Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.62
assuming max odds 2.78
assuming max odds 3.58
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: AC Oulu (Local): 37.28%; Ilves Tampere (Visit): 35.00%; Draw: 27.72%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.61. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.58, with an expected value of -0.775%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.95%EV -2.32%E -0.884%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.82%EV -2.70%E -0.972%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 28.22%EV -4.93%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-02 13:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.89%EV -2.32%E -0.884%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.77%EV -2.70%E -0.972%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.34%EV -5.49%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-02 13:44 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.89%EV -2.32%E -0.884%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.77%EV -2.70%E -0.972%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.34%EV -5.49%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-02 13:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.69%EV -4.93%E -1.93%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.46%EV -5.15%E -1.90%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.85%EV -0.775%E -0.217%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-02 13:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -4.93%E -1.93%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -5.50%E -2.04%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -5.76%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-02 13:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -4.93%E -1.93%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -7.25%E -2.74%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -5.76%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-02 13:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.14%EV -6.04%E -2.40%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -6.20%E -2.31%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-02 13:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.14%EV -6.04%E -2.40%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -6.20%E -2.31%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-02 13:44 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.59%EV -6.42%E -2.56%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.60%EV -7.25%E -2.74%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.80%EV -2.44%E -0.693%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-02 13:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -6.79%E -2.72%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -5.50%E -2.04%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-02 13:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -6.79%E -2.72%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -5.50%E -2.04%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-02 13:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -6.79%E -2.72%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -5.50%E -2.04%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-02 13:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -6.79%E -2.72%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -7.25%E -2.74%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -5.76%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-02 13:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.31%EV -6.79%E -2.72%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.42%EV -5.15%E -1.90%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.27%EV -8.54%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-02 13:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -6.79%E -2.72%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -5.50%E -2.04%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.54%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-02 13:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.88%EV -6.79%E -2.72%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -8.30%E -3.17%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -8.54%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-02 13:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -6.79%E -2.72%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -10.75%E -4.22%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -5.76%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-02 13:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -6.79%E -2.72%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -9.00%E -3.46%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.54%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-02 13:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -6.79%E -2.72%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -9.00%E -3.46%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -11.31%E -3.53%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-02 13:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -6.79%E -2.72%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -8.30%E -3.17%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -14.08%E -4.54%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-02 13:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -6.79%E -2.72%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -8.30%E -3.17%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -14.08%E -4.54%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-02 13:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -6.79%E -2.72%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -8.30%E -3.17%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -14.08%E -4.54%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-02 13:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -6.79%E -2.72%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -8.30%E -3.17%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -14.08%E -4.54%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-02 13:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.40%EV -8.65%E -3.53%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.24%EV -9.00%E -3.46%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-02 13:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -8.65%E -3.53%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -9.00%E -3.46%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -8.54%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-02 13:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -8.65%E -3.53%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -9.00%E -3.46%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -8.54%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-02 13:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -10.52%E -4.38%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -7.25%E -2.74%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -5.76%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-02 13:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.57%EV -10.52%E -4.38%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -9.00%E -3.46%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -9.92%E -3.05%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-02 13:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -10.52%E -4.38%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -9.00%E -3.46%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -11.31%E -3.53%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-02 13:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -10.52%E -4.38%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -9.00%E -3.46%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -11.31%E -3.53%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-02 13:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -10.52%E -4.38%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -9.00%E -3.46%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -11.31%E -3.53%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-02 13:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -10.52%E -4.38%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -9.00%E -3.46%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -11.31%E -3.53%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-02 13:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -10.52%E -4.38%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -12.50%E -5.00%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -8.54%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-02 13:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -10.52%E -4.38%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -12.50%E -5.00%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -9.92%E -3.05%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-02 13:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -10.52%E -4.38%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -12.50%E -5.00%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -11.31%E -3.53%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-02 13:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -12.38%E -5.27%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -7.25%E -2.74%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -4.38%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-02 13:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -12.38%E -5.27%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -9.00%E -3.46%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -5.76%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-02 13:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.65%EV -12.38%E -5.27%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.70%EV -10.75%E -4.22%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -11.31%E -3.53%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-02 13:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -14.25%E -6.19%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -3.75%E -1.36%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.76%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-02 12:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -14.25%E -6.19%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -3.75%E -1.36%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.76%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-02 12:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -14.25%E -6.19%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -3.75%E -1.36%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.76%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-02 12:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -14.25%E -6.19%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -3.75%E -1.36%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.76%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-02 12:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -14.25%E -6.19%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -3.75%E -1.36%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.76%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-02 12:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -14.25%E -6.19%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -3.75%E -1.36%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.76%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-02 12:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -14.25%E -6.19%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -3.75%E -1.36%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.76%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-02 12:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -14.25%E -6.19%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -3.75%E -1.36%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.76%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-02 12:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -14.25%E -6.19%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -3.75%E -1.36%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.76%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-02 12:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.64%EV -14.25%E -6.19%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -3.75%E -1.36%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-02 12:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.64%EV -14.25%E -6.19%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -3.75%E -1.36%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-02 12:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -14.25%E -6.19%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -9.00%E -3.46%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -5.76%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-02 13:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.85%EV -14.99%E -6.58%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.04%EV -3.75%E -1.36%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.12%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-02 12:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.85%EV -14.99%E -6.58%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.04%EV -3.75%E -1.36%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.12%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-02 12:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.73%EV -16.11%E -7.16%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.86%EV -12.50%E -5.00%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.41%EV -8.54%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-08-02 13:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.89%EV -17.98%E -8.17%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.11%EV -7.25%E -2.74%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.00%EV -9.92%E -3.05%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-02 12:09 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.16% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.56% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.28% | 0.4% | 2026-08-02 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.02% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.56% | 0.8% | 2026-08-02 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.02% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.56% | 0.8% | 2026-08-02 13:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.37% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.23% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.40% | 1.4% | 2026-08-02 13:55 |
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