La escuela de los momios

FC Inter Turku v Jaro

Inicio: 2026-05-09 12:00 UTC

Final: FC Inter Turku 2–0 Jaro

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

FC Inter Turku (Local)

Predicción 63.32%1.58momio equitativo
EV -4.39%
Ventaja -2.91%
Kelly -8.61%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.51

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.01%63.34%63.37%65.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.351.441.441.5174.07%69.34%69.44%66.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Jaro (Visitante)

Predicción 14.70%6.80momio equitativo
EV +7.30%
Ventaja +1.00%
Kelly +1.16%
Crecimiento +0.085%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.16%14.65%14.71%16.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.506.366.407.3018.18%15.72%15.63%13.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 21.98%4.55momio equitativo
EV -2.39%
Ventaja -0.538%
Kelly -0.695%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.44

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.34%22.01%21.92%23.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.174.254.4427.78%23.97%23.53%22.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet1.49I 67.11%NM 64.49%EV -5.66%E -3.80%K -11.55%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 13.16%EV +7.30%E +1.00%K +1.16%G +0.085%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.35%EV -5.47%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-06 08:40
Unibet1.41I 70.92%NM 65.39%EV -10.72%E -7.61%K -26.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV +2.89%E +0.413%K +0.482%G +0.014%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.44%EV -5.47%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 05:14
Grosvenor1.41I 70.92%NM 65.39%EV -10.72%E -7.61%K -26.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV +2.89%E +0.413%K +0.482%G +0.014%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.44%EV -5.47%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 05:14
Unibet (NL)1.41I 70.92%NM 65.39%EV -10.72%E -7.61%K -26.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV +2.89%E +0.413%K +0.482%G +0.014%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.44%EV -5.47%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 05:14
Unibet (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 65.39%EV -10.72%E -7.61%K -26.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV +2.89%E +0.413%K +0.482%G +0.014%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.44%EV -5.47%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 05:15
TABtouch1.41I 70.92%NM 65.39%EV -10.72%E -7.61%K -26.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV +2.89%E +0.413%K +0.482%G +0.014%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.44%EV -5.47%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 05:13
Casumo1.41I 70.92%NM 65.39%EV -10.72%E -7.61%K -26.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV +2.89%E +0.413%K +0.482%G +0.014%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.44%EV -5.47%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 05:14
ATG (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 65.39%EV -10.72%E -7.61%K -26.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV +2.89%E +0.413%K +0.482%G +0.014%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.44%EV -5.47%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 05:13
Svenska Spel1.41I 70.92%NM 65.39%EV -10.72%E -7.61%K -26.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV +2.89%E +0.413%K +0.482%G +0.014%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.44%EV -5.47%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 05:14
betPARX1.41I 70.92%NM 65.39%EV -10.72%E -7.61%K -26.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV +2.89%E +0.413%K +0.482%G +0.014%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.44%EV -5.47%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 05:13
LeoVegas (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 65.07%EV -10.72%E -7.61%K -26.15%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.59%EV -0.781%E -0.116%K -0.136%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -5.47%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-09 05:14
BetRivers1.41I 70.92%NM 65.07%EV -10.72%E -7.61%K -26.15%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.59%EV -0.781%E -0.116%K -0.136%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -5.47%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-09 05:14
LiveScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 65.07%EV -11.36%E -8.11%K -28.39%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.50%EV -0.781%E -0.116%K -0.136%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -6.57%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 05:14
Virgin Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 65.07%EV -11.36%E -8.11%K -28.39%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.50%EV -0.781%E -0.116%K -0.136%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -6.57%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 05:14
LeoVegas1.40I 71.43%NM 65.07%EV -11.36%E -8.11%K -28.39%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.50%EV -0.781%E -0.116%K -0.136%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -6.57%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 05:14
Pinnacle1.51I 66.23%NM 63.93%EV -4.39%E -2.91%K -8.61%G +0.000%6.74I 14.84%NM 14.32%EV -0.928%E -0.138%K -0.162%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.74%EV -2.39%E -0.538%K -0.695%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-09 05:14
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.33%EV -8.19%E -5.65%K -18.20%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.71%EV -1.52%E -0.226%K -0.266%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -12.06%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-09 05:13
FanDuel1.43I 69.93%NM 64.41%EV -9.46%E -6.61%K -21.99%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -4.46%E -0.686%K -0.810%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.42%EV -5.47%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 12:04
Bet Right1.45I 68.97%NM 63.42%EV -8.19%E -5.65%K -18.20%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -4.46%E -0.686%K -0.810%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -9.86%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 05:14
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -8.82%E -6.13%K -20.05%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -4.46%E -0.686%K -0.810%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.06%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 05:14
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -11.36%E -8.11%K -28.39%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -4.46%E -0.686%K -0.810%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-06 11:35
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -11.36%E -8.11%K -28.39%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -4.46%E -0.686%K -0.810%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-08 11:24
PMU (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 65.06%EV -14.52%E -10.76%K -41.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.51%EV -4.46%E -0.686%K -0.810%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.42%EV -9.86%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-09 05:13
LowVig.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 63.32%EV -5.66%E -3.80%K -11.55%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.74%EV -5.93%E -0.926%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.94%EV -5.47%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 05:14
BetOnline.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 63.32%EV -5.66%E -3.80%K -11.55%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.74%EV -5.93%E -0.926%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.94%EV -5.47%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 05:14
BetUS1.49I 67.11%NM 63.32%EV -5.66%E -3.80%K -11.55%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.74%EV -5.93%E -0.926%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.94%EV -5.47%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 05:14
BetAnything1.49I 67.11%NM 63.32%EV -5.66%E -3.80%K -11.55%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.74%EV -5.93%E -0.926%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.94%EV -5.47%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 05:13
1xBet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.31%EV -6.29%E -4.25%K -13.11%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.64%EV -5.93%E -0.926%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.05%EV -6.57%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 05:14
NordicBet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.82%EV -5.66%E -3.80%K -11.55%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -5.93%E -0.926%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -8.77%E -2.11%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-07 15:00
Betsson1.49I 67.11%NM 62.82%EV -5.66%E -3.80%K -11.55%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -5.93%E -0.926%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -8.77%E -2.11%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-07 15:00
Marathon Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.47%EV -6.92%E -4.71%K -14.73%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.58%EV -5.93%E -0.926%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV -6.57%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 05:14
GTbets1.47I 68.03%NM 63.37%EV -6.92%E -4.71%K -14.73%G +0.000%6.33I 15.80%NM 14.72%EV -6.96%E -1.10%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -6.57%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 05:14
PointsBet (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.57%EV -8.19%E -5.65%K -18.20%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.75%EV -8.13%E -1.30%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -6.57%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 05:14
Everygame1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -8.82%E -6.13%K -20.05%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -8.13%E -1.30%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -9.86%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 05:14
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.72%EV -8.19%E -5.65%K -18.20%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.55%EV -8.13%E -1.30%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -12.06%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-09 05:14
DraftKings1.49I 67.11%NM 63.01%EV -5.66%E -3.80%K -11.55%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -11.81%E -1.97%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -3.27%E -0.743%K -0.961%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-08 12:04
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -5.03%E -3.35%K -10.05%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -11.81%E -1.97%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.47%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 11:17
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -5.03%E -3.35%K -10.05%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -11.81%E -1.97%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 05:14
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.70%EV -6.29%E -4.25%K -13.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -11.81%E -1.97%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -6.57%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 05:13
Betway1.45I 68.97%NM 63.02%EV -8.19%E -5.65%K -18.20%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV -11.81%E -1.97%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 05:14
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 62.34%EV -8.19%E -5.65%K -18.20%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -11.81%E -1.97%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -12.06%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-09 05:14
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.82%E -6.13%K -20.05%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -11.81%E -1.97%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -12.06%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-09 05:13
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.82%E -6.13%K -20.05%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -11.81%E -1.97%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -12.06%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-06 11:45
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.82%E -6.13%K -20.05%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -11.81%E -1.97%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -12.06%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-06 11:45
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.82%E -6.13%K -20.05%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -11.81%E -1.97%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -12.06%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-06 11:44
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.82%E -6.13%K -20.05%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -11.81%E -1.97%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -12.06%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-06 11:44
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -11.36%E -8.11%K -28.39%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -11.81%E -1.97%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -12.06%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-08 11:24
Unibet (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 62.84%EV -11.36%E -8.11%K -28.39%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.17%EV -14.75%E -2.54%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.99%EV -12.06%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-09 05:14
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.01%EV -6.29%E -4.25%K -13.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -19.16%E -3.48%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -12.06%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-09 05:14
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 61.01%EV -6.29%E -4.25%K -13.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -19.16%E -3.48%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -12.06%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-09 05:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.01%EV -6.29%E -4.25%K -13.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -19.16%E -3.48%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -12.06%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-09 05:15
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 61.01%EV -6.29%E -4.25%K -13.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -19.16%E -3.48%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -12.06%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-09 05:13
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 62.32%EV -11.36%E -8.11%K -28.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.86%EV -19.16%E -3.48%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.81%EV -12.06%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-07 07:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 61.54%EV -13.89%E -10.21%K -38.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.22%EV -19.16%E -3.48%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.25%EV -20.86%E -5.79%K -8.02%G +0.000%19.5%2026-05-08 13:49
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.53I 65.36%NM 64.65%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.37%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%1.1%2026-05-09 05:14
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 64.48%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.24%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.28%2.0%2026-05-09 05:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.52I 65.79%NM 64.48%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.24%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.28%2.0%2026-05-09 05:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 64.48%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.24%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.28%2.0%2026-05-09 05:14