La escuela de los momios

Jaro v FC Inter Turku

Inicio: 2026-07-19 15:30 UTC

Final: Jaro 0–0 FC Inter Turku

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Jaro (Local)

Predicción 23.39%4.27momio equitativo
EV +5.26%
Ventaja +1.17%
Kelly +1.50%
Crecimiento +0.079%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.35%23.29%23.42%25.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.504.003.954.5028.57%25.01%25.32%22.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

FC Inter Turku (Visitante)

Predicción 51.75%1.93momio equitativo
EV -3.22%
Ventaja -1.72%
Kelly -3.70%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.87

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.33%51.91%51.72%53.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.651.771.751.8760.61%56.65%57.14%53.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.86%4.02momio equitativo
EV -2.32%
Ventaja -0.590%
Kelly -0.791%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.93

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.38%24.80%24.86%25.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.683.653.9328.57%27.18%27.40%25.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.35%EV +5.26%E +1.17%K +1.50%G +0.079%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.69%EV -7.36%E -4.11%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.96%EV -4.31%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-19 13:29
GTbets4.29I 23.31%NM 21.63%EV +0.352%E +0.082%K +0.107%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.95%EV -10.99%E -6.39%K -15.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.42%EV -5.55%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-19 12:50
Unibet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.57%EV -0.583%E -0.137%K -0.179%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.31%EV -10.99%E -6.39%K -15.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -9.28%E -2.54%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-19 15:15
TABtouch4.25I 23.53%NM 21.57%EV -0.583%E -0.137%K -0.179%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.31%EV -10.99%E -6.39%K -15.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -9.28%E -2.54%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-19 15:15
Unibet (NL)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.57%EV -0.583%E -0.137%K -0.179%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.31%EV -10.99%E -6.39%K -15.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -9.28%E -2.54%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-19 15:15
Unibet (SE)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.57%EV -0.583%E -0.137%K -0.179%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.31%EV -10.99%E -6.39%K -15.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -9.28%E -2.54%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-19 15:15
Grosvenor4.25I 23.53%NM 21.57%EV -0.583%E -0.137%K -0.179%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.31%EV -10.99%E -6.39%K -15.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -9.28%E -2.54%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-19 15:15
Casumo4.25I 23.53%NM 21.57%EV -0.583%E -0.137%K -0.179%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.31%EV -10.99%E -6.39%K -15.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -9.28%E -2.54%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-19 15:15
ATG (SE)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.57%EV -0.583%E -0.137%K -0.179%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.31%EV -10.99%E -6.39%K -15.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -9.28%E -2.54%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-19 15:15
betPARX4.25I 23.53%NM 21.57%EV -0.583%E -0.137%K -0.179%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.31%EV -10.99%E -6.39%K -15.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -9.28%E -2.54%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-19 15:15
Svenska Spel4.25I 23.53%NM 21.57%EV -0.583%E -0.137%K -0.179%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.31%EV -10.99%E -6.39%K -15.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -9.28%E -2.54%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-19 15:15
FanDuel4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -1.75%E -0.417%K -0.548%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.64%EV -8.40%E -4.74%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -8.04%E -2.17%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-19 15:20
BetRivers4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -1.75%E -0.417%K -0.548%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.32%EV -11.50%E -6.73%K -16.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -9.28%E -2.54%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-19 15:15
LeoVegas (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -1.75%E -0.417%K -0.548%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.32%EV -11.50%E -6.73%K -16.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -9.28%E -2.54%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-19 15:15
LiveScore Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -1.75%E -0.417%K -0.548%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.46%EV -12.02%E -7.07%K -17.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -9.28%E -2.54%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-19 15:15
Virgin Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -1.75%E -0.417%K -0.548%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.46%EV -12.02%E -7.07%K -17.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -9.28%E -2.54%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-19 15:15
Pinnacle4.16I 24.04%NM 23.22%EV -2.69%E -0.646%K -0.851%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.21%EV -4.26%E -2.30%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.58%EV -2.32%E -0.590%K -0.791%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-19 15:20
SportsBet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -4.09%E -0.998%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -9.43%E -5.39%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.04%E -2.17%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-19 15:20
Tipico (DE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -4.09%E -0.998%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -9.43%E -5.39%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.04%E -2.17%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-19 15:25
PMU (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 21.48%EV -4.09%E -0.998%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 53.37%EV -14.61%E -8.85%K -22.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -13.01%E -3.72%K -5.20%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-19 15:15
Marathon Bet4.05I 24.69%NM 23.05%EV -5.26%E -1.30%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.86%EV -6.85%E -3.80%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.09%EV -7.54%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-19 15:20
DraftKings4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -5.29%E -2.89%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -5.55%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-19 15:05
BetMGM4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -6.85%E -3.80%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -6.79%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-19 15:05
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.27%EV -10.47%E -6.05%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -10.52%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-19 15:20
Bovada3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -7.60%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.39%EV -5.81%E -3.19%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -6.79%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-19 15:23
1xBet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -7.60%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.35%EV -5.81%E -3.19%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.99%EV -7.04%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-19 15:25
Betsson3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -7.60%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -5.81%E -3.19%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.04%E -2.17%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-19 15:19
NordicBet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -7.60%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -5.81%E -3.19%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.04%E -2.17%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-19 15:20
BetOnline.ag3.90I 25.64%NM 24.32%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.72%EV -3.22%E -1.72%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -5.55%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 15:25
LowVig.ag3.90I 25.64%NM 24.32%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.72%EV -3.22%E -1.72%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -5.55%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 15:25
BetAnything3.90I 25.64%NM 24.32%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.72%EV -3.22%E -1.72%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -5.55%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 15:25
Unibet (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.09%EV -5.29%E -2.89%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -6.79%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-19 15:15
BetUS3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -6.85%E -3.80%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -6.79%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-19 15:25
PointsBet (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.93%EV -8.40%E -4.74%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.79%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-19 15:15
888sport3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -6.85%E -3.80%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.52%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-19 15:00
William Hill3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -6.85%E -3.80%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.52%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-19 15:05
888sport (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -6.85%E -3.80%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.52%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-19 15:00
Mr Green (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -6.85%E -3.80%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.52%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-19 15:00
Bet Right3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.07%EV -8.92%E -5.07%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -6.79%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-19 15:15
Bet Victor3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.21%EV -9.43%E -5.39%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -6.79%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-19 15:25
Sky Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 22.89%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.60%EV -10.47%E -6.05%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.51%EV -13.01%E -3.72%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-19 15:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 22.68%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.04%EV -12.02%E -7.07%K -17.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -13.01%E -3.72%K -5.20%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-19 15:20
Everygame3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -9.94%E -2.58%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%EV -6.85%E -3.80%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.28%E -2.54%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-19 15:05
Betway3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -11.11%E -2.92%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -6.85%E -3.80%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -6.79%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-19 15:20
LeoVegas3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -11.11%E -2.92%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -6.85%E -3.80%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -8.04%E -2.17%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-19 15:15
betano_uk3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -11.11%E -2.92%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -6.85%E -3.80%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -8.04%E -2.17%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-19 15:19
Betr (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.82%EV -11.11%E -2.92%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV -9.43%E -5.39%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -8.04%E -2.17%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-19 15:15
Coral3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -11.11%E -2.92%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -9.43%E -5.39%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -10.52%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-19 15:05
Neds3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -11.11%E -2.92%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -9.43%E -5.39%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -10.52%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-19 15:05
Ladbrokes (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -11.11%E -2.92%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -9.43%E -5.39%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -10.52%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-19 15:05
Ladbrokes (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -11.11%E -2.92%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -9.43%E -5.39%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -10.52%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-19 15:05
PlayUp3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -12.28%E -3.27%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.33%EV -6.85%E -3.80%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -11.76%E -3.31%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-19 15:20
betfred_uk3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -12.28%E -3.27%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.01%EV -10.47%E -6.05%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -6.79%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-19 15:15
Unibet (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 23.83%EV -13.45%E -3.63%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 50.97%EV -10.47%E -6.05%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.19%EV -13.01%E -3.72%K -5.20%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-19 15:15
BoyleSports3.50I 28.57%NM 25.05%EV -18.13%E -5.18%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 51.57%EV -12.02%E -7.07%K -17.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.38%EV -6.79%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-19 15:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.52%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.71%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%0.9%2026-07-19 15:25
Matchbook4.40I 22.73%NM 22.52%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.71%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%0.9%2026-07-19 15:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.45%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.54%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.01%1.2%2026-07-19 15:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.45%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.54%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.01%1.2%2026-07-19 15:25