L’École des cotes

SJK Seinäjoki v Ilves Tampere

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-02 12:00 UTC

Score final : SJK Seinäjoki 1–1 Ilves Tampere

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

SJK Seinäjoki (Local)

Prévision 41.30%2.42cote équitable
EV -2.53%
Avantage -1.07%
Kelly -1.86%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.36

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.37%41.28%41.41%42.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.052.222.232.3648.78%44.96%44.84%42.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Ilves Tampere (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.18%3.01cote équitable
EV -1.80%
Avantage -0.607%
Kelly -0.917%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.96

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.04%33.20%33.13%34.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.772.802.9640.00%36.06%35.71%33.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.52%3.92cote équitable
EV -1.74%
Avantage -0.452%
Kelly -0.611%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.21%25.51%25.46%27.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.543.503.8533.33%28.22%28.57%25.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet2.36I 42.37%NM 40.72%EV -2.53%E -1.07%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.32%EV -7.11%E -2.54%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.96%EV -1.74%E -0.452%K -0.611%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-02 09:59
Pinnacle2.32I 43.10%NM 41.72%EV -4.18%E -1.80%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.14%EV -3.13%E -1.07%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.14%EV -1.74%E -0.452%K -0.611%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-02 11:45
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -5.01%E -2.18%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -8.77%E -3.19%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.12%E -2.26%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 11:15
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -5.01%E -2.18%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -8.77%E -3.19%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.12%E -2.26%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 11:06
GTbets2.28I 43.86%NM 41.29%EV -5.83%E -2.56%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.92%EV -5.12%E -1.79%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -6.85%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 11:31
Marathon Bet2.26I 44.25%NM 41.28%EV -6.66%E -2.95%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.09%EV -6.44%E -2.28%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.63%EV -7.10%E -1.95%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 11:45
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.07%E -3.14%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -5.45%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -5.57%E -1.51%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 11:30
1xBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.55%EV -7.07%E -3.14%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.51%EV -7.44%E -2.67%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -4.29%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 11:55
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.07%E -3.14%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -7.11%E -2.54%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -5.57%E -1.51%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 11:55
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.07%E -3.14%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -7.11%E -2.54%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -5.57%E -1.51%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 11:55
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -7.07%E -3.14%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -8.77%E -3.19%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -8.12%E -2.26%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 11:54
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -7.07%E -3.14%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -10.42%E -3.86%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -8.12%E -2.26%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 11:55
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -7.07%E -3.14%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -8.77%E -3.19%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -10.67%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-02 11:25
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -7.07%E -3.14%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -8.77%E -3.19%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -10.67%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-02 11:25
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -7.07%E -3.14%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -8.77%E -3.19%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -10.67%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-02 11:11
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -7.07%E -3.14%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -8.77%E -3.19%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -10.67%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-02 11:25
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -7.07%E -3.14%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -8.77%E -3.19%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -10.67%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-02 11:25
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -7.07%E -3.14%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -12.75%E -4.85%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -13.23%E -3.89%K -5.51%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-02 11:05
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -7.07%E -3.14%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -12.75%E -4.85%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -13.23%E -3.89%K -5.51%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-02 11:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -7.07%E -3.14%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -13.08%E -4.99%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -13.23%E -3.89%K -5.51%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-02 11:06
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -7.07%E -3.14%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -13.08%E -4.99%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -13.23%E -3.89%K -5.51%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-02 11:05
LowVig.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 42.48%EV -7.48%E -3.34%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.15%EV -1.80%E -0.607%K -0.917%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -4.29%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 11:35
BetAnything2.24I 44.64%NM 42.48%EV -7.48%E -3.34%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.15%EV -1.80%E -0.607%K -0.917%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -4.29%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 11:35
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.33%EV -7.90%E -3.54%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -5.45%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -10.67%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 11:35
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 41.33%EV -7.90%E -3.54%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -5.45%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -10.67%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 11:30
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.33%EV -7.90%E -3.54%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -5.45%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -10.67%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 11:31
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 41.33%EV -7.90%E -3.54%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -5.45%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -10.67%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 11:35
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 41.33%EV -7.90%E -3.54%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -5.45%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -10.67%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 11:31
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.33%EV -7.90%E -3.54%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -5.45%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -10.67%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 11:31
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.33%EV -7.90%E -3.54%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -5.45%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -10.67%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 11:30
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 41.33%EV -7.90%E -3.54%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -5.45%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -10.67%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 11:31
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 41.33%EV -7.90%E -3.54%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -5.45%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -10.67%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 11:31
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 41.89%EV -8.31%E -3.74%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.98%EV -6.44%E -2.28%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -5.57%E -1.51%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 11:45
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.89%EV -8.31%E -3.74%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.98%EV -6.44%E -2.28%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -5.57%E -1.51%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 11:10
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.14%E -4.15%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -7.11%E -2.54%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -8.12%E -2.26%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 11:35
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.14%E -4.15%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -7.11%E -2.54%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -8.12%E -2.26%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 11:15
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.14%E -4.15%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -7.11%E -2.54%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -8.12%E -2.26%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 11:35
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 41.50%EV -9.14%E -4.15%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.04%EV -5.45%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -11.95%E -3.46%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 11:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.50%EV -9.14%E -4.15%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.04%EV -5.45%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -11.95%E -3.46%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 11:31
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -9.14%E -4.15%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -8.77%E -3.19%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -8.12%E -2.26%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 11:43
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.26%EV -9.14%E -4.15%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -7.11%E -2.54%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -11.95%E -3.46%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 11:50
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.26%EV -9.14%E -4.15%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -7.11%E -2.54%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -11.95%E -3.46%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 11:50
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 41.26%EV -9.14%E -4.15%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -7.11%E -2.54%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -11.95%E -3.46%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 11:50
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 41.22%EV -9.14%E -4.15%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -10.42%E -3.86%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -8.12%E -2.26%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-02 11:35
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -9.14%E -4.15%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -8.77%E -3.19%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -10.67%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 11:45
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -9.14%E -4.15%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -8.77%E -3.19%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -10.67%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 11:35
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -9.14%E -4.15%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.02%EV -13.08%E -4.99%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -10.67%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-02 11:54
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.26%EV -9.14%E -4.15%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.68%EV -12.75%E -4.85%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -13.23%E -3.89%K -5.51%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-02 11:55
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -11.20%E -5.21%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -8.77%E -3.19%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV -10.67%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-02 11:34
PMU (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 41.36%EV -12.44%E -5.87%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.47%EV -10.42%E -3.86%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.17%EV -14.50%E -4.33%K -6.17%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-02 11:49
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.65%EV -13.27%E -6.32%K -12.06%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.00%EV -12.08%E -4.56%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.35%EV -11.95%E -3.46%K -4.88%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-02 11:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 39.37%EV -13.27%E -6.32%K -12.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.07%EV -17.06%E -6.82%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.56%EV -23.44%E -7.81%K -11.72%G +0.000%21.0%2026-05-02 11:40
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 42.52%EV -15.33%E -7.48%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.27%EV -13.08%E -4.99%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.21%EV -8.12%E -2.26%K -3.12%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-02 11:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 41.11%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.38%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51%0.5%2026-05-02 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.02%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.53%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45%0.7%2026-05-02 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.02%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.53%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45%0.7%2026-05-02 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.02%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.53%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45%0.7%2026-05-02 11:55