Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Inter Turku v Ilves Tampere

Kickoff: 2026-04-11 16:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

50 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Inter Turku (Local)

Prediction 42.73%2.34fair odd
EV -2.59%
Edge -1.13%
Kelly -2.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.51%42.68%42.68%43.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.152.152.2850.00%46.50%46.51%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ilves Tampere (Visit)

Prediction 29.18%3.43fair odd
EV -1.65%
Edge -0.490%
Kelly -0.697%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.37

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.35%29.27%29.15%30.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.703.143.203.3737.04%31.83%31.25%29.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.09%3.56fair odd
EV -2.24%
Edge -0.644%
Kelly -0.904%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.85%28.06%28.17%29.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.233.203.4834.72%31.00%31.25%28.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Inter Turku (Local): 42.73%; Ilves Tampere (Visit): 29.18%; Draw: 28.09%. For Ilves Tampere (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.43. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.37, with an expected value of -1.65%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.16%EV -2.59%E -1.13%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.57%EV -5.15%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -4.49%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 15:45
GTbets🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.86%EV -3.44%E -1.52%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.23%EV -8.66%E -2.77%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 27.91%EV -4.77%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 12:35
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -3.87%E -1.72%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.53%E -3.07%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -8.70%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 15:20
Pinnacle🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 43.15%EV -4.30%E -1.92%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.68%EV -1.65%E -0.490%K -0.697%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.18%EV -3.65%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-11 15:55
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.63%EV -5.15%E -2.32%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.12%EV -5.15%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.25%EV -5.89%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 15:45
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.63%EV -5.15%E -2.32%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.12%EV -5.15%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.25%EV -5.89%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 15:45
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.85%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -5.15%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.14%EV -5.89%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 15:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -9.53%E -3.07%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -4.49%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 15:35
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -15.37%E -5.30%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -12.92%E -4.17%K -6.15%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-11 15:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -15.37%E -5.30%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -12.92%E -4.17%K -6.15%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-11 15:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -15.37%E -5.30%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -12.92%E -4.17%K -6.15%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-11 15:20
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -15.37%E -5.30%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -12.92%E -4.17%K -6.15%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-11 15:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 42.63%EV -6.43%E -2.94%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.64%EV -4.86%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -8.70%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 15:54
FanDuel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -8.14%E -3.79%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.61%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.30%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 15:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -8.14%E -3.79%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.61%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.30%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 15:34
Grosvenor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -8.14%E -3.79%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -5.15%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-09 09:29
Unibet (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -8.14%E -3.79%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -5.15%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-09 09:30
TABtouch🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -8.14%E -3.79%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -5.15%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-09 09:30
Casumo🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -8.14%E -3.79%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -5.15%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-09 09:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -8.14%E -3.79%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -5.15%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-09 09:30
Unibet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -8.14%E -3.79%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -5.15%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-09 09:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -8.14%E -3.79%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -5.15%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-09 09:29
ATG (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -8.14%E -3.79%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -5.15%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-09 09:30
betPARX🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -8.14%E -3.79%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -5.15%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-09 09:30
Bet Right🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -8.14%E -3.79%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -10.99%E -3.60%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -4.49%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 15:49
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.14%E -3.79%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -9.53%E -3.07%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.30%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 15:45
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.14%E -3.79%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -12.45%E -4.15%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -4.49%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 15:53
Everygame🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.47%EV -8.14%E -3.79%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -6.61%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -11.51%E -3.65%K -5.35%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 15:39
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -8.14%E -3.79%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.53%E -3.07%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.70%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 15:34
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.14%E -3.79%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -6.61%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.92%E -4.17%K -6.15%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 15:45
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.14%E -3.79%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -6.61%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.92%E -4.17%K -6.15%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 15:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.14%E -3.79%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -6.61%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.92%E -4.17%K -6.15%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 15:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.14%E -3.79%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -6.61%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.92%E -4.17%K -6.15%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 15:45
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.14%E -3.79%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.53%E -3.07%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 15:44
1xBet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.67%EV -8.57%E -4.00%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 29.48%EV -7.49%E -2.36%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.85%EV -2.24%E -0.644%K -0.904%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 15:55
BetRivers🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.78%EV -8.57%E -4.00%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -6.61%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-09 09:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.78%EV -8.57%E -4.00%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -6.61%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-09 09:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -9.42%E -4.44%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -6.61%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-09 09:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -9.42%E -4.44%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -6.61%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-09 09:30
LeoVegas🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -9.42%E -4.44%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -6.61%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-09 09:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -9.42%E -4.44%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -6.61%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 15:45
BetAnything🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -9.42%E -4.44%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -6.61%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 15:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -10.28%E -4.89%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.53%E -3.07%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -4.49%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 15:49
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.01%EV -10.28%E -4.89%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.62%EV -10.99%E -3.60%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -7.30%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-11 15:50
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -10.28%E -4.89%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -9.53%E -3.07%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 15:50
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -10.28%E -4.89%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -12.45%E -4.15%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -12.92%E -4.17%K -6.15%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-11 15:49
PMU (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.06%EV -12.41%E -6.06%K -11.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -9.53%E -3.07%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -12.92%E -4.17%K -6.15%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-09 09:29
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -12.41%E -6.06%K -11.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -12.45%E -4.15%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-11 15:34
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.02%EV -14.55%E -7.27%K -14.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.67%EV -15.37%E -5.30%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.31%EV -11.51%E -3.65%K -5.35%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-11 15:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 41.06%EV -14.55%E -7.27%K -14.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.42%EV -21.20%E -7.85%K -12.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.52%EV -19.10%E -6.63%K -10.16%G +0.000%21.8%2026-04-11 15:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 43.02%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87%1.1%2026-04-11 15:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.85%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.16%1.5%2026-04-11 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.85%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.16%1.5%2026-04-11 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.85%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.16%1.5%2026-04-11 15:55