La escuela de los momios

IFK Mariehamn v IF Gnistan

Inicio: 2026-06-13 16:00 UTC

Final: IFK Mariehamn 0–3 IF Gnistan

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

IFK Mariehamn (Local)

Predicción 21.83%4.58momio equitativo
EV -1.31%
Ventaja -0.291%
Kelly -0.374%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.52

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.88%22.04%21.67%24.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.184.204.5226.67%23.94%23.81%22.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

IF Gnistan (Visitante)

Predicción 53.75%1.86momio equitativo
EV -0.570%
Ventaja -0.308%
Kelly -0.671%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.15%53.36%54.03%54.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.621.731.731.8561.73%57.80%57.80%54.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.42%4.09momio equitativo
EV -1.09%
Ventaja -0.270%
Kelly -0.359%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.36%24.60%24.29%26.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.683.604.0532.26%27.19%27.78%24.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle4.52I 22.12%NM 21.35%EV -1.31%E -0.291%K -0.374%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.83%EV -5.41%E -3.07%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.83%EV -1.09%E -0.270%K -0.359%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-13 15:40
Betsson4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -2.84%E -0.639%K -0.824%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -7.56%E -4.39%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -9.64%E -2.61%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-13 15:50
NordicBet4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -2.84%E -0.639%K -0.824%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -7.56%E -4.39%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -9.64%E -2.61%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-13 15:50
DraftKings4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -3.93%E -0.894%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.30%EV -6.48%E -3.73%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.23%EV -4.76%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-13 15:40
LowVig.ag4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -3.93%E -0.894%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.75%EV -7.56%E -4.39%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -3.54%E -0.895%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-13 15:50
BetOnline.ag4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -3.93%E -0.894%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.75%EV -7.56%E -4.39%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -3.54%E -0.895%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-13 15:50
BetAnything4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -3.93%E -0.894%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.75%EV -7.56%E -4.39%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -3.54%E -0.895%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-13 15:51
Marathon Bet4.33I 23.09%NM 21.53%EV -5.46%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.20%EV -7.56%E -4.39%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.28%EV -6.22%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-13 15:50
888sport4.33I 23.09%NM 21.27%EV -5.46%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.17%EV -8.63%E -5.08%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -8.42%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-13 15:51
William Hill4.33I 23.09%NM 21.27%EV -5.46%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.17%EV -8.63%E -5.08%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -8.42%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-13 15:50
Mr Green (SE)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.27%EV -5.46%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.17%EV -8.63%E -5.08%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -8.42%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-13 15:50
888sport (SE)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.27%EV -5.46%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.17%EV -8.63%E -5.08%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -8.42%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-13 15:50
Everygame4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -5.46%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.61%EV -10.24%E -6.13%K -15.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.32%EV -8.42%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-13 15:51
FanDuel4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -6.12%E -1.42%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.46%EV -8.09%E -4.73%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -4.76%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-13 15:40
PointsBet (AU)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -7.21%E -1.70%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.83%EV -6.48%E -3.73%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -12.08%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-13 15:50
PlayUp4.25I 23.53%NM 21.29%EV -7.21%E -1.70%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.22%EV -8.63%E -5.08%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.49%EV -13.31%E -3.75%K -5.22%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-13 15:51
1xBet4.22I 23.70%NM 22.19%EV -7.86%E -1.86%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.45%EV -7.56%E -4.39%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.36%EV -2.07%E -0.517%K -0.688%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-13 15:50
Bovada4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -8.30%E -1.98%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.58%EV -6.48%E -3.73%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -5.98%E -1.55%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-13 15:50
BetUS4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -8.30%E -1.98%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.58%EV -6.48%E -3.73%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -5.98%E -1.55%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-13 15:51
Unibet (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -8.30%E -1.98%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -5.94%E -3.40%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -7.20%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-13 15:50
TABtouch4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -8.30%E -1.98%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.22%EV -5.41%E -3.07%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -13.31%E -3.75%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-13 15:51
betPARX4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -8.30%E -1.98%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.22%EV -5.41%E -3.07%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -13.31%E -3.75%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-13 15:51
Casumo4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -8.30%E -1.98%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.22%EV -5.41%E -3.07%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -13.31%E -3.75%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-13 15:51
Unibet (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -8.30%E -1.98%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.22%EV -5.41%E -3.07%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -13.31%E -3.75%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-13 15:51
Unibet (NL)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -8.30%E -1.98%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.22%EV -5.41%E -3.07%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -13.31%E -3.75%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-13 15:51
Grosvenor4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -8.30%E -1.98%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.22%EV -5.41%E -3.07%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -13.31%E -3.75%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-13 15:50
Svenska Spel4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -8.30%E -1.98%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.22%EV -5.41%E -3.07%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -13.31%E -3.75%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-13 15:50
ATG (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -8.30%E -1.98%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.22%EV -5.41%E -3.07%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -13.31%E -3.75%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-13 15:51
Unibet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -8.30%E -1.98%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.22%EV -5.41%E -3.07%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -13.31%E -3.75%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-13 15:51
SportsBet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -8.30%E -1.98%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -8.63%E -5.08%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -7.20%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-13 15:40
Tipico (DE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -8.30%E -1.98%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -8.63%E -5.08%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -7.20%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-13 15:40
LeoVegas (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -8.30%E -1.98%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.37%EV -5.94%E -3.40%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -13.31%E -3.75%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-13 15:51
Virgin Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.75%EV -8.30%E -1.98%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.51%EV -6.48%E -3.73%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -13.31%E -3.75%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-13 15:50
LeoVegas4.20I 23.81%NM 21.75%EV -8.30%E -1.98%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.51%EV -6.48%E -3.73%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -13.31%E -3.75%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-13 15:51
LiveScore Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.75%EV -8.30%E -1.98%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.51%EV -6.48%E -3.73%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -13.31%E -3.75%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-13 15:51
Bet Victor4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -8.30%E -1.98%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.64%EV -8.63%E -5.08%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -9.64%E -2.61%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-13 15:49
Bet Right4.10I 24.39%NM 22.32%EV -10.48%E -2.56%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.60%EV -6.48%E -3.73%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -10.86%E -2.98%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-13 15:50
Betr (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -10.48%E -2.56%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.71%EV -7.56%E -4.39%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -12.08%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-13 15:50
GTbets4.06I 24.63%NM 22.97%EV -11.36%E -2.80%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.82%EV -3.26%E -1.81%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -9.64%E -2.61%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-13 15:50
Coolbet4.00I 25.00%NM 24.03%EV -12.67%E -3.17%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -0.570%E -0.308%K -0.671%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.03%EV -2.32%E -0.579%K -0.772%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-13 15:20
BetMGM4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -12.67%E -3.17%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -1.64%E -0.899%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -12.08%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-13 15:00
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -12.67%E -3.17%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -7.02%E -4.06%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -7.20%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-13 15:40
betfred_uk4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -12.67%E -3.17%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -7.02%E -4.06%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -14.53%E -4.15%K -5.81%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-13 15:50
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -12.67%E -3.17%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -10.24%E -6.13%K -15.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -8.42%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-13 15:40
Neds4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -12.67%E -3.17%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -8.63%E -5.08%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -12.08%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-13 15:50
Ladbrokes (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -12.67%E -3.17%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -8.63%E -5.08%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -12.08%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-13 15:50
Coral4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -12.67%E -3.17%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -8.63%E -5.08%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -12.08%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-13 15:50
Ladbrokes (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -12.67%E -3.17%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -8.63%E -5.08%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -12.08%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-13 15:50
Unibet (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%EV -12.67%E -3.17%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 53.30%EV -10.78%E -6.50%K -16.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.58%EV -12.08%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000%13.0%2026-06-13 15:50
BetRivers3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -14.85%E -3.81%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.15%EV -2.18%E -1.20%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -15.75%E -4.56%K -6.43%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-13 15:20
Sky Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 22.63%EV -14.85%E -3.81%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 52.85%EV -10.24%E -6.13%K -15.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.52%EV -12.08%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000%13.3%2026-06-13 15:40
PMU (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 23.46%EV -18.13%E -4.83%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.28%EV -5.94%E -3.40%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.26%EV -18.19%E -5.43%K -7.74%G +0.000%13.7%2026-06-13 15:11
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 22.10%EV -18.13%E -4.83%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 51.16%EV -12.93%E -7.98%K -20.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.74%EV -24.29%E -7.84%K -11.57%G +0.000%20.7%2026-06-13 15:42
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.95%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%1.1%2026-06-13 15:51
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.95%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%1.1%2026-06-13 15:51
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.95%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%1.1%2026-06-13 15:51
Matchbook4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.95%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%1.1%2026-06-13 15:51