Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Inter Turku v Jaro

Kickoff: 2026-05-09 12:00 UTC

Final: FC Inter Turku 2–0 Jaro

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

54 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Inter Turku (Local)

Prediction 63.32%1.58fair odd
EV -4.39%
Edge -2.91%
Kelly -8.61%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.51

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.01%63.34%63.37%65.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.351.441.441.5174.07%69.34%69.44%66.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Jaro (Visit)

Prediction 14.70%6.80fair odd
EV +7.30%
Edge +1.00%
Kelly +1.16%
Growth +0.085%

assuming max odds 7.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.16%14.65%14.71%16.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.366.407.3018.18%15.72%15.63%13.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.98%4.55fair odd
EV -2.39%
Edge -0.538%
Kelly -0.695%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.34%22.01%21.92%23.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.174.254.4427.78%23.97%23.53%22.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Inter Turku (Local): 63.32%; Jaro (Visit): 14.70%; Draw: 21.98%. For Jaro (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.80. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.30%.

Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.49%EV -5.66%E -3.80%K -11.55%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 13.16%EV +7.30%E +1.00%K +1.16%G +0.085%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.35%EV -5.47%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-06 08:40
Unibet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.39%EV -10.72%E -7.61%K -26.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV +2.89%E +0.413%K +0.482%G +0.014%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.44%EV -5.47%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 05:14
Grosvenor🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.39%EV -10.72%E -7.61%K -26.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV +2.89%E +0.413%K +0.482%G +0.014%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.44%EV -5.47%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 05:14
Unibet (NL)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.39%EV -10.72%E -7.61%K -26.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV +2.89%E +0.413%K +0.482%G +0.014%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.44%EV -5.47%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 05:14
Unibet (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.39%EV -10.72%E -7.61%K -26.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV +2.89%E +0.413%K +0.482%G +0.014%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.44%EV -5.47%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 05:15
TABtouch🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.39%EV -10.72%E -7.61%K -26.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV +2.89%E +0.413%K +0.482%G +0.014%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.44%EV -5.47%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 05:13
Casumo🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.39%EV -10.72%E -7.61%K -26.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV +2.89%E +0.413%K +0.482%G +0.014%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.44%EV -5.47%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 05:14
ATG (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.39%EV -10.72%E -7.61%K -26.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV +2.89%E +0.413%K +0.482%G +0.014%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.44%EV -5.47%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 05:13
Svenska Spel🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.39%EV -10.72%E -7.61%K -26.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV +2.89%E +0.413%K +0.482%G +0.014%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.44%EV -5.47%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 05:14
betPARX🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.39%EV -10.72%E -7.61%K -26.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV +2.89%E +0.413%K +0.482%G +0.014%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.44%EV -5.47%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 05:13
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.07%EV -10.72%E -7.61%K -26.15%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.59%EV -0.781%E -0.116%K -0.136%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -5.47%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-09 05:14
BetRivers🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.07%EV -10.72%E -7.61%K -26.15%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.59%EV -0.781%E -0.116%K -0.136%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -5.47%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-09 05:14
LiveScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.07%EV -11.36%E -8.11%K -28.39%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.50%EV -0.781%E -0.116%K -0.136%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -6.57%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 05:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.07%EV -11.36%E -8.11%K -28.39%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.50%EV -0.781%E -0.116%K -0.136%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -6.57%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 05:14
LeoVegas🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.07%EV -11.36%E -8.11%K -28.39%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.50%EV -0.781%E -0.116%K -0.136%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -6.57%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 05:14
Pinnacle🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.93%EV -4.39%E -2.91%K -8.61%G +0.000%6.74I 14.84%NM 14.32%EV -0.928%E -0.138%K -0.162%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.74%EV -2.39%E -0.538%K -0.695%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-09 05:14
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.33%EV -8.19%E -5.65%K -18.20%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.71%EV -1.52%E -0.226%K -0.266%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -12.06%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-09 05:13
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.41%EV -9.46%E -6.61%K -21.99%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -4.46%E -0.686%K -0.810%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.42%EV -5.47%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 12:04
Bet Right🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.42%EV -8.19%E -5.65%K -18.20%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -4.46%E -0.686%K -0.810%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -9.86%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 05:14
Bet Victor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -8.82%E -6.13%K -20.05%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -4.46%E -0.686%K -0.810%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.06%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 05:14
SportsBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -11.36%E -8.11%K -28.39%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -4.46%E -0.686%K -0.810%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-06 11:35
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -11.36%E -8.11%K -28.39%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -4.46%E -0.686%K -0.810%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-08 11:24
PMU (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 65.06%EV -14.52%E -10.76%K -41.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.51%EV -4.46%E -0.686%K -0.810%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.42%EV -9.86%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-09 05:13
LowVig.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.32%EV -5.66%E -3.80%K -11.55%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.74%EV -5.93%E -0.926%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.94%EV -5.47%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 05:14
BetOnline.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.32%EV -5.66%E -3.80%K -11.55%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.74%EV -5.93%E -0.926%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.94%EV -5.47%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 05:14
BetUS🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.32%EV -5.66%E -3.80%K -11.55%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.74%EV -5.93%E -0.926%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.94%EV -5.47%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 05:14
BetAnything🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.32%EV -5.66%E -3.80%K -11.55%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.74%EV -5.93%E -0.926%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.94%EV -5.47%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 05:13
1xBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.31%EV -6.29%E -4.25%K -13.11%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.64%EV -5.93%E -0.926%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.05%EV -6.57%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 05:14
NordicBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.82%EV -5.66%E -3.80%K -11.55%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -5.93%E -0.926%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -8.77%E -2.11%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-07 15:00
Betsson🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.82%EV -5.66%E -3.80%K -11.55%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -5.93%E -0.926%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -8.77%E -2.11%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-07 15:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.47%EV -6.92%E -4.71%K -14.73%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.58%EV -5.93%E -0.926%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV -6.57%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 05:14
GTbets🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.37%EV -6.92%E -4.71%K -14.73%G +0.000%6.33I 15.80%NM 14.72%EV -6.96%E -1.10%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -6.57%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 05:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.57%EV -8.19%E -5.65%K -18.20%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.75%EV -8.13%E -1.30%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -6.57%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 05:14
Everygame🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -8.82%E -6.13%K -20.05%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -8.13%E -1.30%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -9.86%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 05:14
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.72%EV -8.19%E -5.65%K -18.20%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.55%EV -8.13%E -1.30%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -12.06%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-09 05:14
DraftKings🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.01%EV -5.66%E -3.80%K -11.55%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -11.81%E -1.97%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -3.27%E -0.743%K -0.961%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-08 12:04
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -5.03%E -3.35%K -10.05%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -11.81%E -1.97%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.47%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 11:17
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -5.03%E -3.35%K -10.05%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -11.81%E -1.97%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 05:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.70%EV -6.29%E -4.25%K -13.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -11.81%E -1.97%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -6.57%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 05:13
Betway🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.02%EV -8.19%E -5.65%K -18.20%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV -11.81%E -1.97%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 05:14
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.34%EV -8.19%E -5.65%K -18.20%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -11.81%E -1.97%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -12.06%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-09 05:14
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.82%E -6.13%K -20.05%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -11.81%E -1.97%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -12.06%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-09 05:13
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.82%E -6.13%K -20.05%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -11.81%E -1.97%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -12.06%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-06 11:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.82%E -6.13%K -20.05%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -11.81%E -1.97%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -12.06%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-06 11:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.82%E -6.13%K -20.05%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -11.81%E -1.97%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -12.06%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-06 11:44
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.82%E -6.13%K -20.05%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -11.81%E -1.97%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -12.06%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-06 11:44
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -11.36%E -8.11%K -28.39%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -11.81%E -1.97%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -12.06%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-08 11:24
Unibet (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 62.84%EV -11.36%E -8.11%K -28.39%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.17%EV -14.75%E -2.54%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.99%EV -12.06%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-09 05:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.01%EV -6.29%E -4.25%K -13.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -19.16%E -3.48%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -12.06%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-09 05:14
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.01%EV -6.29%E -4.25%K -13.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -19.16%E -3.48%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -12.06%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-09 05:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.01%EV -6.29%E -4.25%K -13.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -19.16%E -3.48%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -12.06%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-09 05:15
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.01%EV -6.29%E -4.25%K -13.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -19.16%E -3.48%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -12.06%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-09 05:13
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 62.32%EV -11.36%E -8.11%K -28.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.86%EV -19.16%E -3.48%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.81%EV -12.06%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-07 07:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 61.54%EV -13.89%E -10.21%K -38.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.22%EV -19.16%E -3.48%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.25%EV -20.86%E -5.79%K -8.02%G +0.000%19.5%2026-05-08 13:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.53I 65.36%NM 64.65%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.37%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%1.1%2026-05-09 05:14
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 64.48%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.24%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.28%2.0%2026-05-09 05:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.52I 65.79%NM 64.48%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.24%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.28%2.0%2026-05-09 05:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 64.48%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.24%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.28%2.0%2026-05-09 05:14