Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Lahti v TPS Turku

Kickoff: 2026-06-23 15:00 UTC

Final: FC Lahti 0–0 TPS Turku

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Lahti (Local)

Prediction 52.75%1.90fair odd
EV -4.52%
Edge -2.49%
Kelly -5.57%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.81

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.38%52.67%52.80%53.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.761.761.8159.88%56.68%56.82%55.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

TPS Turku (Visit)

Prediction 21.33%4.69fair odd
EV +0.229%
Edge +0.049%
Kelly +0.062%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.44%21.39%21.33%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.194.104.7026.67%23.86%24.39%21.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.92%3.86fair odd
EV -3.06%
Edge -0.817%
Kelly -1.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.32%25.95%25.88%28.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.483.503.7434.72%28.75%28.57%26.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Lahti (Local): 52.75%; TPS Turku (Visit): 21.33%; Draw: 25.92%. For TPS Turku (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.69. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.229%.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.64%EV -5.04%E -2.80%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.54%EV +0.229%E +0.049%K +0.062%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.82%EV -3.06%E -0.817%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-23 14:10
Coolbet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.12%EV -4.52%E -2.49%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.90%EV -1.90%E -0.414%K -0.529%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.98%EV -4.09%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-23 06:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.43%EV -7.15%E -4.06%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.44%EV -1.90%E -0.414%K -0.529%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-23 13:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.43%EV -7.15%E -4.06%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.44%EV -1.90%E -0.414%K -0.529%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-23 13:10
BetAnything🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.43%EV -7.15%E -4.06%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.44%EV -1.90%E -0.414%K -0.529%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-23 13:10
GTbets🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.93%EV -5.04%E -2.80%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.53I 22.08%NM 21.03%EV -3.40%E -0.750%K -0.962%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.03%EV -5.13%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-23 02:09
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.24%EV -6.63%E -3.74%K -8.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.94%EV -4.04%E -0.897%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.82%EV -5.39%E -1.48%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-23 13:20
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.99%EV -6.63%E -3.74%K -8.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.32%EV -6.17%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -5.39%E -1.48%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-23 13:20
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.99%EV -6.63%E -3.74%K -8.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.32%EV -6.17%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -5.39%E -1.48%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-23 13:30
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -6.63%E -3.74%K -8.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%EV -6.17%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -9.28%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-23 13:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -5.04%E -2.80%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -7.23%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-23 13:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -6.63%E -3.74%K -8.60%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.43%EV -7.23%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-23 13:50
Betway🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.62%EV -10.32%E -6.07%K -14.74%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.05%EV -7.66%E -1.77%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-22 11:09
Everygame🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.60%EV -8.74%E -5.05%K -11.97%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.02%EV -7.66%E -1.77%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -10.57%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-23 11:30
1xBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.31%EV -5.57%E -3.11%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 21.68%EV -7.87%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-23 14:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.44%EV -7.68%E -4.39%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -8.30%E -1.93%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -9.28%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-23 13:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.83%EV -8.21%E -4.72%K -11.09%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -9.37%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-23 06:19
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.22%EV -10.32%E -6.07%K -14.74%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.29%EV -9.37%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.49%EV -7.98%E -2.25%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-23 11:20
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.27%EV -6.63%E -3.74%K -8.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%EV -10.43%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-23 13:20
Bet Right🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.37%EV -7.68%E -4.39%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -10.43%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -7.98%E -2.25%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-23 06:19
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -8.74%E -5.05%K -11.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -10.43%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-23 13:18
SportsBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.68%E -4.39%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -10.43%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.28%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-23 13:30
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.06%EV -8.74%E -5.05%K -11.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.45%EV -10.43%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -11.87%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-23 12:10
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.94%EV -11.90%E -7.13%K -17.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.05%EV -10.43%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.00%EV -11.87%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%13.1%2026-06-23 02:39
Unibet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.66%EV -4.52%E -2.49%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -12.57%E -3.06%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -11.87%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-17 18:20
Grosvenor🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.66%EV -4.52%E -2.49%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -12.57%E -3.06%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -11.87%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-17 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.66%EV -4.52%E -2.49%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -12.57%E -3.06%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -11.87%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-17 18:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.66%EV -4.52%E -2.49%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -12.57%E -3.06%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -11.87%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-17 18:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.66%EV -4.52%E -2.49%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -12.57%E -3.06%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -11.87%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-17 18:20
BetRivers🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.66%EV -4.52%E -2.49%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -12.57%E -3.06%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -11.87%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-17 18:20
Casumo🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.66%EV -4.52%E -2.49%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -12.57%E -3.06%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -11.87%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-17 18:20
TABtouch🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.66%EV -4.52%E -2.49%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -12.57%E -3.06%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -11.87%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-17 18:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.66%EV -4.52%E -2.49%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -12.57%E -3.06%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -11.87%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-17 18:20
betPARX🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.66%EV -4.52%E -2.49%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -12.57%E -3.06%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -11.87%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-17 18:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.66%EV -4.52%E -2.49%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -12.57%E -3.06%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -11.87%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-17 18:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.90%EV -7.68%E -4.39%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -12.57%E -3.06%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -9.28%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-23 06:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.47%EV -11.90%E -7.13%K -17.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.37%EV -12.57%E -3.06%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.16%EV -13.17%E -3.93%K -5.60%G +0.000%14.1%2026-06-23 13:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -5.04%E -2.80%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -14.70%E -3.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.87%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-17 18:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -5.04%E -2.80%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -14.70%E -3.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.87%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-17 18:20
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -5.04%E -2.80%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -14.70%E -3.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.87%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-17 18:20
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -7.68%E -4.39%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -14.70%E -3.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.28%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-23 14:00
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -7.68%E -4.39%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -14.70%E -3.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.28%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-23 14:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -7.68%E -4.39%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -14.70%E -3.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.28%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-23 14:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -7.68%E -4.39%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -14.70%E -3.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.28%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-23 14:00
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -8.74%E -5.05%K -11.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -14.70%E -3.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -9.28%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-23 06:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -7.68%E -4.39%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -14.70%E -3.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.87%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-23 13:20
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -7.68%E -4.39%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -14.70%E -3.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.87%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-23 13:20
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -7.68%E -4.39%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -14.70%E -3.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.87%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-23 13:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -7.68%E -4.39%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -14.70%E -3.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.87%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-23 13:20
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.11%EV -8.74%E -5.05%K -11.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.10%EV -14.70%E -3.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -14.46%E -4.38%K -6.29%G +0.000%13.1%2026-06-23 13:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 50.47%EV -8.21%E -4.72%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.52%EV -16.83%E -4.32%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.02%EV -15.76%E -4.85%K -7.00%G +0.000%13.9%2026-06-17 18:21
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 49.38%EV -11.90%E -7.13%K -17.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 21.99%EV -20.03%E -5.34%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.63%EV -25.35%E -8.80%K -13.48%G +0.000%21.3%2026-06-23 11:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.91%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%1.1%2026-06-23 14:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.91%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%1.1%2026-06-23 14:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.91%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%1.1%2026-06-23 14:20
Matchbook1.87I 53.48%NM 52.91%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%1.1%2026-06-23 14:20