L’École des cotes

AC Oulu v VPS Vaasa

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-18 14:00 UTC

Score final : AC Oulu 1–0 VPS Vaasa

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

AC Oulu (Local)

Prévision 56.64%1.77cote équitable
EV -2.58%
Avantage -1.50%
Kelly -3.58%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.72

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.15%56.46%56.69%57.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.531.641.651.7265.36%60.86%60.61%58.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

VPS Vaasa (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.82%5.31cote équitable
EV +0.323%
Avantage +0.061%
Kelly +0.075%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.10%18.95%18.93%20.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.334.764.735.3323.09%21.00%21.14%18.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.54%4.08cote équitable
EV -0.623%
Avantage -0.154%
Kelly -0.204%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.75%24.59%24.38%26.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.683.604.0531.25%27.21%27.78%24.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 57.42%EV -4.84%E -2.88%K -7.12%G +0.000%5.33I 18.76%NM 18.10%EV +0.323%E +0.061%K +0.075%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.48%EV -3.32%E -0.843%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-18 13:45
GTbets1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -3.71%E -2.18%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.30%EV -0.994%E -0.189%K -0.233%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 25.07%EV -5.78%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-18 13:19
LowVig.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 56.93%EV -5.98%E -3.60%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -4.01%E -0.785%K -0.977%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -5.53%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 13:40
BetOnline.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 56.93%EV -5.98%E -3.60%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -4.01%E -0.785%K -0.977%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -5.53%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 13:40
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 57.70%EV -8.24%E -5.09%K -13.30%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.33%EV -4.01%E -0.785%K -0.977%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -4.30%E -1.10%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 13:39
Marathon Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.23%EV -7.68%E -4.71%K -12.19%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.47%EV -4.95%E -0.980%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.29%EV -5.78%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 13:45
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 56.75%EV -5.41%E -3.24%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -5.89%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -4.30%E -1.10%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-18 13:45
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -8.24%E -5.09%K -13.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -5.89%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -6.76%E -1.78%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 13:19
SportsBet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -9.38%E -5.86%K -15.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -5.89%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -6.76%E -1.78%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 13:40
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -9.38%E -5.86%K -15.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -5.89%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -6.76%E -1.78%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 13:39
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 56.37%EV -8.24%E -5.09%K -13.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -5.89%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.37%EV -11.66%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 13:39
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -8.81%E -5.47%K -14.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -5.89%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -11.66%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 13:40
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -8.81%E -5.47%K -14.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -5.89%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -11.66%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 13:30
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -8.81%E -5.47%K -14.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -5.89%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -11.66%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 13:30
1xBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.79%EV -6.54%E -3.97%K -10.07%G +0.000%4.98I 20.08%NM 18.81%EV -6.26%E -1.26%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.40%EV -5.78%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 13:45
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -4.84%E -2.88%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -6.83%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -9.21%E -2.49%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 13:50
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -4.84%E -2.88%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -6.83%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -9.21%E -2.49%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 13:50
Bovada1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -5.98%E -3.60%K -9.06%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -7.77%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -6.76%E -1.78%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 13:47
BetUS1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -5.98%E -3.60%K -9.06%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -7.77%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -6.76%E -1.78%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 13:50
BetAnything1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -5.98%E -3.60%K -9.06%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -7.77%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -6.76%E -1.78%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 13:49
Bet Right1.62I 61.73%NM 56.73%EV -8.24%E -5.09%K -13.30%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -7.77%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -7.98%E -2.13%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 13:20
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 56.67%EV -8.81%E -5.47%K -14.44%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -9.65%E -2.01%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -7.98%E -2.13%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 13:49
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 55.38%EV -6.54%E -3.97%K -10.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -10.59%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -11.66%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 13:30
PointsBet (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.40%EV -8.24%E -5.09%K -13.30%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -10.59%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -7.98%E -2.13%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 13:20
Everygame1.60I 62.50%NM 56.33%EV -9.38%E -5.86%K -15.63%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.97%EV -10.59%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.69%EV -10.44%E -2.86%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-18 13:40
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 56.98%EV -11.08%E -7.05%K -19.43%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.84%EV -10.59%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.18%EV -9.21%E -2.49%K -3.41%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-18 13:40
Coolbet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.92%EV -2.58%E -1.50%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.73I 21.14%NM 20.33%EV -10.97%E -2.32%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.75%EV -0.623%E -0.154%K -0.204%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-17 14:54
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.41%EV -9.38%E -5.86%K -15.63%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.20%EV -11.53%E -2.45%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -9.21%E -2.49%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-18 13:19
Casumo1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -3.71%E -2.18%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -13.42%E -2.92%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -11.66%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-14 19:19
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -3.71%E -2.18%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -13.42%E -2.92%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -11.66%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-14 19:20
TABtouch1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -3.71%E -2.18%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -13.42%E -2.92%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -11.66%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-14 19:19
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -3.71%E -2.18%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -13.42%E -2.92%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -11.66%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-14 19:20
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -3.71%E -2.18%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -13.42%E -2.92%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -11.66%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-14 19:20
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -3.71%E -2.18%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -13.42%E -2.92%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -11.66%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-14 19:20
betPARX1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -3.71%E -2.18%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -13.42%E -2.92%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -11.66%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-14 19:19
Svenska Spel1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -3.71%E -2.18%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -13.42%E -2.92%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -11.66%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-14 19:19
ATG (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -3.71%E -2.18%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -13.42%E -2.92%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -11.66%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-14 19:20
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 55.53%EV -7.68%E -4.71%K -12.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.68%EV -13.42%E -2.92%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.80%EV -10.44%E -2.86%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-18 13:49
betfred_uk1.60I 62.50%NM 56.35%EV -9.38%E -5.86%K -15.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -13.42%E -2.92%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -7.98%E -2.13%K -2.90%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-18 13:20
Sky Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 55.80%EV -9.38%E -5.86%K -15.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -13.42%E -2.92%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -11.66%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-18 13:39
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 55.80%EV -9.38%E -5.86%K -15.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -13.42%E -2.92%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -11.66%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-18 13:19
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 55.80%EV -9.38%E -5.86%K -15.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -13.42%E -2.92%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -11.66%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-18 13:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 55.80%EV -9.38%E -5.86%K -15.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -13.42%E -2.92%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -11.66%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-18 13:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 55.80%EV -9.38%E -5.86%K -15.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -13.42%E -2.92%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -11.66%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-18 13:20
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 54.15%EV -4.84%E -2.88%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -15.30%E -3.40%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -12.89%E -3.63%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-14 19:19
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 54.15%EV -4.84%E -2.88%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -15.30%E -3.40%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -12.89%E -3.63%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-14 19:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.15%EV -4.84%E -2.88%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -15.30%E -3.40%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -12.89%E -3.63%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-14 19:19
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 54.15%EV -4.84%E -2.88%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -15.30%E -3.40%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -12.89%E -3.63%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-14 19:19
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 54.15%EV -4.84%E -2.88%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -15.30%E -3.40%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -12.89%E -3.63%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-14 19:20
BoyleSports1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -9.38%E -5.86%K -15.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.75%EV -15.30%E -3.40%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -11.66%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-18 13:39
Unibet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 56.27%EV -13.34%E -8.72%K -25.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.13%EV -15.30%E -3.40%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.60%EV -14.12%E -4.03%K -5.65%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-18 13:40
PMU (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 54.29%EV -8.24%E -5.09%K -13.30%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.22%EV -18.12%E -4.17%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.49%EV -15.35%E -4.45%K -6.26%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-14 19:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 54.60%EV -13.34%E -8.72%K -25.17%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.29%EV -18.50%E -4.27%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.11%EV -21.48%E -6.71%K -9.76%G +0.000%19.7%2026-04-18 13:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.87%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.99%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%1.1%2026-04-18 13:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.87%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.99%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%1.1%2026-04-18 13:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.87%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.99%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%1.1%2026-04-18 13:40
Matchbook1.71I 58.48%NM 57.87%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.99%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%1.1%2026-04-18 13:40