L’École des cotes

Ilves Tampere v AC Oulu

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-08 15:00 UTC

Score final : Ilves Tampere 1–0 AC Oulu

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Ilves Tampere (Local)

Prévision 31.22%3.20cote équitable
EV -1.35%
Avantage -0.426%
Kelly -0.624%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.16

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.03%31.30%31.20%33.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.922.903.1637.04%34.19%34.48%31.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

AC Oulu (Visiteur)

Prévision 42.41%2.36cote équitable
EV -0.344%
Avantage -0.146%
Kelly -0.254%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.34%42.25%42.43%43.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.172.152.3550.00%46.03%46.51%42.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.37%3.79cote équitable
EV -1.36%
Avantage -0.364%
Kelly -0.497%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.74

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.52%26.45%26.37%28.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.463.503.7434.72%28.93%28.57%26.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle3.16I 31.65%NM 30.66%EV -1.35%E -0.426%K -0.624%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.44%EV -5.43%E -2.44%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.90%EV -1.36%E -0.364%K -0.497%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-08 14:54
LowVig.ag3.05I 32.79%NM 31.05%EV -4.78%E -1.57%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.65%EV -5.86%E -2.64%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -5.05%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 14:50
BetAnything3.05I 32.79%NM 31.05%EV -4.78%E -1.57%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.65%EV -5.86%E -2.64%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -5.05%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 14:49
DraftKings3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -4.78%E -1.57%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.72%EV -6.70%E -3.05%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -6.37%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 14:40
Bovada3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -4.78%E -1.57%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -6.70%E -3.05%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 14:47
NordicBet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -4.78%E -1.57%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.94%EV -7.55%E -3.46%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.37%EV -6.37%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 14:35
Betsson3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -4.78%E -1.57%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.94%EV -7.55%E -3.46%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.37%EV -6.37%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 14:34
Marathon Bet3.02I 33.11%NM 30.89%EV -5.72%E -1.89%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.60%EV -7.13%E -3.26%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.51%EV -7.16%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 14:49
GTbets3.00I 33.33%NM 31.77%EV -6.34%E -2.11%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.91%EV -1.19%E -0.511%K -0.896%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.31%EV -7.96%E -2.28%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 13:25
BetMGM3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -6.34%E -2.11%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.70%E -3.05%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-08 14:35
BetUS3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -6.34%E -2.11%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.70%E -3.05%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-08 14:50
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -6.34%E -2.11%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.82%E -4.10%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-08 14:39
Unibet (UK)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -7.90%E -2.68%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -4.58%E -2.04%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -9.01%E -2.61%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 14:33
FanDuel2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -7.90%E -2.68%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -6.70%E -3.05%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-08 14:33
Unibet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -7.90%E -2.68%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -8.82%E -4.10%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -6.37%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 14:49
Casumo2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -7.90%E -2.68%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -8.82%E -4.10%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -6.37%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 14:49
Unibet (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -7.90%E -2.68%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -8.82%E -4.10%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -6.37%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 14:49
Unibet (NL)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -7.90%E -2.68%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -8.82%E -4.10%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -6.37%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 14:49
Grosvenor2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -7.90%E -2.68%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -8.82%E -4.10%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -6.37%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 14:49
TABtouch2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -7.90%E -2.68%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -8.82%E -4.10%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -6.37%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 14:49
betPARX2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -7.90%E -2.68%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -8.82%E -4.10%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -6.37%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 14:49
ATG (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -7.90%E -2.68%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -8.82%E -4.10%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -6.37%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 14:49
Svenska Spel2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -7.90%E -2.68%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -8.82%E -4.10%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -6.37%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 14:49
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -7.90%E -2.68%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -8.82%E -4.10%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-08 14:39
Everygame2.95I 33.90%NM 30.99%EV -7.90%E -2.68%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -8.82%E -4.10%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -9.01%E -2.61%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-08 14:49
1xBet2.94I 34.01%NM 31.82%EV -8.22%E -2.79%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.67%EV -2.46%E -1.07%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 14:49
Coolbet2.90I 34.48%NM 33.14%EV -9.46%E -3.26%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.89%EV -0.344%E -0.146%K -0.254%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.97%EV -2.42%E -0.653%K -0.895%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 12:30
PointsBet (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -9.46%E -3.26%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -6.70%E -3.05%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 14:49
Bet Right2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -9.46%E -3.26%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -8.82%E -4.10%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -6.37%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-08 14:49
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -9.46%E -3.26%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -4.58%E -2.04%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -12.97%E -3.93%K -5.64%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-08 14:34
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -9.46%E -3.26%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -4.58%E -2.04%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -12.97%E -3.93%K -5.64%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-08 14:34
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -9.46%E -3.26%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -4.58%E -2.04%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -12.97%E -3.93%K -5.64%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-08 14:34
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -9.46%E -3.26%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -4.58%E -2.04%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -12.97%E -3.93%K -5.64%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-08 14:34
LeoVegas (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.46%E -3.26%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.72%EV -9.25%E -4.32%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -6.37%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-08 14:49
BetRivers2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.46%E -3.26%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.72%EV -9.25%E -4.32%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -6.37%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-08 14:49
Bet Victor2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.46%E -3.26%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -8.82%E -4.10%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-08 14:38
Virgin Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -9.46%E -3.26%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.79%EV -10.10%E -4.76%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-08 14:49
LeoVegas2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -9.46%E -3.26%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.79%EV -10.10%E -4.76%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-08 14:49
LiveScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -9.46%E -3.26%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.79%EV -10.10%E -4.76%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-08 14:49
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -9.46%E -3.26%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -8.82%E -4.10%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-08 14:34
betfred_uk2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -10.09%E -3.50%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -8.82%E -4.10%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-08 14:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -10.09%E -3.50%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -8.82%E -4.10%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -12.97%E -3.93%K -5.64%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-08 14:34
Neds2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -10.09%E -3.50%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -8.82%E -4.10%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -12.97%E -3.93%K -5.64%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-08 14:35
SportsBet2.87I 34.84%NM 31.46%EV -10.40%E -3.62%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.99%EV -8.82%E -4.10%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-08 14:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -10.40%E -3.62%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -8.82%E -4.10%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.14%EV -12.97%E -3.93%K -5.64%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-08 14:34
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -10.40%E -3.62%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -8.82%E -4.10%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.14%EV -12.97%E -3.93%K -5.64%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-08 14:35
Betr (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -11.03%E -3.87%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.22%EV -8.82%E -4.10%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-08 14:49
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -12.59%E -4.50%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -8.82%E -4.10%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-08 14:34
Sky Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -12.59%E -4.50%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -8.82%E -4.10%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -12.97%E -3.93%K -5.64%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-08 14:34
PMU (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.35%EV -12.59%E -4.50%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.83%EV -13.07%E -6.37%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-08 14:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 30.03%EV -14.15%E -5.14%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 41.29%EV -15.19%E -7.59%K -15.19%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.68%EV -24.04%E -8.35%K -12.79%G +0.000%21.1%2026-05-08 14:34
BoyleSports2.70I 37.04%NM 32.14%EV -15.71%E -5.82%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.33%EV -13.07%E -6.37%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.52%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-08 14:34
Unibet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.12%EV -15.71%E -5.82%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.34%EV -8.82%E -4.10%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.53%EV -16.92%E -5.37%K -7.87%G +0.000%15.3%2026-05-08 14:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.82%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.14%0.7%2026-05-08 14:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.82%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.14%0.7%2026-05-08 14:54
Matchbook3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.82%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.14%0.7%2026-05-08 14:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.61%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01%1.2%2026-05-08 14:50