Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.36
assuming max odds 2.96
assuming max odds 3.85
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SJK Seinäjoki (Local): 41.30%; Ilves Tampere (Visit): 33.18%; Draw: 25.52%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.92. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.85, with an expected value of -1.74%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.72%EV -2.53%E -1.07%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.32%EV -7.11%E -2.54%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.96%EV -1.74%E -0.452%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-02 09:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.72%EV -4.18%E -1.80%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.14%EV -3.13%E -1.07%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.14%EV -1.74%E -0.452%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-02 11:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -5.01%E -2.18%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -8.77%E -3.19%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.12%E -2.26%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-02 11:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -5.01%E -2.18%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -8.77%E -3.19%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.12%E -2.26%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-02 11:06 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.29%EV -5.83%E -2.56%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.92%EV -5.12%E -1.79%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -6.85%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-02 11:31 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.28%EV -6.66%E -2.95%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.09%EV -6.44%E -2.28%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.63%EV -7.10%E -1.95%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 11:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.07%E -3.14%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -5.45%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -5.57%E -1.51%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 11:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.55%EV -7.07%E -3.14%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 33.51%EV -7.44%E -2.67%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -4.29%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 11:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.07%E -3.14%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -7.11%E -2.54%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -5.57%E -1.51%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 11:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.07%E -3.14%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -7.11%E -2.54%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -5.57%E -1.51%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 11:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -7.07%E -3.14%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -8.77%E -3.19%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -8.12%E -2.26%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 11:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -7.07%E -3.14%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -10.42%E -3.86%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -8.12%E -2.26%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 11:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -7.07%E -3.14%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -8.77%E -3.19%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -10.67%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-02 11:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -7.07%E -3.14%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -8.77%E -3.19%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -10.67%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-02 11:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -7.07%E -3.14%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -8.77%E -3.19%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -10.67%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-02 11:11 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -7.07%E -3.14%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -8.77%E -3.19%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -10.67%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-02 11:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -7.07%E -3.14%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -8.77%E -3.19%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -10.67%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-02 11:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -7.07%E -3.14%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -12.75%E -4.85%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -13.23%E -3.89%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-02 11:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -7.07%E -3.14%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -12.75%E -4.85%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -13.23%E -3.89%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-02 11:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -7.07%E -3.14%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -13.08%E -4.99%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -13.23%E -3.89%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-02 11:06 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -7.07%E -3.14%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -13.08%E -4.99%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -13.23%E -3.89%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-02 11:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.48%EV -7.48%E -3.34%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.15%EV -1.80%E -0.607%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -4.29%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-02 11:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.48%EV -7.48%E -3.34%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.15%EV -1.80%E -0.607%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -4.29%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-02 11:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.33%EV -7.90%E -3.54%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -5.45%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -10.67%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 11:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.33%EV -7.90%E -3.54%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -5.45%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -10.67%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 11:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.33%EV -7.90%E -3.54%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -5.45%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -10.67%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 11:31 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.33%EV -7.90%E -3.54%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -5.45%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -10.67%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 11:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.33%EV -7.90%E -3.54%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -5.45%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -10.67%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 11:31 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.33%EV -7.90%E -3.54%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -5.45%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -10.67%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 11:31 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.33%EV -7.90%E -3.54%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -5.45%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -10.67%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 11:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.33%EV -7.90%E -3.54%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -5.45%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -10.67%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 11:31 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.33%EV -7.90%E -3.54%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -5.45%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -10.67%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 11:31 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.89%EV -8.31%E -3.74%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.98%EV -6.44%E -2.28%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -5.57%E -1.51%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 11:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.89%EV -8.31%E -3.74%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.98%EV -6.44%E -2.28%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -5.57%E -1.51%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 11:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.14%E -4.15%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -7.11%E -2.54%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -8.12%E -2.26%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 11:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.14%E -4.15%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -7.11%E -2.54%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -8.12%E -2.26%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 11:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.14%E -4.15%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -7.11%E -2.54%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -8.12%E -2.26%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 11:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.50%EV -9.14%E -4.15%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.04%EV -5.45%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -11.95%E -3.46%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-02 11:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.50%EV -9.14%E -4.15%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.04%EV -5.45%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -11.95%E -3.46%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-02 11:31 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -9.14%E -4.15%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -8.77%E -3.19%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -8.12%E -2.26%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-02 11:43 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.26%EV -9.14%E -4.15%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -7.11%E -2.54%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -11.95%E -3.46%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-02 11:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.26%EV -9.14%E -4.15%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -7.11%E -2.54%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -11.95%E -3.46%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-02 11:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.26%EV -9.14%E -4.15%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -7.11%E -2.54%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -11.95%E -3.46%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-02 11:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.22%EV -9.14%E -4.15%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -10.42%E -3.86%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -8.12%E -2.26%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-02 11:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -9.14%E -4.15%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -8.77%E -3.19%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -10.67%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-02 11:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -9.14%E -4.15%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -8.77%E -3.19%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -10.67%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-02 11:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -9.14%E -4.15%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.02%EV -13.08%E -4.99%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -10.67%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-02 11:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.26%EV -9.14%E -4.15%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.68%EV -12.75%E -4.85%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -13.23%E -3.89%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-02 11:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -11.20%E -5.21%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -8.77%E -3.19%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV -10.67%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-02 11:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.36%EV -12.44%E -5.87%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.47%EV -10.42%E -3.86%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.17%EV -14.50%E -4.33%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-02 11:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.65%EV -13.27%E -6.32%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.00%EV -12.08%E -4.56%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.35%EV -11.95%E -3.46%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-05-02 11:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 39.37%EV -13.27%E -6.32%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.07%EV -17.06%E -6.82%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.56%EV -23.44%E -7.81%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 21.0% | 2026-05-02 11:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.52%EV -15.33%E -7.48%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.27%EV -13.08%E -4.99%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.21%EV -8.12%E -2.26%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-05-02 11:30 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.11% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.38% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51% | 0.5% | 2026-05-02 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.02% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.53% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45% | 0.7% | 2026-05-02 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.02% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.53% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45% | 0.7% | 2026-05-02 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.02% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.53% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45% | 0.7% | 2026-05-02 11:55 |