Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

AC Oulu v Ilves Tampere

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-02 14:00 UTC

Score final : AC Oulu 1–0 Ilves Tampere

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

AC Oulu (Local)

Prévision 37.28%2.68cote équitable
EV -2.32%
Avantage -0.884%
Kelly -1.43%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.62

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.22%37.43%37.31%39.89%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.202.422.402.6245.45%41.33%41.67%38.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Ilves Tampere (Visiteur)

Prévision 35.00%2.86cote équitable
EV -2.70%
Avantage -0.972%
Kelly -1.52%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.78

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.04%34.90%34.98%36.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.502.662.652.7840.00%37.59%37.74%35.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.72%3.61cote équitable
EV -0.775%
Avantage -0.217%
Kelly -0.301%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.58

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.41%27.66%27.70%29.21%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.333.353.5832.26%30.06%29.85%27.93%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : AC Oulu (Local) : 37.28% ; Ilves Tampere (Visiteur) : 35.00% ; Match nul : 27.72%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.61. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.58, pour une espérance de -0.775% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.95%EV -2.32%E -0.884%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.82%EV -2.70%E -0.972%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.22%EV -4.93%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-02 13:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.89%EV -2.32%E -0.884%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.77%EV -2.70%E -0.972%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.34%EV -5.49%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-02 13:44
BetAnything🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.89%EV -2.32%E -0.884%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.77%EV -2.70%E -0.972%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.34%EV -5.49%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-02 13:50
Coolbet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.69%EV -4.93%E -1.93%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.46%EV -5.15%E -1.90%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.85%EV -0.775%E -0.217%K -0.301%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-02 13:39
DraftKings🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -4.93%E -1.93%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -5.50%E -2.04%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -5.76%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 13:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -4.93%E -1.93%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -7.25%E -2.74%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -5.76%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 13:40
Betsson🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.14%EV -6.04%E -2.40%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -6.20%E -2.31%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 13:45
NordicBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.14%EV -6.04%E -2.40%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -6.20%E -2.31%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 13:44
GTbets🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 37.59%EV -6.42%E -2.56%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.60%EV -7.25%E -2.74%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.80%EV -2.44%E -0.693%K -0.968%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 13:45
1xBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -6.79%E -2.72%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -5.50%E -2.04%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 13:59
Bovada🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -6.79%E -2.72%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -5.50%E -2.04%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 13:54
BetUS🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -6.79%E -2.72%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -5.50%E -2.04%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 13:59
FanDuel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -6.79%E -2.72%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -7.25%E -2.74%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -5.76%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 13:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.31%EV -6.79%E -2.72%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.42%EV -5.15%E -1.90%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.27%EV -8.54%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 13:55
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -6.79%E -2.72%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -5.50%E -2.04%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.54%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 13:35
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.88%EV -6.79%E -2.72%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -8.30%E -3.17%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -8.54%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 13:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -6.79%E -2.72%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -10.75%E -4.22%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -5.76%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 13:55
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -6.79%E -2.72%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -9.00%E -3.46%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.54%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-02 13:55
Everygame🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -6.79%E -2.72%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -9.00%E -3.46%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -11.31%E -3.53%K -5.14%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-02 13:35
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -6.79%E -2.72%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -8.30%E -3.17%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -14.08%E -4.54%K -6.70%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-02 13:35
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -6.79%E -2.72%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -8.30%E -3.17%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -14.08%E -4.54%K -6.70%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-02 13:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -6.79%E -2.72%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -8.30%E -3.17%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -14.08%E -4.54%K -6.70%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-02 13:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -6.79%E -2.72%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -8.30%E -3.17%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -14.08%E -4.54%K -6.70%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-02 13:35
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.40%EV -8.65%E -3.53%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.24%EV -9.00%E -3.46%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 13:45
betano_uk🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -8.65%E -3.53%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -9.00%E -3.46%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -8.54%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-02 13:49
Bet Victor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -8.65%E -3.53%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -9.00%E -3.46%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -8.54%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-02 13:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -10.52%E -4.38%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -7.25%E -2.74%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -5.76%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-02 13:25
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.57%EV -10.52%E -4.38%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -9.00%E -3.46%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -9.92%E -3.05%K -4.41%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-02 13:59
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -10.52%E -4.38%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -9.00%E -3.46%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -11.31%E -3.53%K -5.14%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-02 13:35
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -10.52%E -4.38%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -9.00%E -3.46%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -11.31%E -3.53%K -5.14%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-02 13:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -10.52%E -4.38%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -9.00%E -3.46%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -11.31%E -3.53%K -5.14%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-02 13:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -10.52%E -4.38%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -9.00%E -3.46%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -11.31%E -3.53%K -5.14%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-02 13:35
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -10.52%E -4.38%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -12.50%E -5.00%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -8.54%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-02 13:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -10.52%E -4.38%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -12.50%E -5.00%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -9.92%E -3.05%K -4.41%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-02 13:50
Sky Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -10.52%E -4.38%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -12.50%E -5.00%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -11.31%E -3.53%K -5.14%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-02 13:45
Bet Right🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -12.38%E -5.27%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -7.25%E -2.74%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -4.38%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-02 13:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -12.38%E -5.27%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -9.00%E -3.46%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -5.76%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-02 13:24
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.65%EV -12.38%E -5.27%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.70%EV -10.75%E -4.22%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -11.31%E -3.53%K -5.14%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-02 13:40
Unibet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -14.25%E -6.19%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -3.75%E -1.36%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.76%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-02 12:09
Casumo🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -14.25%E -6.19%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -3.75%E -1.36%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.76%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-02 12:10
Grosvenor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -14.25%E -6.19%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -3.75%E -1.36%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.76%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-02 12:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -14.25%E -6.19%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -3.75%E -1.36%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.76%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-02 12:09
TABtouch🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -14.25%E -6.19%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -3.75%E -1.36%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.76%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-02 12:09
Unibet (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -14.25%E -6.19%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -3.75%E -1.36%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.76%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-02 12:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -14.25%E -6.19%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -3.75%E -1.36%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.76%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-02 12:10
betPARX🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -14.25%E -6.19%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -3.75%E -1.36%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.76%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-02 12:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -14.25%E -6.19%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -3.75%E -1.36%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.76%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-02 12:09
BetRivers🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.64%EV -14.25%E -6.19%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -3.75%E -1.36%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-02 12:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.64%EV -14.25%E -6.19%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -3.75%E -1.36%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-02 12:10
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -14.25%E -6.19%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -9.00%E -3.46%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -5.76%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-02 13:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.85%EV -14.99%E -6.58%K -11.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.04%EV -3.75%E -1.36%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.12%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-02 12:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.85%EV -14.99%E -6.58%K -11.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.04%EV -3.75%E -1.36%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.12%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-02 12:10
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.73%EV -16.11%E -7.16%K -12.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.86%EV -12.50%E -5.00%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.41%EV -8.54%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%14.7%2026-08-02 13:35
PMU (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.89%EV -17.98%E -8.17%K -14.98%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.11%EV -7.25%E -2.74%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.00%EV -9.92%E -3.05%K -4.41%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-02 12:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.16%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.56%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.28%0.4%2026-08-02 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.02%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.56%0.8%2026-08-02 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.02%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.56%0.8%2026-08-02 13:55
Matchbook2.64I 37.88%NM 37.37%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.23%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.40%1.4%2026-08-02 13:55