Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

HJK Helsinki v SJK Seinäjoki

Kickoff: 2026-04-04 12:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

HJK Helsinki (Local)

Prediction 60.97%1.64fair odd
EV -3.67%
Edge -2.32%
Kelly -6.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.58

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.31%61.00%60.91%62.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.521.511.5869.93%65.97%66.23%63.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

SJK Seinäjoki (Visit)

Prediction 17.96%5.57fair odd
EV +2.56%
Edge +0.448%
Kelly +0.543%
Growth +0.014%

assuming max odds 5.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.72%17.85%18.11%19.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.455.095.105.7122.47%19.64%19.61%17.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.07%4.75fair odd
EV -0.969%
Edge -0.206%
Kelly -0.262%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.61%21.15%20.98%22.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.304.334.7025.64%23.26%23.09%21.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: HJK Helsinki (Local): 60.97%; SJK Seinäjoki (Visit): 17.96%; Draw: 21.07%. For SJK Seinäjoki (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.57. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.71, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.56%.

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.59%EV -6.72%E -4.39%K -12.67%G +0.000%5.71I 17.51%NM 16.77%EV +2.56%E +0.448%K +0.543%G +0.014%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.64%EV -2.23%E -0.481%K -0.614%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-04 11:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.09%EV -4.89%E -3.13%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.30%EV +0.580%E +0.104%K +0.126%G +0.001%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.61%EV -0.969%E -0.206%K -0.262%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-04 11:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.09%EV -4.89%E -3.13%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.30%EV +0.580%E +0.104%K +0.126%G +0.001%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.61%EV -0.969%E -0.206%K -0.262%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-04 11:44
FanDuel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.00%EV -7.94%E -5.26%K -15.56%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.72%EV +0.580%E +0.104%K +0.126%G +0.001%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -7.29%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 11:44
1xBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.03%EV -7.94%E -5.26%K -15.56%G +0.000%5.46I 18.32%NM 17.15%EV -1.93%E -0.354%K -0.434%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.81%EV -5.18%E -1.15%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 11:44
Marathon Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.17%EV -8.55%E -5.70%K -17.09%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.11%EV -2.11%E -0.388%K -0.475%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.72%EV -5.18%E -1.15%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 11:44
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.54%EV -5.50%E -3.55%K -10.00%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV -3.01%E -0.558%K -0.685%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -10.45%E -2.46%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 11:45
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.54%EV -5.50%E -3.55%K -10.00%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV -3.01%E -0.558%K -0.685%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -10.45%E -2.46%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 11:45
GTbets🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.38%EV -4.89%E -3.13%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.27I 18.98%NM 17.87%EV -5.35%E -1.01%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.75%EV -8.77%E -2.02%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 11:45
Coolbet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.81%EV -3.67%E -2.32%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.30%EV -5.71%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.89%EV -3.08%E -0.669%K -0.854%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 09:29
DraftKings🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.14%EV -6.11%E -3.97%K -11.31%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.93%EV -5.71%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.92%EV -5.18%E -1.15%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 11:45
Bet Right🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -8.55%E -5.70%K -17.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -5.71%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.54%EV -10.45%E -2.46%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-04 11:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -8.55%E -5.70%K -17.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -5.71%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.54%EV -10.45%E -2.46%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-04 11:44
Betr (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.34%EV -9.77%E -6.60%K -20.35%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.29%EV -5.71%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.36%EV -10.45%E -2.46%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-04 11:44
BetUS🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.59%EV -5.50%E -3.55%K -10.00%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.06%EV -6.60%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -7.29%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 11:44
BetAnything🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.59%EV -5.50%E -3.55%K -10.00%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.06%EV -6.60%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -7.29%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 11:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.37%EV -8.55%E -5.70%K -17.09%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.70%EV -6.60%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -7.29%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 10:29
Unibet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.70%EV -7.33%E -4.82%K -14.09%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.09%EV -8.40%E -1.65%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.21%EV -8.34%E -1.92%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-01 00:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.86%EV -7.94%E -5.26%K -15.56%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.02%EV -8.40%E -1.65%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -8.34%E -1.92%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-01 00:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.86%EV -7.94%E -5.26%K -15.56%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.02%EV -8.40%E -1.65%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -8.34%E -1.92%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-01 00:04
TABtouch🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.86%EV -7.94%E -5.26%K -15.56%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.02%EV -8.40%E -1.65%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -8.34%E -1.92%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-01 00:05
betPARX🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.86%EV -7.94%E -5.26%K -15.56%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.02%EV -8.40%E -1.65%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -8.34%E -1.92%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-01 00:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.86%EV -7.94%E -5.26%K -15.56%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.02%EV -8.40%E -1.65%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -8.34%E -1.92%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-01 00:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.86%EV -7.94%E -5.26%K -15.56%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.02%EV -8.40%E -1.65%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -8.34%E -1.92%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-01 00:04
Casumo🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.86%EV -7.94%E -5.26%K -15.56%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.02%EV -8.40%E -1.65%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -8.34%E -1.92%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-01 00:04
Grosvenor🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.86%EV -7.94%E -5.26%K -15.56%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.02%EV -8.40%E -1.65%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -8.34%E -1.92%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-01 00:05
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -4.28%E -2.73%K -7.51%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -8.77%E -2.02%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 09:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.60%EV -6.11%E -3.97%K -11.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -5.18%E -1.15%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 11:45
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -6.72%E -4.39%K -12.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -11.50%E -2.74%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-04 08:59
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -6.72%E -4.39%K -12.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -11.50%E -2.74%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-04 09:30
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -6.72%E -4.39%K -12.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -11.50%E -2.74%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-04 11:44
Everygame🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -6.72%E -4.39%K -12.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -11.50%E -2.74%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-04 11:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -6.72%E -4.39%K -12.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -11.50%E -2.74%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-04 09:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -6.72%E -4.39%K -12.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -11.50%E -2.74%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-04 09:30
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -8.55%E -5.70%K -17.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.24%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.96%EV -8.34%E -1.92%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-03 20:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -8.55%E -5.70%K -17.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.24%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.96%EV -8.34%E -1.92%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-03 20:15
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -8.55%E -5.70%K -17.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -8.77%E -2.02%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 11:44
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.65%EV -8.55%E -5.70%K -17.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.16%EV -9.40%E -2.19%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-01 00:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.65%EV -8.55%E -5.70%K -17.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.16%EV -9.40%E -2.19%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-01 00:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.65%EV -8.55%E -5.70%K -17.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.16%EV -9.40%E -2.19%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-01 00:04
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.71%EV -7.33%E -4.82%K -14.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -13.61%E -3.32%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-04 11:45
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -8.55%E -5.70%K -17.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -11.50%E -2.74%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-04 11:44
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.55%E -5.70%K -17.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -15.72%E -3.93%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-04 11:44
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -12.20%E -8.48%K -27.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -11.50%E -2.74%K -3.60%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-04 11:44
PMU (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.10%EV -12.20%E -8.48%K -27.74%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.96%EV -11.99%E -2.45%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.95%EV -11.50%E -2.74%K -3.60%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-02 09:59
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.75%EV -12.20%E -8.48%K -27.74%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.42%EV -14.69%E -3.09%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.83%EV -11.50%E -2.74%K -3.60%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-04 11:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -6.72%E -4.39%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -17.38%E -3.78%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -15.72%E -3.93%K -5.24%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-04 09:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -6.72%E -4.39%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -17.38%E -3.78%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -15.72%E -3.93%K -5.24%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-04 09:49
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -6.72%E -4.39%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -17.38%E -3.78%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -15.72%E -3.93%K -5.24%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-04 09:50
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -6.72%E -4.39%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -17.38%E -3.78%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -15.72%E -3.93%K -5.24%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-04 09:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 59.24%EV -12.81%E -8.96%K -29.80%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.04%EV -20.07%E -4.51%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.72%EV -17.83%E -4.57%K -6.15%G +0.000%18.0%2026-04-04 11:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.37%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.53%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.10%0.8%2026-04-04 11:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.37%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.53%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.10%0.8%2026-04-04 11:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.37%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.53%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.10%0.8%2026-04-04 11:45
Matchbook1.58I 63.29%NM 62.52%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.46%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.02%1.2%2026-04-04 11:44