Language:English
Ilves Tampere v FC Lahti
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Ilves Tampere (Local)
Prediction 37.07%2.70fair odd
EV -0.282%
Edge -0.105%
Kelly -0.167%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.69
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.52%37.21%37.24%39.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.232.442.452.6944.84%40.96%40.82%37.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
FC Lahti (Visit)
Prediction 36.32%2.75fair odd
EV -0.113%
Edge -0.041%
Kelly -0.065%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.46%36.27%36.15%37.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.582.552.7542.02%38.79%39.22%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.61%3.76fair odd
EV -2.88%
Edge -0.789%
Kelly -1.09%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.00%26.52%26.60%28.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.423.403.6530.77%29.22%29.41%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ilves Tampere (Local): 37.07%; FC Lahti (Visit): 36.32%; Draw: 26.61%. For FC Lahti (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.753. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.750, with an expected value of -0.113%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.69I 37.17%NM 36.02%EV -0.282%E -0.105%K -0.167%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.84%EV -4.47%E -1.70%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.14%EV -5.01%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-26 11:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.52%EV -0.653%E -0.244%K -0.389%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.06%EV -4.11%E -1.56%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -10.86%E -3.24%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-26 11:53 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.52%EV -0.653%E -0.244%K -0.389%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.06%EV -4.11%E -1.56%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -10.86%E -3.24%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-26 11:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -3.62%E -1.39%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -5.56%E -2.14%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.87%E -1.96%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-26 11:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.40%EV -4.73%E -1.84%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.27%EV -3.75%E -1.41%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.33%EV -2.88%E -0.789%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-26 11:41 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.79%EV -5.47%E -2.15%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.79%EV -7.38%E -2.89%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -5.54%E -1.56%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-26 11:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -5.47%E -2.15%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -9.19%E -3.68%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.87%E -1.96%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-26 11:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -5.47%E -2.15%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -7.38%E -2.89%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -9.53%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-26 12:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -5.47%E -2.15%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -9.19%E -3.68%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -12.19%E -3.70%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-26 11:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.83%EV -5.84%E -2.30%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.83%EV -7.74%E -3.05%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -5.54%E -1.56%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-26 11:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.70%EV -5.84%E -2.30%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.27%EV -6.65%E -2.59%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -8.20%E -2.38%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-26 11:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.56%E -2.14%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -6.87%E -1.96%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-26 11:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.19%E -3.68%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -9.53%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-26 11:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.19%E -3.68%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -12.19%E -3.70%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-26 11:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.19%E -3.68%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -12.19%E -3.70%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-26 11:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.19%E -3.68%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -12.19%E -3.70%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-26 11:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -7.33%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.19%E -3.68%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -12.19%E -3.70%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-26 11:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.73%EV -8.07%E -3.25%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.99%EV -5.56%E -2.14%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.28%EV -5.28%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-26 11:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.60%EV -8.07%E -3.25%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.14%EV -6.29%E -2.44%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -5.54%E -1.56%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-26 11:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.60%EV -8.07%E -3.25%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.14%EV -6.29%E -2.44%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -5.54%E -1.56%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-26 11:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.27%EV -8.81%E -3.58%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.13%EV -2.66%E -0.991%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.60%EV -5.81%E -1.64%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-26 11:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -9.18%E -3.75%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -5.56%E -2.14%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -9.53%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-26 11:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -9.18%E -3.75%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -9.19%E -3.68%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -6.87%E -1.96%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-26 11:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -9.18%E -3.75%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -7.38%E -2.89%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -9.53%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-26 12:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.04%EV -9.18%E -3.75%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.04%EV -11.01%E -4.49%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -6.87%E -1.96%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-26 12:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -9.18%E -3.75%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.19%E -3.68%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -9.53%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-26 11:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -9.18%E -3.75%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -11.01%E -4.49%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -9.53%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-26 11:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -9.18%E -3.75%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -11.01%E -4.49%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -9.53%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-26 11:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -9.18%E -3.75%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -11.01%E -4.49%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -9.53%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-26 11:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -9.18%E -3.75%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -11.01%E -4.49%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -9.53%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-26 11:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -9.18%E -3.75%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -11.01%E -4.49%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -12.19%E -3.70%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-26 11:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -9.18%E -3.75%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -11.01%E -4.49%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -13.52%E -4.16%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-26 11:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -11.03%E -4.60%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -7.38%E -2.89%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -4.21%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-26 11:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.21%EV -11.03%E -4.60%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -7.38%E -2.89%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -5.54%E -1.56%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-26 11:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -11.03%E -4.60%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.19%E -3.68%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -6.87%E -1.96%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-26 11:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -11.03%E -4.60%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -12.83%E -5.34%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -4.21%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-26 12:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.94%EV -11.03%E -4.60%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.19%EV -11.01%E -4.49%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -12.19%E -3.70%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-07-26 11:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -11.77%E -4.95%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -9.19%E -3.68%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.53%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-26 11:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.71%EV -12.89%E -5.48%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.44%EV -9.19%E -3.68%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.85%EV -12.19%E -3.70%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-07-26 11:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.49%EV -13.63%E -5.85%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -0.113%E -0.041%K -0.065%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -9.53%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-26 08:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.49%EV -13.63%E -5.85%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -0.113%E -0.041%K -0.065%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -9.53%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-26 08:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.49%EV -13.63%E -5.85%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -0.113%E -0.041%K -0.065%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -9.53%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-26 08:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.49%EV -13.63%E -5.85%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -0.113%E -0.041%K -0.065%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -9.53%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-26 08:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.49%EV -13.63%E -5.85%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -0.113%E -0.041%K -0.065%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -9.53%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-26 08:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.49%EV -13.63%E -5.85%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -0.113%E -0.041%K -0.065%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -9.53%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-26 08:38 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.49%EV -13.63%E -5.85%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -0.113%E -0.041%K -0.065%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -9.53%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-26 08:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.49%EV -13.63%E -5.85%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -0.113%E -0.041%K -0.065%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -9.53%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-26 08:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.49%EV -13.63%E -5.85%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -0.113%E -0.041%K -0.065%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -9.53%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-26 08:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.35%EV -14.00%E -6.03%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.81%EV -1.93%E -0.715%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.53%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-26 08:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.35%EV -14.00%E -6.03%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.81%EV -1.93%E -0.715%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.53%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-26 08:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.39%EV -14.74%E -6.41%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -1.93%E -0.715%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -10.86%E -3.24%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-26 08:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.39%EV -14.74%E -6.41%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -1.93%E -0.715%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -10.86%E -3.24%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-26 08:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.84%EV -14.74%E -6.41%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.57%EV -13.55%E -5.69%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.60%EV -9.53%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-07-26 11:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.46%EV -17.33%E -7.77%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.46%EV -4.47%E -1.70%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.08%EV -13.52%E -4.16%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-07-26 08:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.97% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.89% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.14% | 0.9% | 2026-07-26 12:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.87% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.06% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.07% | 1.2% | 2026-07-26 12:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.87% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.06% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.07% | 1.2% | 2026-07-26 12:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.87% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.06% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.07% | 1.2% | 2026-07-26 12:00 |