La escuela de los momios

Ilves Tampere v AC Oulu

Inicio: 2026-05-08 15:00 UTC

Final: Ilves Tampere 1–0 AC Oulu

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Ilves Tampere (Local)

Predicción 31.22%3.20momio equitativo
EV -1.35%
Ventaja -0.426%
Kelly -0.624%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.16

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.03%31.30%31.20%33.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.922.903.1637.04%34.19%34.48%31.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

AC Oulu (Visitante)

Predicción 42.41%2.36momio equitativo
EV -0.344%
Ventaja -0.146%
Kelly -0.254%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.34%42.25%42.43%43.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.172.152.3550.00%46.03%46.51%42.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.37%3.79momio equitativo
EV -1.36%
Ventaja -0.364%
Kelly -0.497%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.74

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.52%26.45%26.37%28.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.463.503.7434.72%28.93%28.57%26.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle3.16I 31.65%NM 30.66%EV -1.35%E -0.426%K -0.624%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.44%EV -5.43%E -2.44%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.90%EV -1.36%E -0.364%K -0.497%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-08 14:54
LowVig.ag3.05I 32.79%NM 31.05%EV -4.78%E -1.57%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.65%EV -5.86%E -2.64%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -5.05%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 14:50
BetAnything3.05I 32.79%NM 31.05%EV -4.78%E -1.57%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.65%EV -5.86%E -2.64%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -5.05%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 14:49
DraftKings3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -4.78%E -1.57%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.72%EV -6.70%E -3.05%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -6.37%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 14:40
Bovada3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -4.78%E -1.57%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -6.70%E -3.05%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 14:47
NordicBet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -4.78%E -1.57%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.94%EV -7.55%E -3.46%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.37%EV -6.37%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 14:35
Betsson3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -4.78%E -1.57%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.94%EV -7.55%E -3.46%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.37%EV -6.37%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 14:34
Marathon Bet3.02I 33.11%NM 30.89%EV -5.72%E -1.89%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.60%EV -7.13%E -3.26%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.51%EV -7.16%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 14:49
GTbets3.00I 33.33%NM 31.77%EV -6.34%E -2.11%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.91%EV -1.19%E -0.511%K -0.896%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.31%EV -7.96%E -2.28%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 13:25
BetMGM3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -6.34%E -2.11%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.70%E -3.05%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-08 14:35
BetUS3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -6.34%E -2.11%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.70%E -3.05%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-08 14:50
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -6.34%E -2.11%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.82%E -4.10%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-08 14:39
Unibet (UK)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -7.90%E -2.68%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -4.58%E -2.04%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -9.01%E -2.61%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 14:33
FanDuel2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -7.90%E -2.68%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -6.70%E -3.05%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-08 14:33
Unibet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -7.90%E -2.68%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -8.82%E -4.10%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -6.37%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 14:49
Casumo2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -7.90%E -2.68%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -8.82%E -4.10%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -6.37%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 14:49
Unibet (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -7.90%E -2.68%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -8.82%E -4.10%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -6.37%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 14:49
Unibet (NL)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -7.90%E -2.68%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -8.82%E -4.10%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -6.37%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 14:49
Grosvenor2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -7.90%E -2.68%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -8.82%E -4.10%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -6.37%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 14:49
TABtouch2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -7.90%E -2.68%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -8.82%E -4.10%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -6.37%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 14:49
betPARX2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -7.90%E -2.68%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -8.82%E -4.10%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -6.37%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 14:49
ATG (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -7.90%E -2.68%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -8.82%E -4.10%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -6.37%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 14:49
Svenska Spel2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -7.90%E -2.68%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -8.82%E -4.10%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -6.37%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 14:49
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -7.90%E -2.68%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -8.82%E -4.10%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-08 14:39
Everygame2.95I 33.90%NM 30.99%EV -7.90%E -2.68%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -8.82%E -4.10%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -9.01%E -2.61%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-08 14:49
1xBet2.94I 34.01%NM 31.82%EV -8.22%E -2.79%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.67%EV -2.46%E -1.07%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 14:49
Coolbet2.90I 34.48%NM 33.14%EV -9.46%E -3.26%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.89%EV -0.344%E -0.146%K -0.254%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.97%EV -2.42%E -0.653%K -0.895%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 12:30
PointsBet (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -9.46%E -3.26%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -6.70%E -3.05%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 14:49
Bet Right2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -9.46%E -3.26%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -8.82%E -4.10%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -6.37%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-08 14:49
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -9.46%E -3.26%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -4.58%E -2.04%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -12.97%E -3.93%K -5.64%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-08 14:34
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -9.46%E -3.26%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -4.58%E -2.04%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -12.97%E -3.93%K -5.64%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-08 14:34
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -9.46%E -3.26%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -4.58%E -2.04%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -12.97%E -3.93%K -5.64%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-08 14:34
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -9.46%E -3.26%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -4.58%E -2.04%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -12.97%E -3.93%K -5.64%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-08 14:34
LeoVegas (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.46%E -3.26%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.72%EV -9.25%E -4.32%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -6.37%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-08 14:49
BetRivers2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.46%E -3.26%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.72%EV -9.25%E -4.32%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -6.37%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-08 14:49
Bet Victor2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.46%E -3.26%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -8.82%E -4.10%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-08 14:38
Virgin Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -9.46%E -3.26%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.79%EV -10.10%E -4.76%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-08 14:49
LeoVegas2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -9.46%E -3.26%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.79%EV -10.10%E -4.76%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-08 14:49
LiveScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -9.46%E -3.26%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.79%EV -10.10%E -4.76%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-08 14:49
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -9.46%E -3.26%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -8.82%E -4.10%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-08 14:34
betfred_uk2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -10.09%E -3.50%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -8.82%E -4.10%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-08 14:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -10.09%E -3.50%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -8.82%E -4.10%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -12.97%E -3.93%K -5.64%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-08 14:34
Neds2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -10.09%E -3.50%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -8.82%E -4.10%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -12.97%E -3.93%K -5.64%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-08 14:35
SportsBet2.87I 34.84%NM 31.46%EV -10.40%E -3.62%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.99%EV -8.82%E -4.10%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-08 14:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -10.40%E -3.62%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -8.82%E -4.10%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.14%EV -12.97%E -3.93%K -5.64%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-08 14:34
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -10.40%E -3.62%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -8.82%E -4.10%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.14%EV -12.97%E -3.93%K -5.64%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-08 14:35
Betr (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -11.03%E -3.87%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.22%EV -8.82%E -4.10%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-08 14:49
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -12.59%E -4.50%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -8.82%E -4.10%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-08 14:34
Sky Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -12.59%E -4.50%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -8.82%E -4.10%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -12.97%E -3.93%K -5.64%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-08 14:34
PMU (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.35%EV -12.59%E -4.50%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.83%EV -13.07%E -6.37%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-08 14:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 30.03%EV -14.15%E -5.14%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 41.29%EV -15.19%E -7.59%K -15.19%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.68%EV -24.04%E -8.35%K -12.79%G +0.000%21.1%2026-05-08 14:34
BoyleSports2.70I 37.04%NM 32.14%EV -15.71%E -5.82%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.33%EV -13.07%E -6.37%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.52%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-08 14:34
Unibet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.12%EV -15.71%E -5.82%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.34%EV -8.82%E -4.10%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.53%EV -16.92%E -5.37%K -7.87%G +0.000%15.3%2026-05-08 14:34
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.82%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.14%0.7%2026-05-08 14:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.82%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.14%0.7%2026-05-08 14:54
Matchbook3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.82%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.14%0.7%2026-05-08 14:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.61%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01%1.2%2026-05-08 14:50