La escuela de los momios

FC Lahti v TPS Turku

Inicio: 2026-06-23 15:00 UTC

Final: FC Lahti 0–0 TPS Turku

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

FC Lahti (Local)

Predicción 52.75%1.90momio equitativo
EV -4.52%
Ventaja -2.49%
Kelly -5.57%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.81

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.38%52.67%52.80%53.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.671.761.761.8159.88%56.68%56.82%55.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

TPS Turku (Visitante)

Predicción 21.33%4.69momio equitativo
EV +0.229%
Ventaja +0.049%
Kelly +0.062%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.44%21.39%21.33%22.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.194.104.7026.67%23.86%24.39%21.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.92%3.86momio equitativo
EV -3.06%
Ventaja -0.817%
Kelly -1.12%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.74

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.32%25.95%25.88%28.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.483.503.7434.72%28.75%28.57%26.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.80I 55.56%NM 53.64%EV -5.04%E -2.80%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.54%EV +0.229%E +0.049%K +0.062%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.82%EV -3.06%E -0.817%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-23 14:10
Coolbet1.81I 55.25%NM 53.12%EV -4.52%E -2.49%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.90%EV -1.90%E -0.414%K -0.529%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.98%EV -4.09%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-23 06:49
BetOnline.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 53.43%EV -7.15%E -4.06%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.44%EV -1.90%E -0.414%K -0.529%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-23 13:10
LowVig.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 53.43%EV -7.15%E -4.06%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.44%EV -1.90%E -0.414%K -0.529%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-23 13:10
BetAnything1.76I 56.82%NM 53.43%EV -7.15%E -4.06%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.44%EV -1.90%E -0.414%K -0.529%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-23 13:10
GTbets1.80I 55.56%NM 52.93%EV -5.04%E -2.80%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.53I 22.08%NM 21.03%EV -3.40%E -0.750%K -0.962%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.03%EV -5.13%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-23 02:09
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 53.24%EV -6.63%E -3.74%K -8.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.94%EV -4.04%E -0.897%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.82%EV -5.39%E -1.48%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-23 13:20
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 52.99%EV -6.63%E -3.74%K -8.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.32%EV -6.17%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -5.39%E -1.48%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-23 13:20
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 52.99%EV -6.63%E -3.74%K -8.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.32%EV -6.17%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -5.39%E -1.48%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-23 13:30
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -6.63%E -3.74%K -8.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%EV -6.17%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -9.28%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-23 13:30
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -5.04%E -2.80%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -7.23%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-23 13:19
Marathon Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -6.63%E -3.74%K -8.60%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.43%EV -7.23%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-23 13:50
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 53.62%EV -10.32%E -6.07%K -14.74%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.05%EV -7.66%E -1.77%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-22 11:09
Everygame1.73I 57.80%NM 52.60%EV -8.74%E -5.05%K -11.97%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.02%EV -7.66%E -1.77%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -10.57%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-23 11:30
1xBet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.31%EV -5.57%E -3.11%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 21.68%EV -7.87%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-23 14:00
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.44%EV -7.68%E -4.39%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -8.30%E -1.93%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -9.28%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-23 13:40
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.83%EV -8.21%E -4.72%K -11.09%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -9.37%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-23 06:19
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 53.22%EV -10.32%E -6.07%K -14.74%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.29%EV -9.37%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.49%EV -7.98%E -2.25%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-23 11:20
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 52.27%EV -6.63%E -3.74%K -8.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%EV -10.43%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-23 13:20
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 52.37%EV -7.68%E -4.39%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -10.43%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -7.98%E -2.25%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-23 06:19
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -8.74%E -5.05%K -11.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -10.43%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-23 13:18
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.68%E -4.39%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -10.43%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.28%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-23 13:30
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 52.06%EV -8.74%E -5.05%K -11.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.45%EV -10.43%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -11.87%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-23 12:10
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 52.94%EV -11.90%E -7.13%K -17.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.05%EV -10.43%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.00%EV -11.87%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%13.1%2026-06-23 02:39
Unibet1.81I 55.25%NM 50.66%EV -4.52%E -2.49%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -12.57%E -3.06%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -11.87%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-17 18:20
Grosvenor1.81I 55.25%NM 50.66%EV -4.52%E -2.49%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -12.57%E -3.06%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -11.87%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-17 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 50.66%EV -4.52%E -2.49%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -12.57%E -3.06%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -11.87%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-17 18:20
Unibet (NL)1.81I 55.25%NM 50.66%EV -4.52%E -2.49%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -12.57%E -3.06%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -11.87%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-17 18:20
Unibet (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 50.66%EV -4.52%E -2.49%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -12.57%E -3.06%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -11.87%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-17 18:20
BetRivers1.81I 55.25%NM 50.66%EV -4.52%E -2.49%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -12.57%E -3.06%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -11.87%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-17 18:20
Casumo1.81I 55.25%NM 50.66%EV -4.52%E -2.49%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -12.57%E -3.06%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -11.87%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-17 18:20
TABtouch1.81I 55.25%NM 50.66%EV -4.52%E -2.49%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -12.57%E -3.06%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -11.87%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-17 18:20
ATG (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 50.66%EV -4.52%E -2.49%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -12.57%E -3.06%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -11.87%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-17 18:20
betPARX1.81I 55.25%NM 50.66%EV -4.52%E -2.49%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -12.57%E -3.06%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -11.87%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-17 18:20
Svenska Spel1.81I 55.25%NM 50.66%EV -4.52%E -2.49%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -12.57%E -3.06%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -11.87%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-17 18:20
Betr (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.90%EV -7.68%E -4.39%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -12.57%E -3.06%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -9.28%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-23 06:20
Unibet (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 52.47%EV -11.90%E -7.13%K -17.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.37%EV -12.57%E -3.06%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.16%EV -13.17%E -3.93%K -5.60%G +0.000%14.1%2026-06-23 13:20
Virgin Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -5.04%E -2.80%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -14.70%E -3.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.87%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-17 18:20
LiveScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -5.04%E -2.80%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -14.70%E -3.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.87%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-17 18:20
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -5.04%E -2.80%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -14.70%E -3.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.87%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-17 18:20
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -7.68%E -4.39%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -14.70%E -3.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.28%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-23 14:00
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -7.68%E -4.39%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -14.70%E -3.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.28%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-23 14:10
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -7.68%E -4.39%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -14.70%E -3.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.28%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-23 14:00
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -7.68%E -4.39%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -14.70%E -3.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.28%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-23 14:00
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -8.74%E -5.05%K -11.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -14.70%E -3.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -9.28%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-23 06:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -7.68%E -4.39%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -14.70%E -3.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.87%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-23 13:20
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -7.68%E -4.39%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -14.70%E -3.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.87%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-23 13:20
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -7.68%E -4.39%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -14.70%E -3.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.87%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-23 13:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -7.68%E -4.39%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -14.70%E -3.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.87%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-23 13:20
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 51.11%EV -8.74%E -5.05%K -11.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.10%EV -14.70%E -3.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -14.46%E -4.38%K -6.29%G +0.000%13.1%2026-06-23 13:30
PMU (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 50.47%EV -8.21%E -4.72%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.52%EV -16.83%E -4.32%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.02%EV -15.76%E -4.85%K -7.00%G +0.000%13.9%2026-06-17 18:21
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 49.38%EV -11.90%E -7.13%K -17.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 21.99%EV -20.03%E -5.34%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.63%EV -25.35%E -8.80%K -13.48%G +0.000%21.3%2026-06-23 11:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.91%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%1.1%2026-06-23 14:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.91%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%1.1%2026-06-23 14:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.91%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%1.1%2026-06-23 14:20
Matchbook1.87I 53.48%NM 52.91%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%1.1%2026-06-23 14:20