Language:English
IFK Mariehamn v IF Gnistan
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
IFK Mariehamn (Local)
Prediction 21.83%4.58fair odd
EV -1.31%
Edge -0.291%
Kelly -0.374%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.52
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.88%22.04%21.67%24.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.184.204.5226.67%23.94%23.81%22.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
IF Gnistan (Visit)
Prediction 53.75%1.86fair odd
EV -0.570%
Edge -0.308%
Kelly -0.671%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.15%53.36%54.03%54.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.731.731.8561.73%57.80%57.80%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.42%4.09fair odd
EV -1.09%
Edge -0.270%
Kelly -0.359%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.36%24.60%24.29%26.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.683.604.0532.26%27.19%27.78%24.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: IFK Mariehamn (Local): 21.83%; IF Gnistan (Visit): 53.75%; Draw: 24.42%. For IF Gnistan (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.86. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.85, with an expected value of -0.570%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.52I 22.12%NM 21.35%EV -1.31%E -0.291%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.83%EV -5.41%E -3.07%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.83%EV -1.09%E -0.270%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-13 15:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -2.84%E -0.639%K -0.824%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -7.56%E -4.39%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -9.64%E -2.61%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-13 15:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -2.84%E -0.639%K -0.824%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -7.56%E -4.39%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -9.64%E -2.61%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-13 15:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -3.93%E -0.894%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.30%EV -6.48%E -3.73%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.23%EV -4.76%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-13 15:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -3.93%E -0.894%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.75%EV -7.56%E -4.39%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -3.54%E -0.895%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-13 15:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -3.93%E -0.894%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.75%EV -7.56%E -4.39%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -3.54%E -0.895%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-13 15:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -3.93%E -0.894%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.75%EV -7.56%E -4.39%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -3.54%E -0.895%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-13 15:51 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.53%EV -5.46%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.20%EV -7.56%E -4.39%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.28%EV -6.22%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-13 15:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.27%EV -5.46%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.17%EV -8.63%E -5.08%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -8.42%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-13 15:51 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.27%EV -5.46%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.17%EV -8.63%E -5.08%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -8.42%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-13 15:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.27%EV -5.46%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.17%EV -8.63%E -5.08%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -8.42%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-13 15:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.27%EV -5.46%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.17%EV -8.63%E -5.08%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -8.42%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-13 15:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -5.46%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.61%EV -10.24%E -6.13%K -15.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.32%EV -8.42%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-13 15:51 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -6.12%E -1.42%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.46%EV -8.09%E -4.73%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -4.76%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-13 15:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -7.21%E -1.70%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.83%EV -6.48%E -3.73%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -12.08%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-13 15:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.29%EV -7.21%E -1.70%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.22%EV -8.63%E -5.08%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.49%EV -13.31%E -3.75%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-06-13 15:51 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.19%EV -7.86%E -1.86%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.45%EV -7.56%E -4.39%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.36%EV -2.07%E -0.517%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-13 15:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -8.30%E -1.98%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.58%EV -6.48%E -3.73%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -5.98%E -1.55%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-13 15:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -8.30%E -1.98%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.58%EV -6.48%E -3.73%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -5.98%E -1.55%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-13 15:51 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -8.30%E -1.98%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -5.94%E -3.40%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -7.20%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-13 15:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -8.30%E -1.98%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.22%EV -5.41%E -3.07%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -13.31%E -3.75%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-13 15:51 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -8.30%E -1.98%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.22%EV -5.41%E -3.07%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -13.31%E -3.75%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-13 15:51 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -8.30%E -1.98%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.22%EV -5.41%E -3.07%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -13.31%E -3.75%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-13 15:51 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -8.30%E -1.98%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.22%EV -5.41%E -3.07%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -13.31%E -3.75%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-13 15:51 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -8.30%E -1.98%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.22%EV -5.41%E -3.07%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -13.31%E -3.75%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-13 15:51 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -8.30%E -1.98%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.22%EV -5.41%E -3.07%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -13.31%E -3.75%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-13 15:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -8.30%E -1.98%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.22%EV -5.41%E -3.07%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -13.31%E -3.75%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-13 15:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -8.30%E -1.98%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.22%EV -5.41%E -3.07%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -13.31%E -3.75%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-13 15:51 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -8.30%E -1.98%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.22%EV -5.41%E -3.07%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -13.31%E -3.75%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-13 15:51 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -8.30%E -1.98%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -8.63%E -5.08%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -7.20%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-13 15:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -8.30%E -1.98%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -8.63%E -5.08%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -7.20%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-13 15:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -8.30%E -1.98%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.37%EV -5.94%E -3.40%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -13.31%E -3.75%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-13 15:51 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.75%EV -8.30%E -1.98%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.51%EV -6.48%E -3.73%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -13.31%E -3.75%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-13 15:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.75%EV -8.30%E -1.98%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.51%EV -6.48%E -3.73%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -13.31%E -3.75%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-13 15:51 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.75%EV -8.30%E -1.98%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.51%EV -6.48%E -3.73%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -13.31%E -3.75%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-13 15:51 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -8.30%E -1.98%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.64%EV -8.63%E -5.08%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -9.64%E -2.61%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-13 15:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.32%EV -10.48%E -2.56%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.60%EV -6.48%E -3.73%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -10.86%E -2.98%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-13 15:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -10.48%E -2.56%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.71%EV -7.56%E -4.39%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -12.08%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-06-13 15:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.06I 24.63%NM 22.97%EV -11.36%E -2.80%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.82%EV -3.26%E -1.81%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -9.64%E -2.61%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-13 15:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.03%EV -12.67%E -3.17%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -0.570%E -0.308%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.03%EV -2.32%E -0.579%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-13 15:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -12.67%E -3.17%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -1.64%E -0.899%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -12.08%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-13 15:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -12.67%E -3.17%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -7.02%E -4.06%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -7.20%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-13 15:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -12.67%E -3.17%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -7.02%E -4.06%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -14.53%E -4.15%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-06-13 15:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -12.67%E -3.17%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -10.24%E -6.13%K -15.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -8.42%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-06-13 15:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -12.67%E -3.17%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -8.63%E -5.08%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -12.08%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-06-13 15:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -12.67%E -3.17%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -8.63%E -5.08%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -12.08%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-06-13 15:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -12.67%E -3.17%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -8.63%E -5.08%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -12.08%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-06-13 15:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -12.67%E -3.17%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -8.63%E -5.08%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -12.08%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-06-13 15:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%EV -12.67%E -3.17%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.30%EV -10.78%E -6.50%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.58%EV -12.08%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-06-13 15:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -14.85%E -3.81%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.15%EV -2.18%E -1.20%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -15.75%E -4.56%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-13 15:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.63%EV -14.85%E -3.81%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.85%EV -10.24%E -6.13%K -15.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.52%EV -12.08%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-06-13 15:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.46%EV -18.13%E -4.83%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.28%EV -5.94%E -3.40%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.26%EV -18.19%E -5.43%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-06-13 15:11 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.10%EV -18.13%E -4.83%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 51.16%EV -12.93%E -7.98%K -20.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.74%EV -24.29%E -7.84%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 20.7% | 2026-06-13 15:42 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.95% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55% | 1.1% | 2026-06-13 15:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.95% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55% | 1.1% | 2026-06-13 15:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.95% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55% | 1.1% | 2026-06-13 15:51 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.95% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55% | 1.1% | 2026-06-13 15:51 |