L’École des cotes

HJK Helsinki v SJK Seinäjoki

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-04 12:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

HJK Helsinki (Local)

Prévision 60.97%1.64cote équitable
EV -3.67%
Avantage -2.32%
Kelly -6.33%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.58

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.31%61.00%60.91%62.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.431.521.511.5869.93%65.97%66.23%63.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

SJK Seinäjoki (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.96%5.57cote équitable
EV +2.56%
Avantage +0.448%
Kelly +0.543%
Croissance +0.014%

avec la cote maximale 5.71

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.72%17.85%18.11%19.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.455.095.105.7122.47%19.64%19.61%17.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 21.07%4.75cote équitable
EV -0.969%
Avantage -0.206%
Kelly -0.262%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.61%21.15%20.98%22.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.904.304.334.7025.64%23.26%23.09%21.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.53I 65.36%NM 62.59%EV -6.72%E -4.39%K -12.67%G +0.000%5.71I 17.51%NM 16.77%EV +2.56%E +0.448%K +0.543%G +0.014%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.64%EV -2.23%E -0.481%K -0.614%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-04 11:45
LowVig.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 62.09%EV -4.89%E -3.13%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.30%EV +0.580%E +0.104%K +0.126%G +0.001%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.61%EV -0.969%E -0.206%K -0.262%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-04 11:44
BetOnline.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 62.09%EV -4.89%E -3.13%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.30%EV +0.580%E +0.104%K +0.126%G +0.001%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.61%EV -0.969%E -0.206%K -0.262%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-04 11:44
FanDuel1.51I 66.23%NM 62.00%EV -7.94%E -5.26%K -15.56%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.72%EV +0.580%E +0.104%K +0.126%G +0.001%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -7.29%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 11:44
1xBet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.03%EV -7.94%E -5.26%K -15.56%G +0.000%5.46I 18.32%NM 17.15%EV -1.93%E -0.354%K -0.434%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.81%EV -5.18%E -1.15%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 11:44
Marathon Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.17%EV -8.55%E -5.70%K -17.09%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.11%EV -2.11%E -0.388%K -0.475%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.72%EV -5.18%E -1.15%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 11:44
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.54%EV -5.50%E -3.55%K -10.00%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV -3.01%E -0.558%K -0.685%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -10.45%E -2.46%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 11:45
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.54%EV -5.50%E -3.55%K -10.00%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV -3.01%E -0.558%K -0.685%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -10.45%E -2.46%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 11:45
GTbets1.56I 64.10%NM 60.38%EV -4.89%E -3.13%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.27I 18.98%NM 17.87%EV -5.35%E -1.01%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.75%EV -8.77%E -2.02%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 11:45
Coolbet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.81%EV -3.67%E -2.32%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.30%EV -5.71%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.89%EV -3.08%E -0.669%K -0.854%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 09:29
DraftKings1.54I 64.94%NM 61.14%EV -6.11%E -3.97%K -11.31%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.93%EV -5.71%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.92%EV -5.18%E -1.15%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 11:45
Bet Right1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -8.55%E -5.70%K -17.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -5.71%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.54%EV -10.45%E -2.46%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-04 11:44
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -8.55%E -5.70%K -17.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -5.71%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.54%EV -10.45%E -2.46%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-04 11:44
Betr (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.34%EV -9.77%E -6.60%K -20.35%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.29%EV -5.71%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.36%EV -10.45%E -2.46%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-04 11:44
BetUS1.55I 64.52%NM 60.59%EV -5.50%E -3.55%K -10.00%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.06%EV -6.60%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -7.29%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 11:44
BetAnything1.55I 64.52%NM 60.59%EV -5.50%E -3.55%K -10.00%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.06%EV -6.60%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -7.29%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 11:45
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.37%EV -8.55%E -5.70%K -17.09%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.70%EV -6.60%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -7.29%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 10:29
Unibet1.52I 65.79%NM 60.70%EV -7.33%E -4.82%K -14.09%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.09%EV -8.40%E -1.65%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.21%EV -8.34%E -1.92%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-01 00:05
ATG (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 60.86%EV -7.94%E -5.26%K -15.56%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.02%EV -8.40%E -1.65%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -8.34%E -1.92%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-01 00:04
Svenska Spel1.51I 66.23%NM 60.86%EV -7.94%E -5.26%K -15.56%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.02%EV -8.40%E -1.65%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -8.34%E -1.92%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-01 00:04
TABtouch1.51I 66.23%NM 60.86%EV -7.94%E -5.26%K -15.56%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.02%EV -8.40%E -1.65%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -8.34%E -1.92%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-01 00:05
betPARX1.51I 66.23%NM 60.86%EV -7.94%E -5.26%K -15.56%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.02%EV -8.40%E -1.65%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -8.34%E -1.92%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-01 00:04
Unibet (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 60.86%EV -7.94%E -5.26%K -15.56%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.02%EV -8.40%E -1.65%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -8.34%E -1.92%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-01 00:05
Unibet (NL)1.51I 66.23%NM 60.86%EV -7.94%E -5.26%K -15.56%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.02%EV -8.40%E -1.65%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -8.34%E -1.92%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-01 00:04
Casumo1.51I 66.23%NM 60.86%EV -7.94%E -5.26%K -15.56%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.02%EV -8.40%E -1.65%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -8.34%E -1.92%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-01 00:04
Grosvenor1.51I 66.23%NM 60.86%EV -7.94%E -5.26%K -15.56%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.02%EV -8.40%E -1.65%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -8.34%E -1.92%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-01 00:05
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -4.28%E -2.73%K -7.51%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -8.77%E -2.02%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 09:49
Unibet (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.60%EV -6.11%E -3.97%K -11.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -5.18%E -1.15%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 11:45
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -6.72%E -4.39%K -12.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -11.50%E -2.74%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-04 08:59
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -6.72%E -4.39%K -12.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -11.50%E -2.74%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-04 09:30
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -6.72%E -4.39%K -12.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -11.50%E -2.74%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-04 11:44
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -6.72%E -4.39%K -12.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -11.50%E -2.74%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-04 11:19
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -6.72%E -4.39%K -12.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -11.50%E -2.74%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-04 09:30
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -6.72%E -4.39%K -12.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -11.50%E -2.74%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-04 09:30
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -8.55%E -5.70%K -17.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.24%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.96%EV -8.34%E -1.92%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-03 20:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -8.55%E -5.70%K -17.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.24%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.96%EV -8.34%E -1.92%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-03 20:15
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -8.55%E -5.70%K -17.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -8.77%E -2.02%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 11:44
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 60.65%EV -8.55%E -5.70%K -17.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.16%EV -9.40%E -2.19%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-01 00:04
LiveScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.65%EV -8.55%E -5.70%K -17.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.16%EV -9.40%E -2.19%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-01 00:04
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.65%EV -8.55%E -5.70%K -17.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.16%EV -9.40%E -2.19%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-01 00:04
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 59.71%EV -7.33%E -4.82%K -14.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -13.61%E -3.32%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-04 11:45
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -8.55%E -5.70%K -17.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -11.50%E -2.74%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-04 11:44
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.55%E -5.70%K -17.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -15.72%E -3.93%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-04 11:44
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -12.20%E -8.48%K -27.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -11.50%E -2.74%K -3.60%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-04 11:44
PMU (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.10%EV -12.20%E -8.48%K -27.74%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.96%EV -11.99%E -2.45%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.95%EV -11.50%E -2.74%K -3.60%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-02 09:59
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 60.75%EV -12.20%E -8.48%K -27.74%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.42%EV -14.69%E -3.09%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.83%EV -11.50%E -2.74%K -3.60%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-04 11:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -6.72%E -4.39%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -17.38%E -3.78%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -15.72%E -3.93%K -5.24%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-04 09:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -6.72%E -4.39%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -17.38%E -3.78%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -15.72%E -3.93%K -5.24%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-04 09:49
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -6.72%E -4.39%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -17.38%E -3.78%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -15.72%E -3.93%K -5.24%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-04 09:50
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -6.72%E -4.39%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -17.38%E -3.78%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -15.72%E -3.93%K -5.24%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-04 09:50
Unibet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 59.24%EV -12.81%E -8.96%K -29.80%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.04%EV -20.07%E -4.51%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.72%EV -17.83%E -4.57%K -6.15%G +0.000%18.0%2026-04-04 11:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.37%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.53%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.10%0.8%2026-04-04 11:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.37%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.53%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.10%0.8%2026-04-04 11:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.37%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.53%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.10%0.8%2026-04-04 11:45
Matchbook1.58I 63.29%NM 62.52%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.46%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.02%1.2%2026-04-04 11:44