La escuela de los momios

Ilves Tampere v FC Lahti

2026-07-26 12:00 UTC — Veikkausliiga - Finland

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Ilves Tampere (Local)

Predicción 40.61%2.46momio equitativo
EV -2.53%
Ventaja -1.05%
Kelly -1.81%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.60%40.62%40.71%41.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.262.252.4047.62%44.33%44.44%41.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

FC Lahti (Visitante)

Predicción 33.71%2.97momio equitativo
EV -2.92%
Ventaja -1.01%
Kelly -1.55%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.88

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.98%33.70%33.58%34.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.552.772.752.8839.22%36.15%36.36%34.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.68%3.89momio equitativo
EV -0.106%
Ventaja -0.027%
Kelly -0.037%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.89

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.88%25.68%25.71%27.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.523.503.8930.77%28.40%28.57%25.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 40.03%EV -2.53%E -1.05%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.68%EV -6.63%E -2.39%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.28%EV -2.42%E -0.636%K -0.863%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-21 06:55
Pinnacle2.38I 42.02%NM 40.67%EV -3.34%E -1.40%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.45%EV -5.28%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.88%EV -0.106%E -0.027%K -0.037%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-26 01:24
LowVig.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 40.21%EV -4.15%E -1.76%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.14%EV -6.29%E -2.26%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.65%EV -4.99%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-25 19:05
BetAnything2.36I 42.37%NM 40.21%EV -4.15%E -1.76%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.14%EV -6.29%E -2.26%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.65%EV -4.99%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-25 19:05
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.30%EV -4.56%E -1.94%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44%EV -7.30%E -2.66%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -3.70%E -0.987%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 16:59
1xBet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.21%EV -5.37%E -2.31%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.19%EV -7.64%E -2.79%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.60%EV -6.01%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-25 17:05
GTbets2.31I 43.29%NM 41.04%EV -6.19%E -2.68%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.62%EV -4.94%E -1.75%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.35%EV -3.96%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-25 17:04
Marathon Bet2.31I 43.29%NM 40.37%EV -6.19%E -2.68%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.16%EV -7.98%E -2.92%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.48%EV -6.01%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 16:59
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -6.59%E -2.87%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -7.30%E -2.66%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.99%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-25 17:04
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.59%E -2.87%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -5.62%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -7.55%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-25 17:04
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.59%E -2.87%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -5.62%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -7.55%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-25 17:00
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.59%E -2.87%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -10.12%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-25 17:00
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.59%E -2.87%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -10.12%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-25 17:00
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.59%E -2.87%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -10.12%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-25 17:00
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.59%E -2.87%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -10.12%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-25 16:59
BetUS2.27I 44.05%NM 41.12%EV -7.81%E -3.44%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.45%EV -5.95%E -2.13%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.43%EV -5.76%E -1.57%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 21:40
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -8.62%E -3.83%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -5.62%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.55%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 17:00
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -8.62%E -3.83%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -2.92%E -1.01%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -12.69%E -3.73%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-25 09:55
Grosvenor2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -8.62%E -3.83%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -2.92%E -1.01%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -12.69%E -3.73%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-25 09:55
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -8.62%E -3.83%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -2.92%E -1.01%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -12.69%E -3.73%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-25 09:55
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -8.62%E -3.83%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -2.92%E -1.01%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -12.69%E -3.73%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-25 09:50
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -8.62%E -3.83%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -2.92%E -1.01%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -12.69%E -3.73%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-25 09:55
betPARX2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -8.62%E -3.83%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -2.92%E -1.01%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -12.69%E -3.73%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-25 09:50
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -8.62%E -3.83%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -2.92%E -1.01%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -12.69%E -3.73%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-25 09:55
Casumo2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -8.62%E -3.83%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -2.92%E -1.01%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -12.69%E -3.73%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-25 09:50
ATG (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -8.62%E -3.83%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -2.92%E -1.01%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -12.69%E -3.73%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-25 09:55
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -8.62%E -3.83%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -7.30%E -2.66%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -7.55%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-25 17:04
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.62%E -3.83%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -7.30%E -2.66%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -8.84%E -2.49%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-25 17:05
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.62%E -3.83%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -7.30%E -2.66%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -8.84%E -2.49%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-25 16:59
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.62%E -3.83%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -7.30%E -2.66%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -10.12%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-25 17:00
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.62%E -3.83%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -7.30%E -2.66%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -10.12%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-25 17:00
betano_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.62%E -3.83%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -7.30%E -2.66%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -10.12%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-25 17:00
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.62%E -3.83%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -7.30%E -2.66%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -10.12%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-25 16:58
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -8.62%E -3.83%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -10.12%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-25 17:00
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 40.26%EV -8.62%E -3.83%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.58%EV -11.69%E -4.46%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -7.55%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-26 04:15
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -8.62%E -3.83%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.94%EV -14.04%E -5.51%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.46%EV -10.12%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-25 17:04
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 41.01%EV -9.43%E -4.23%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.09%EV -3.93%E -1.38%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -12.69%E -3.73%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-25 09:50
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.01%EV -9.43%E -4.23%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.09%EV -3.93%E -1.38%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -12.69%E -3.73%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-25 09:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.01%EV -9.43%E -4.23%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.09%EV -3.93%E -1.38%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -12.69%E -3.73%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-25 09:50
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.01%EV -9.43%E -4.23%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.09%EV -3.93%E -1.38%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -12.69%E -3.73%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-25 09:50
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -10.65%E -4.84%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -7.30%E -2.66%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -10.12%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-25 17:00
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -10.65%E -4.84%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -5.62%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -12.69%E -3.73%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-26 03:29
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.65%E -4.84%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.35%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -10.12%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-25 17:02
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.65%E -4.84%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.35%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -10.12%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-25 17:00
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.65%E -4.84%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.35%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -10.12%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-25 17:00
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.65%E -4.84%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.35%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -10.12%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-25 16:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.65%E -4.84%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.35%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -10.12%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-25 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.65%E -4.84%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.35%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -10.12%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-25 17:00
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -10.65%E -4.84%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -12.69%E -3.73%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-25 17:00
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -12.68%E -5.90%K -11.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -10.12%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-26 00:05
PMU (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.93%EV -12.68%E -5.90%K -11.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.00%EV -7.30%E -2.66%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.07%EV -16.54%E -5.09%K -7.35%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-25 09:55
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 41.53%EV -14.71%E -7.01%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.55%EV -12.36%E -4.75%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.92%EV -10.12%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000%14.7%2026-07-25 17:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 41.02%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.53%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45%0.7%2026-07-26 04:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.92%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.68%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%1.0%2026-07-26 04:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.92%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.68%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%1.0%2026-07-26 04:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.92%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.68%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%1.0%2026-07-26 04:10