La escuela de los momiosEspañol
FC Lahti v IF Gnistan
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
FC Lahti (Local)
Predicción 41.06%2.44momio equitativo
EV -1.46%
Ventaja -0.609%
Kelly -1.04%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.00%41.06%41.04%42.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.242.252.4047.62%44.59%44.44%41.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
IF Gnistan (Visitante)
Predicción 31.11%3.21momio equitativo
EV +1.43%
Ventaja +0.438%
Kelly +0.632%
Crecimiento +0.009%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.26
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.65%31.11%31.15%32.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.752.932.903.2636.36%34.19%34.48%30.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.83%3.59momio equitativo
EV -0.094%
Ventaja -0.026%
Kelly -0.036%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.59
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.09%27.83%27.80%28.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.333.353.5932.26%30.04%29.85%27.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.09%EV -5.57%E -2.42%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.69%EV +1.43%E +0.438%K +0.632%G +0.009% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 28.22%EV -4.55%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-04 11:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.61%EV -6.39%E -2.80%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -0.437%E -0.137%K -0.199%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -8.16%E -2.47%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 11:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.61%EV -6.39%E -2.80%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -0.437%E -0.137%K -0.199%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -8.16%E -2.47%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 11:50 |
| BetAnything | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.61%EV -6.39%E -2.80%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -0.437%E -0.137%K -0.199%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -8.16%E -2.47%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 11:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.62%E -3.39%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -3.55%E -1.14%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.44%EV -8.72%E -2.66%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-04 11:50 |
| DraftKings | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.14%EV -5.57%E -2.42%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.03%EV -5.10%E -1.67%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -5.38%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 11:35 |
| Coolbet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.07%EV -1.46%E -0.609%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.64%EV -5.42%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.29%EV -5.38%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-03 10:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.57%E -2.42%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -6.66%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.38%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 11:35 |
| Bovada | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -7.62%E -3.39%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -6.66%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -3.99%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-04 11:49 |
| BetUS | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -7.62%E -3.39%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -6.66%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -3.99%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-04 11:50 |
| Betway | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -7.62%E -3.39%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -6.66%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.16%E -2.47%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-04 11:30 |
| SportsBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.62%E -3.39%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.66%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.95%E -3.42%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-04 11:40 |
| FanDuel | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.62%E -3.39%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.66%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.95%E -3.42%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-04 11:39 |
| 888sport | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -9.67%E -4.40%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.66%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.16%E -2.47%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-04 11:52 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -9.67%E -4.40%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.66%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.16%E -2.47%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-04 11:52 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -9.67%E -4.40%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.66%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.16%E -2.47%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-04 11:52 |
| GTbets | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.38%EV -6.39%E -2.80%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.66%EV -7.28%E -2.44%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%EV -2.60%E -0.743%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-28 00:10 |
| NordicBet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.12%EV -4.75%E -2.05%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.24%EV -7.28%E -2.44%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -9.56%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-04 10:55 |
| Betsson | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.12%EV -4.75%E -2.05%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.24%EV -7.28%E -2.44%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -9.56%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-04 10:55 |
| 1xBet | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.38%EV -9.26%E -4.19%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.53%EV -7.59%E -2.56%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.09%EV -0.094%E -0.026%K -0.036%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-04 11:50 |
| BetMGM | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.62%E -3.39%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -8.22%E -2.79%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -5.38%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-04 11:34 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -7.62%E -3.39%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -8.22%E -2.79%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -8.16%E -2.47%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-04 11:55 |
| LeoVegas | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.86%EV -7.62%E -3.39%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -9.77%E -3.37%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -6.77%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-04 11:35 |
| William Hill | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.62%E -3.39%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -9.77%E -3.37%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.16%E -2.47%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-04 11:35 |
| PlayUp | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -7.62%E -3.39%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -9.77%E -3.37%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -12.34%E -3.92%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-04 10:55 |
| Paddy Power | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -9.67%E -4.40%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -9.77%E -3.37%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -13.73%E -4.43%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-04 11:35 |
| Sky Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -9.67%E -4.40%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -9.77%E -3.37%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -13.73%E -4.43%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-04 11:35 |
| Unibet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -7.62%E -3.39%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -10.39%E -3.61%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -5.38%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-03 10:05 |
| Grosvenor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -7.62%E -3.39%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -10.39%E -3.61%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -5.38%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-03 10:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -7.62%E -3.39%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -10.39%E -3.61%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -5.38%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-03 10:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -7.62%E -3.39%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -10.39%E -3.61%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -5.38%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-03 10:05 |
| Casumo | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -7.62%E -3.39%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -10.39%E -3.61%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -5.38%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-03 10:05 |
| TABtouch | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -7.62%E -3.39%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -10.39%E -3.61%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -5.38%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-03 10:05 |
| betPARX | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -7.62%E -3.39%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -10.39%E -3.61%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -5.38%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-03 10:03 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -7.62%E -3.39%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -10.39%E -3.61%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -5.38%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-03 10:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -7.62%E -3.39%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -10.39%E -3.61%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -5.38%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-03 10:04 |
| Bet Victor | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -9.67%E -4.40%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -10.39%E -3.61%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -5.38%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-04 11:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -7.62%E -3.39%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -11.33%E -3.97%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -6.77%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-03 10:04 |
| BetRivers | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -7.62%E -3.39%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -11.33%E -3.97%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -6.77%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-03 10:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.85%EV -8.44%E -3.79%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.96%EV -11.33%E -3.97%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -6.77%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-03 10:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.85%EV -8.44%E -3.79%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.96%EV -11.33%E -3.97%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -6.77%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-03 10:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -5.57%E -2.42%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -12.88%E -4.60%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -5.38%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-02 12:05 |
| Bet Right | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -7.62%E -3.39%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -12.88%E -4.60%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -3.99%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-04 11:35 |
| Neds | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -9.67%E -4.40%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -12.88%E -4.60%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -10.95%E -3.42%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-04 11:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -9.67%E -4.40%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -12.88%E -4.60%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -10.95%E -3.42%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-04 11:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -9.67%E -4.40%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -12.88%E -4.60%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -10.95%E -3.42%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-04 11:35 |
| Coral | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -9.67%E -4.40%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -12.88%E -4.60%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -10.95%E -3.42%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-04 11:35 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -7.62%E -3.39%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -14.44%E -5.25%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -5.38%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-03 12:25 |
| betfred_uk | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -7.62%E -3.39%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -14.44%E -5.25%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -8.16%E -2.47%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-02 12:05 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.93%EV -11.73%E -5.45%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.00%EV -14.44%E -5.25%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.07%EV -9.56%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-07-03 10:05 |
| BoyleSports | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -13.78%E -6.56%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.82%EV -14.44%E -5.25%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -8.16%E -2.47%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-07-04 11:39 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.32%EV -13.78%E -6.56%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.56%EV -14.44%E -5.25%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.12%EV -10.95%E -3.42%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-07-04 11:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.61% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.26% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.13% | 0.1% | 2026-07-04 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.42% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00% | 0.6% | 2026-07-04 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.42% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00% | 0.6% | 2026-07-04 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.42% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00% | 0.6% | 2026-07-04 11:55 |