Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jaro v FC Inter Turku

Kickoff: 2026-07-19 15:30 UTC

Final: Jaro 0–0 FC Inter Turku

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jaro (Local)

Prediction 23.39%4.27fair odd
EV +5.26%
Edge +1.17%
Kelly +1.50%
Growth +0.079%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.35%23.29%23.42%25.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.504.003.954.5028.57%25.01%25.32%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Inter Turku (Visit)

Prediction 51.75%1.93fair odd
EV -3.22%
Edge -1.72%
Kelly -3.70%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.33%51.91%51.72%53.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.771.751.8760.61%56.65%57.14%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.86%4.02fair odd
EV -2.32%
Edge -0.590%
Kelly -0.791%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.38%24.80%24.86%25.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.683.653.9328.57%27.18%27.40%25.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jaro (Local): 23.39%; FC Inter Turku (Visit): 51.75%; Draw: 24.86%. For Jaro (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.27. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.26%.

Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.35%EV +5.26%E +1.17%K +1.50%G +0.079%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.69%EV -7.36%E -4.11%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.96%EV -4.31%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-19 13:29
GTbets4.29I 23.31%NM 21.63%EV +0.352%E +0.082%K +0.107%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.95%EV -10.99%E -6.39%K -15.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.42%EV -5.55%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-19 12:50
Unibet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.57%EV -0.583%E -0.137%K -0.179%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.31%EV -10.99%E -6.39%K -15.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -9.28%E -2.54%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-19 15:15
TABtouch4.25I 23.53%NM 21.57%EV -0.583%E -0.137%K -0.179%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.31%EV -10.99%E -6.39%K -15.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -9.28%E -2.54%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-19 15:15
Unibet (NL)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.57%EV -0.583%E -0.137%K -0.179%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.31%EV -10.99%E -6.39%K -15.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -9.28%E -2.54%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-19 15:15
Unibet (SE)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.57%EV -0.583%E -0.137%K -0.179%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.31%EV -10.99%E -6.39%K -15.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -9.28%E -2.54%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-19 15:15
Grosvenor4.25I 23.53%NM 21.57%EV -0.583%E -0.137%K -0.179%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.31%EV -10.99%E -6.39%K -15.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -9.28%E -2.54%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-19 15:15
Casumo4.25I 23.53%NM 21.57%EV -0.583%E -0.137%K -0.179%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.31%EV -10.99%E -6.39%K -15.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -9.28%E -2.54%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-19 15:15
ATG (SE)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.57%EV -0.583%E -0.137%K -0.179%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.31%EV -10.99%E -6.39%K -15.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -9.28%E -2.54%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-19 15:15
betPARX4.25I 23.53%NM 21.57%EV -0.583%E -0.137%K -0.179%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.31%EV -10.99%E -6.39%K -15.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -9.28%E -2.54%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-19 15:15
Svenska Spel4.25I 23.53%NM 21.57%EV -0.583%E -0.137%K -0.179%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.31%EV -10.99%E -6.39%K -15.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -9.28%E -2.54%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-19 15:15
FanDuel4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -1.75%E -0.417%K -0.548%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.64%EV -8.40%E -4.74%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -8.04%E -2.17%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-19 15:20
BetRivers4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -1.75%E -0.417%K -0.548%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.32%EV -11.50%E -6.73%K -16.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -9.28%E -2.54%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-19 15:15
LeoVegas (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -1.75%E -0.417%K -0.548%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.32%EV -11.50%E -6.73%K -16.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -9.28%E -2.54%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-19 15:15
LiveScore Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -1.75%E -0.417%K -0.548%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.46%EV -12.02%E -7.07%K -17.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -9.28%E -2.54%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-19 15:15
Virgin Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -1.75%E -0.417%K -0.548%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.46%EV -12.02%E -7.07%K -17.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -9.28%E -2.54%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-19 15:15
Pinnacle4.16I 24.04%NM 23.22%EV -2.69%E -0.646%K -0.851%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.21%EV -4.26%E -2.30%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.58%EV -2.32%E -0.590%K -0.791%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-19 15:20
SportsBet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -4.09%E -0.998%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -9.43%E -5.39%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.04%E -2.17%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-19 15:20
Tipico (DE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -4.09%E -0.998%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -9.43%E -5.39%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.04%E -2.17%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-19 15:25
PMU (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 21.48%EV -4.09%E -0.998%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 53.37%EV -14.61%E -8.85%K -22.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -13.01%E -3.72%K -5.20%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-19 15:15
Marathon Bet4.05I 24.69%NM 23.05%EV -5.26%E -1.30%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.86%EV -6.85%E -3.80%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.09%EV -7.54%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-19 15:20
DraftKings4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -5.29%E -2.89%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -5.55%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-19 15:05
BetMGM4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -6.85%E -3.80%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -6.79%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-19 15:05
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.27%EV -10.47%E -6.05%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -10.52%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-19 15:20
Bovada3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -7.60%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.39%EV -5.81%E -3.19%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -6.79%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-19 15:23
1xBet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -7.60%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.35%EV -5.81%E -3.19%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.99%EV -7.04%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-19 15:25
Betsson3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -7.60%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -5.81%E -3.19%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.04%E -2.17%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-19 15:19
NordicBet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -7.60%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -5.81%E -3.19%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.04%E -2.17%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-19 15:20
BetOnline.ag3.90I 25.64%NM 24.32%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.72%EV -3.22%E -1.72%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -5.55%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 15:25
LowVig.ag3.90I 25.64%NM 24.32%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.72%EV -3.22%E -1.72%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -5.55%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 15:25
BetAnything3.90I 25.64%NM 24.32%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.72%EV -3.22%E -1.72%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -5.55%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 15:25
Unibet (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.09%EV -5.29%E -2.89%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -6.79%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-19 15:15
BetUS3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -6.85%E -3.80%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -6.79%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-19 15:25
PointsBet (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.93%EV -8.40%E -4.74%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.79%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-19 15:15
888sport3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -6.85%E -3.80%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.52%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-19 15:00
William Hill3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -6.85%E -3.80%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.52%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-19 15:05
888sport (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -6.85%E -3.80%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.52%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-19 15:00
Mr Green (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -6.85%E -3.80%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.52%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-19 15:00
Bet Right3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.07%EV -8.92%E -5.07%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -6.79%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-19 15:15
Bet Victor3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.21%EV -9.43%E -5.39%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -6.79%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-19 15:25
Sky Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 22.89%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.60%EV -10.47%E -6.05%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.51%EV -13.01%E -3.72%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-19 15:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 22.68%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.04%EV -12.02%E -7.07%K -17.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -13.01%E -3.72%K -5.20%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-19 15:20
Everygame3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -9.94%E -2.58%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%EV -6.85%E -3.80%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.28%E -2.54%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-19 15:05
Betway3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -11.11%E -2.92%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -6.85%E -3.80%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -6.79%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-19 15:20
LeoVegas3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -11.11%E -2.92%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -6.85%E -3.80%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -8.04%E -2.17%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-19 15:15
betano_uk3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -11.11%E -2.92%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -6.85%E -3.80%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -8.04%E -2.17%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-19 15:19
Betr (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.82%EV -11.11%E -2.92%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV -9.43%E -5.39%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -8.04%E -2.17%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-19 15:15
Coral3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -11.11%E -2.92%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -9.43%E -5.39%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -10.52%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-19 15:05
Neds3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -11.11%E -2.92%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -9.43%E -5.39%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -10.52%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-19 15:05
Ladbrokes (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -11.11%E -2.92%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -9.43%E -5.39%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -10.52%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-19 15:05
Ladbrokes (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -11.11%E -2.92%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -9.43%E -5.39%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -10.52%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-19 15:05
PlayUp3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -12.28%E -3.27%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.33%EV -6.85%E -3.80%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -11.76%E -3.31%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-19 15:20
betfred_uk3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -12.28%E -3.27%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.01%EV -10.47%E -6.05%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -6.79%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-19 15:15
Unibet (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 23.83%EV -13.45%E -3.63%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 50.97%EV -10.47%E -6.05%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.19%EV -13.01%E -3.72%K -5.20%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-19 15:15
BoyleSports3.50I 28.57%NM 25.05%EV -18.13%E -5.18%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 51.57%EV -12.02%E -7.07%K -17.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.38%EV -6.79%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-19 15:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.52%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.71%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%0.9%2026-07-19 15:25
Matchbook4.40I 22.73%NM 22.52%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.71%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%0.9%2026-07-19 15:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.45%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.54%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.01%1.2%2026-07-19 15:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.45%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.54%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.01%1.2%2026-07-19 15:25