La escuela de los momios

FC Inter Turku v Ilves Tampere

Inicio: 2026-04-11 16:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

50 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

FC Inter Turku (Local)

Predicción 42.73%2.34momio equitativo
EV -2.59%
Ventaja -1.13%
Kelly -2.02%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.28

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.51%42.68%42.68%43.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.152.152.2850.00%46.50%46.51%43.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Ilves Tampere (Visitante)

Predicción 29.18%3.43momio equitativo
EV -1.65%
Ventaja -0.490%
Kelly -0.697%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.37

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.35%29.27%29.15%30.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.703.143.203.3737.04%31.83%31.25%29.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.09%3.56momio equitativo
EV -2.24%
Ventaja -0.644%
Kelly -0.904%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.48

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.85%28.06%28.17%29.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.233.203.4834.72%31.00%31.25%28.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet2.28I 43.86%NM 42.16%EV -2.59%E -1.13%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.57%EV -5.15%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -4.49%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 15:45
GTbets2.26I 44.25%NM 41.86%EV -3.44%E -1.52%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.23%EV -8.66%E -2.77%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 27.91%EV -4.77%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 12:35
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -3.87%E -1.72%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.53%E -3.07%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -8.70%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 15:20
Pinnacle2.24I 44.64%NM 43.15%EV -4.30%E -1.92%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.68%EV -1.65%E -0.490%K -0.697%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.18%EV -3.65%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-11 15:55
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 42.63%EV -5.15%E -2.32%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.12%EV -5.15%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.25%EV -5.89%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 15:45
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.63%EV -5.15%E -2.32%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.12%EV -5.15%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.25%EV -5.89%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 15:45
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.85%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -5.15%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.14%EV -5.89%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 15:35
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -9.53%E -3.07%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -4.49%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 15:35
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -15.37%E -5.30%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -12.92%E -4.17%K -6.15%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-11 15:19
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -15.37%E -5.30%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -12.92%E -4.17%K -6.15%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-11 15:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -15.37%E -5.30%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -12.92%E -4.17%K -6.15%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-11 15:20
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -15.37%E -5.30%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -12.92%E -4.17%K -6.15%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-11 15:20
Marathon Bet2.19I 45.66%NM 42.63%EV -6.43%E -2.94%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.64%EV -4.86%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -8.70%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 15:54
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -8.14%E -3.79%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.61%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.30%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 15:50
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -8.14%E -3.79%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.61%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.30%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 15:34
Grosvenor2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -8.14%E -3.79%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -5.15%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-09 09:29
Unibet (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -8.14%E -3.79%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -5.15%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-09 09:30
TABtouch2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -8.14%E -3.79%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -5.15%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-09 09:30
Casumo2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -8.14%E -3.79%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -5.15%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-09 09:30
Unibet (NL)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -8.14%E -3.79%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -5.15%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-09 09:30
Unibet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -8.14%E -3.79%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -5.15%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-09 09:30
Svenska Spel2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -8.14%E -3.79%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -5.15%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-09 09:29
ATG (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -8.14%E -3.79%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -5.15%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-09 09:30
betPARX2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -8.14%E -3.79%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -5.15%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-09 09:30
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -8.14%E -3.79%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -10.99%E -3.60%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -4.49%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 15:49
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.14%E -3.79%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -9.53%E -3.07%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.30%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 15:45
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.14%E -3.79%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -12.45%E -4.15%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -4.49%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 15:53
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 42.47%EV -8.14%E -3.79%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -6.61%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -11.51%E -3.65%K -5.35%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 15:39
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -8.14%E -3.79%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.53%E -3.07%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.70%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 15:34
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.14%E -3.79%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -6.61%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.92%E -4.17%K -6.15%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 15:45
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.14%E -3.79%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -6.61%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.92%E -4.17%K -6.15%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 15:50
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.14%E -3.79%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -6.61%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.92%E -4.17%K -6.15%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 15:45
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.14%E -3.79%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -6.61%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.92%E -4.17%K -6.15%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 15:45
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.14%E -3.79%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.53%E -3.07%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 15:44
1xBet2.14I 46.73%NM 43.67%EV -8.57%E -4.00%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 29.48%EV -7.49%E -2.36%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.85%EV -2.24%E -0.644%K -0.904%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 15:55
BetRivers2.14I 46.73%NM 42.78%EV -8.57%E -4.00%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -6.61%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-09 09:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 42.78%EV -8.57%E -4.00%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -6.61%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-09 09:30
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -9.42%E -4.44%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -6.61%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-09 09:30
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -9.42%E -4.44%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -6.61%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-09 09:30
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -9.42%E -4.44%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -6.61%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-09 09:30
LowVig.ag2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -9.42%E -4.44%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -6.61%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 15:45
BetAnything2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -9.42%E -4.44%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -6.61%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 15:45
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -10.28%E -4.89%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.53%E -3.07%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -4.49%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 15:49
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.01%EV -10.28%E -4.89%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.62%EV -10.99%E -3.60%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -7.30%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-11 15:50
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -10.28%E -4.89%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -9.53%E -3.07%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 15:50
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -10.28%E -4.89%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -12.45%E -4.15%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -12.92%E -4.17%K -6.15%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-11 15:49
PMU (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.06%EV -12.41%E -6.06%K -11.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -9.53%E -3.07%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -12.92%E -4.17%K -6.15%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-09 09:29
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -12.41%E -6.06%K -11.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -12.45%E -4.15%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-11 15:34
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.02%EV -14.55%E -7.27%K -14.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.67%EV -15.37%E -5.30%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.31%EV -11.51%E -3.65%K -5.35%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-11 15:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 41.06%EV -14.55%E -7.27%K -14.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.42%EV -21.20%E -7.85%K -12.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.52%EV -19.10%E -6.63%K -10.16%G +0.000%21.8%2026-04-11 15:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 43.02%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87%1.1%2026-04-11 15:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.85%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.16%1.5%2026-04-11 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.85%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.16%1.5%2026-04-11 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.85%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.16%1.5%2026-04-11 15:55