Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

AC Oulu v VPS Vaasa

Kickoff: 2026-04-18 14:00 UTC

Final: AC Oulu 1–0 VPS Vaasa

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

AC Oulu (Local)

Prediction 56.64%1.77fair odd
EV -2.58%
Edge -1.50%
Kelly -3.58%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.15%56.46%56.69%57.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.641.651.7265.36%60.86%60.61%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

VPS Vaasa (Visit)

Prediction 18.82%5.31fair odd
EV +0.323%
Edge +0.061%
Kelly +0.075%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.10%18.95%18.93%20.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.334.764.735.3323.09%21.00%21.14%18.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.54%4.08fair odd
EV -0.623%
Edge -0.154%
Kelly -0.204%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.75%24.59%24.38%26.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.683.604.0531.25%27.21%27.78%24.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: AC Oulu (Local): 56.64%; VPS Vaasa (Visit): 18.82%; Draw: 24.54%. For VPS Vaasa (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.31. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.33, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.323%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.42%EV -4.84%E -2.88%K -7.12%G +0.000%5.33I 18.76%NM 18.10%EV +0.323%E +0.061%K +0.075%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.48%EV -3.32%E -0.843%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-18 13:45
GTbets🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -3.71%E -2.18%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.30%EV -0.994%E -0.189%K -0.233%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 25.07%EV -5.78%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-18 13:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.93%EV -5.98%E -3.60%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -4.01%E -0.785%K -0.977%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -5.53%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 13:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.93%EV -5.98%E -3.60%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -4.01%E -0.785%K -0.977%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -5.53%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 13:40
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.70%EV -8.24%E -5.09%K -13.30%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.33%EV -4.01%E -0.785%K -0.977%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -4.30%E -1.10%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 13:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.23%EV -7.68%E -4.71%K -12.19%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.47%EV -4.95%E -0.980%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.29%EV -5.78%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 13:45
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.75%EV -5.41%E -3.24%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -5.89%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -4.30%E -1.10%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-18 13:45
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -8.24%E -5.09%K -13.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -5.89%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -6.76%E -1.78%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 13:19
SportsBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -9.38%E -5.86%K -15.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -5.89%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -6.76%E -1.78%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 13:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -9.38%E -5.86%K -15.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -5.89%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -6.76%E -1.78%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 13:39
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.37%EV -8.24%E -5.09%K -13.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -5.89%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.37%EV -11.66%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 13:39
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -8.81%E -5.47%K -14.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -5.89%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -11.66%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 13:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -8.81%E -5.47%K -14.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -5.89%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -11.66%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 13:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -8.81%E -5.47%K -14.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -5.89%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -11.66%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 13:30
1xBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.79%EV -6.54%E -3.97%K -10.07%G +0.000%4.98I 20.08%NM 18.81%EV -6.26%E -1.26%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.40%EV -5.78%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 13:45
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -4.84%E -2.88%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -6.83%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -9.21%E -2.49%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 13:50
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -4.84%E -2.88%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -6.83%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -9.21%E -2.49%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 13:50
Bovada🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -5.98%E -3.60%K -9.06%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -7.77%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -6.76%E -1.78%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 13:47
BetUS🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -5.98%E -3.60%K -9.06%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -7.77%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -6.76%E -1.78%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 13:50
BetAnything🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -5.98%E -3.60%K -9.06%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -7.77%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -6.76%E -1.78%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 13:49
Bet Right🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.73%EV -8.24%E -5.09%K -13.30%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -7.77%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -7.98%E -2.13%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 13:20
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.67%EV -8.81%E -5.47%K -14.44%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -9.65%E -2.01%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -7.98%E -2.13%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 13:49
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.38%EV -6.54%E -3.97%K -10.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -10.59%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -11.66%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 13:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.40%EV -8.24%E -5.09%K -13.30%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -10.59%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -7.98%E -2.13%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 13:20
Everygame🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.33%EV -9.38%E -5.86%K -15.63%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.97%EV -10.59%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.69%EV -10.44%E -2.86%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-18 13:40
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.98%EV -11.08%E -7.05%K -19.43%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.84%EV -10.59%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.18%EV -9.21%E -2.49%K -3.41%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-18 13:40
Coolbet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.92%EV -2.58%E -1.50%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.73I 21.14%NM 20.33%EV -10.97%E -2.32%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.75%EV -0.623%E -0.154%K -0.204%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-17 14:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.41%EV -9.38%E -5.86%K -15.63%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.20%EV -11.53%E -2.45%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -9.21%E -2.49%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-18 13:19
Casumo🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -3.71%E -2.18%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -13.42%E -2.92%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -11.66%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-14 19:19
Grosvenor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -3.71%E -2.18%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -13.42%E -2.92%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -11.66%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-14 19:20
TABtouch🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -3.71%E -2.18%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -13.42%E -2.92%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -11.66%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-14 19:19
Unibet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -3.71%E -2.18%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -13.42%E -2.92%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -11.66%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-14 19:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -3.71%E -2.18%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -13.42%E -2.92%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -11.66%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-14 19:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -3.71%E -2.18%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -13.42%E -2.92%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -11.66%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-14 19:20
betPARX🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -3.71%E -2.18%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -13.42%E -2.92%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -11.66%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-14 19:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -3.71%E -2.18%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -13.42%E -2.92%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -11.66%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-14 19:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -3.71%E -2.18%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -13.42%E -2.92%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -11.66%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-14 19:20
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.53%EV -7.68%E -4.71%K -12.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.68%EV -13.42%E -2.92%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.80%EV -10.44%E -2.86%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-18 13:49
betfred_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.35%EV -9.38%E -5.86%K -15.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -13.42%E -2.92%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -7.98%E -2.13%K -2.90%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-18 13:20
Sky Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.80%EV -9.38%E -5.86%K -15.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -13.42%E -2.92%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -11.66%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-18 13:39
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.80%EV -9.38%E -5.86%K -15.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -13.42%E -2.92%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -11.66%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-18 13:19
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.80%EV -9.38%E -5.86%K -15.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -13.42%E -2.92%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -11.66%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-18 13:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.80%EV -9.38%E -5.86%K -15.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -13.42%E -2.92%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -11.66%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-18 13:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.80%EV -9.38%E -5.86%K -15.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -13.42%E -2.92%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -11.66%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-18 13:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.15%EV -4.84%E -2.88%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -15.30%E -3.40%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -12.89%E -3.63%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-14 19:19
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.15%EV -4.84%E -2.88%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -15.30%E -3.40%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -12.89%E -3.63%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-14 19:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.15%EV -4.84%E -2.88%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -15.30%E -3.40%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -12.89%E -3.63%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-14 19:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.15%EV -4.84%E -2.88%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -15.30%E -3.40%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -12.89%E -3.63%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-14 19:19
LeoVegas🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.15%EV -4.84%E -2.88%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -15.30%E -3.40%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -12.89%E -3.63%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-14 19:20
BoyleSports🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -9.38%E -5.86%K -15.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.75%EV -15.30%E -3.40%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -11.66%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-18 13:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 56.27%EV -13.34%E -8.72%K -25.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.13%EV -15.30%E -3.40%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.60%EV -14.12%E -4.03%K -5.65%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-18 13:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.29%EV -8.24%E -5.09%K -13.30%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.22%EV -18.12%E -4.17%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.49%EV -15.35%E -4.45%K -6.26%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-14 19:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 54.60%EV -13.34%E -8.72%K -25.17%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.29%EV -18.50%E -4.27%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.11%EV -21.48%E -6.71%K -9.76%G +0.000%19.7%2026-04-18 13:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.87%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.99%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%1.1%2026-04-18 13:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.87%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.99%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%1.1%2026-04-18 13:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.87%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.99%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%1.1%2026-04-18 13:40
Matchbook1.71I 58.48%NM 57.87%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.99%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%1.1%2026-04-18 13:40