L’École des cotes

FC Lahti v IF Gnistan

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-04 12:00 UTC

Score final : FC Lahti 1–0 IF Gnistan

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

FC Lahti (Local)

Prévision 41.06%2.44cote équitable
EV -1.46%
Avantage -0.609%
Kelly -1.04%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.00%41.06%41.04%42.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.242.252.4047.62%44.59%44.44%41.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

IF Gnistan (Visiteur)

Prévision 31.11%3.21cote équitable
EV +1.43%
Avantage +0.438%
Kelly +0.632%
Croissance +0.009%

avec la cote maximale 3.26

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.65%31.11%31.15%32.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.752.932.903.2636.36%34.19%34.48%30.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.83%3.59cote équitable
EV -0.094%
Avantage -0.026%
Kelly -0.036%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.59

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.09%27.83%27.80%28.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.333.353.5932.26%30.04%29.85%27.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.30I 43.48%NM 42.09%EV -5.57%E -2.42%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.69%EV +1.43%E +0.438%K +0.632%G +0.009%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.22%EV -4.55%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-04 11:45
BetOnline.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 41.61%EV -6.39%E -2.80%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -0.437%E -0.137%K -0.199%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -8.16%E -2.47%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 11:55
LowVig.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 41.61%EV -6.39%E -2.80%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -0.437%E -0.137%K -0.199%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -8.16%E -2.47%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 11:50
BetAnything2.28I 43.86%NM 41.61%EV -6.39%E -2.80%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -0.437%E -0.137%K -0.199%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -8.16%E -2.47%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 11:50
Marathon Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.62%E -3.39%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -3.55%E -1.14%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.44%EV -8.72%E -2.66%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-04 11:50
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.14%EV -5.57%E -2.42%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.03%EV -5.10%E -1.67%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -5.38%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 11:35
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 40.07%EV -1.46%E -0.609%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.64%EV -5.42%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.29%EV -5.38%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-03 10:29
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.57%E -2.42%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -6.66%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.38%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 11:35
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -7.62%E -3.39%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -6.66%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -3.99%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-04 11:49
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -7.62%E -3.39%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -6.66%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -3.99%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-04 11:50
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -7.62%E -3.39%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -6.66%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.16%E -2.47%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-04 11:30
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.62%E -3.39%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.66%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.95%E -3.42%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-04 11:40
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.62%E -3.39%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.66%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.95%E -3.42%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-04 11:39
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -9.67%E -4.40%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.66%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.16%E -2.47%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-04 11:52
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -9.67%E -4.40%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.66%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.16%E -2.47%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-04 11:52
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -9.67%E -4.40%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.66%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.16%E -2.47%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-04 11:52
GTbets2.28I 43.86%NM 41.38%EV -6.39%E -2.80%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.66%EV -7.28%E -2.44%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%EV -2.60%E -0.743%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-28 00:10
NordicBet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.12%EV -4.75%E -2.05%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.24%EV -7.28%E -2.44%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -9.56%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-04 10:55
Betsson2.32I 43.10%NM 40.12%EV -4.75%E -2.05%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.24%EV -7.28%E -2.44%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -9.56%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-04 10:55
1xBet2.21I 45.25%NM 42.38%EV -9.26%E -4.19%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.53%EV -7.59%E -2.56%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.09%EV -0.094%E -0.026%K -0.036%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-04 11:50
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.62%E -3.39%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -8.22%E -2.79%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -5.38%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-04 11:34
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -7.62%E -3.39%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -8.22%E -2.79%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -8.16%E -2.47%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-04 11:55
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 40.86%EV -7.62%E -3.39%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -9.77%E -3.37%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -6.77%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-04 11:35
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.62%E -3.39%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -9.77%E -3.37%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.16%E -2.47%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-04 11:35
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -7.62%E -3.39%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -9.77%E -3.37%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -12.34%E -3.92%K -5.74%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-04 10:55
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -9.67%E -4.40%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -9.77%E -3.37%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -13.73%E -4.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-04 11:35
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -9.67%E -4.40%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -9.77%E -3.37%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -13.73%E -4.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-04 11:35
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -7.62%E -3.39%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -10.39%E -3.61%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -5.38%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-03 10:05
Grosvenor2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -7.62%E -3.39%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -10.39%E -3.61%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -5.38%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-03 10:05
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -7.62%E -3.39%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -10.39%E -3.61%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -5.38%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-03 10:05
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -7.62%E -3.39%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -10.39%E -3.61%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -5.38%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-03 10:05
Casumo2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -7.62%E -3.39%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -10.39%E -3.61%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -5.38%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-03 10:05
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -7.62%E -3.39%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -10.39%E -3.61%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -5.38%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-03 10:05
betPARX2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -7.62%E -3.39%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -10.39%E -3.61%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -5.38%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-03 10:03
ATG (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -7.62%E -3.39%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -10.39%E -3.61%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -5.38%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-03 10:05
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -7.62%E -3.39%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -10.39%E -3.61%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -5.38%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-03 10:04
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -9.67%E -4.40%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -10.39%E -3.61%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -5.38%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-04 11:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -7.62%E -3.39%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -11.33%E -3.97%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -6.77%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-03 10:04
BetRivers2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -7.62%E -3.39%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -11.33%E -3.97%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -6.77%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-03 10:05
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.85%EV -8.44%E -3.79%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.96%EV -11.33%E -3.97%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -6.77%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-03 10:05
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.85%EV -8.44%E -3.79%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.96%EV -11.33%E -3.97%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -6.77%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-03 10:05
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -5.57%E -2.42%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -12.88%E -4.60%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -5.38%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-02 12:05
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -7.62%E -3.39%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -12.88%E -4.60%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -3.99%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-04 11:35
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -9.67%E -4.40%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -12.88%E -4.60%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -10.95%E -3.42%K -4.98%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-04 11:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -9.67%E -4.40%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -12.88%E -4.60%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -10.95%E -3.42%K -4.98%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-04 11:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -9.67%E -4.40%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -12.88%E -4.60%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -10.95%E -3.42%K -4.98%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-04 11:35
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -9.67%E -4.40%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -12.88%E -4.60%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -10.95%E -3.42%K -4.98%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-04 11:35
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -7.62%E -3.39%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -14.44%E -5.25%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -5.38%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-03 12:25
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -7.62%E -3.39%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -14.44%E -5.25%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -8.16%E -2.47%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-02 12:05
PMU (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.93%EV -11.73%E -5.45%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.00%EV -14.44%E -5.25%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.07%EV -9.56%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-03 10:05
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -13.78%E -6.56%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.82%EV -14.44%E -5.25%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -8.16%E -2.47%K -3.55%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-04 11:39
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.32%EV -13.78%E -6.56%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.56%EV -14.44%E -5.25%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.12%EV -10.95%E -3.42%K -4.98%G +0.000%15.2%2026-07-04 11:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.40I 41.67%NM 41.61%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.26%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.13%0.1%2026-07-04 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.42%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00%0.6%2026-07-04 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.42%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00%0.6%2026-07-04 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.42%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00%0.6%2026-07-04 11:55