.90%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -7.01%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-17 17:49
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -9.23%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -5.81%E -2.02%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-13 21:20
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -9.23%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -5.81%E -2.02%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-13 21:20
Grosvenor2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -9.23%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -5.81%E -2.02%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-13 21:20
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -9.23%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -5.81%E -2.02%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-13 21:20
Casumo2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -9.23%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -5.81%E -2.02%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-13 21:20
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -9.23%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -5.81%E -2.02%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-13 21:20
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -9.23%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -5.81%E -2.02%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-13 21:20
ATG (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -9.23%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -5.81%E -2.02%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-13 21:20
betPARX2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -9.23%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -5.81%E -2.02%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-13 21:30
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -9.23%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-17 17:50
BetRivers2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -9.23%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-13 21:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -9.23%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-13 21:20
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -9.23%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-17 17:50
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -9.23%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -7.01%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-17 17:50
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -9.23%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-17 17:50
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -9.23%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-17 17:50
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 40.40%EV -9.23%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -9.71%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-17 17:50
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -9.23%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-17 17:50
LeoVegas2.23I 44.84%NM 40.85%EV -10.04%E -4.50%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.96%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -9.71%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-13 21:20
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.85%EV -10.04%E -4.50%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.96%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -9.71%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-13 21:20
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.85%EV -10.04%E -4.50%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.96%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -9.71%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-13 21:20
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -11.25%E -5.11%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-17 17:49
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -11.25%E -5.11%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-17 17:50
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -11.25%E -5.11%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -11.70%E -4.33%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.8%2026-06-17 17:50
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -11.25%E -5.11%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -11.70%E -4.33%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.8%2026-06-17 17:50
PMU (FR)2.16I 46.30%NM 40.82%EV -12.86%E -5.95%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.06%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -12.40%E -3.82%K -5.51%G +0.000%13.4%2026-06-13 21:20
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 40.85%EV -13.26%E -6.17%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -11.70%E -4.33%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%13.9%2026-06-17 17:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 39.42%EV -15.28%E -7.28%K -13.89%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 31.84%EV -14.97%E -5.76%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.74%EV -22.38%E -7.77%K -11.90%G +0.000%20.8%2026-06-17 17:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.27%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.74%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.99%0.1%2026-06-17 17:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.27%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.74%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.99%0.1%2026-06-17 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.27%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.74%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.99%0.1%2026-06-17 17:50
Matchbook2.48I 40.32%NM 40.27%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.74%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.99%0.1%2026-06-17 17:50