Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

AC Oulu v IFK Mariehamn

Kickoff: 2026-06-18 09:59 UTC

Final: AC Oulu 2–1 IFK Mariehamn

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

AC Oulu (Local)

Prediction 68.53%1.46fair odd
EV -4.06%
Edge -2.90%
Kelly -10.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.97%68.43%68.68%69.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.361.361.4076.92%73.76%73.53%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

IFK Mariehamn (Visit)

Prediction 12.27%8.15fair odd
EV +1.37%
Edge +0.166%
Kelly +0.189%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 8.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.65%12.32%12.35%13.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.007.327.508.2616.67%13.66%13.33%12.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 19.20%5.21fair odd
EV -0.546%
Edge -0.105%
Kelly -0.131%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.41%19.25%18.97%22.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.624.505.1826.67%21.66%22.22%19.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: AC Oulu (Local): 68.53%; IFK Mariehamn (Visit): 12.27%; Draw: 19.20%. For IFK Mariehamn (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.15. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.26, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.37%.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.76%EV -5.43%E -3.94%K -14.29%G +0.000%8.26I 12.11%NM 11.65%EV +1.37%E +0.166%K +0.189%G +0.003%5.18I 19.31%NM 18.58%EV -0.546%E -0.105%K -0.131%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-18 09:41
Coolbet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.14%EV -4.75%E -3.41%K -12.17%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.01%EV -1.82%E -0.227%K -0.260%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.84%EV -2.08%E -0.408%K -0.508%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-18 05:50
Betsson🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.26%EV -6.12%E -4.46%K -16.53%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.84%EV -3.05%E -0.386%K -0.442%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -9.76%E -2.08%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-18 04:30
NordicBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.26%EV -6.12%E -4.46%K -16.53%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.84%EV -3.05%E -0.386%K -0.442%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -9.76%E -2.08%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-18 04:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.55%EV -7.49%E -5.55%K -21.39%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.04%EV -4.27%E -0.548%K -0.629%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.41%EV -2.08%E -0.408%K -0.508%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-18 09:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.55%EV -7.49%E -5.55%K -21.39%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.04%EV -4.27%E -0.548%K -0.629%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.41%EV -2.08%E -0.408%K -0.508%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-18 09:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.51%EV -9.54%E -7.23%K -29.82%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.76%EV -4.27%E -0.548%K -0.629%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.73%EV -5.92%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-18 09:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.08%EV -7.49%E -5.55%K -21.39%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.27%EV -6.73%E -0.885%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -4.00%E -0.800%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-18 09:30
1xBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.86%EV -6.80%E -5.00%K -18.90%G +0.000%7.55I 13.25%NM 12.40%EV -7.34%E -0.972%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -4.00%E -0.800%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-18 09:30
DraftKings🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.12%E -4.46%K -16.53%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.54%EV -7.96%E -1.06%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -4.00%E -0.800%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-18 09:10
FanDuel🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.12%EV -6.12%E -4.46%K -16.53%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.44%EV -7.96%E -1.06%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -7.84%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-18 09:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.98%EV -6.12%E -4.46%K -16.53%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.42%EV -7.96%E -1.06%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -8.80%E -1.85%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-18 09:20
Betway🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.86%E -6.66%K -26.84%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -7.96%E -1.06%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -4.00%E -0.800%K -1.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-18 09:10
Unibet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.24%EV -6.12%E -4.46%K -16.53%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -7.96%E -1.06%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -13.60%E -3.02%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-18 08:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.24%EV -6.12%E -4.46%K -16.53%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -7.96%E -1.06%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -13.60%E -3.02%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-18 08:20
Bet Right🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.24%EV -6.12%E -4.46%K -16.53%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -7.96%E -1.06%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -13.60%E -3.02%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-18 08:20
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -6.80%E -5.00%K -18.90%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -7.96%E -1.06%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -11.68%E -2.54%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-18 09:30
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -6.80%E -5.00%K -18.90%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -7.96%E -1.06%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -11.68%E -2.54%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-18 09:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -6.80%E -5.00%K -18.90%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -7.96%E -1.06%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -11.68%E -2.54%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-18 09:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -6.80%E -5.00%K -18.90%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -7.96%E -1.06%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -11.68%E -2.54%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-18 09:30
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -6.80%E -5.00%K -18.90%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -7.96%E -1.06%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -13.60%E -3.02%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-16 14:20
Casumo🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -6.80%E -5.00%K -18.90%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -7.96%E -1.06%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -13.60%E -3.02%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-16 14:21
Unibet (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -6.80%E -5.00%K -18.90%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -7.96%E -1.06%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -13.60%E -3.02%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-16 14:19
Grosvenor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -6.80%E -5.00%K -18.90%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -7.96%E -1.06%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -13.60%E -3.02%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-16 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -6.80%E -5.00%K -18.90%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -7.96%E -1.06%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -13.60%E -3.02%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-16 14:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -6.80%E -5.00%K -18.90%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -7.96%E -1.06%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -13.60%E -3.02%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-16 14:19
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -6.80%E -5.00%K -18.90%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -7.96%E -1.06%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -13.60%E -3.02%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-16 14:20
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -6.80%E -5.00%K -18.90%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -7.96%E -1.06%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -13.60%E -3.02%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-16 14:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -6.80%E -5.00%K -18.90%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -7.96%E -1.06%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -13.60%E -3.02%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-16 14:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -6.80%E -5.00%K -18.90%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -7.96%E -1.06%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -13.60%E -3.02%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-16 14:21
LeoVegas🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.26%EV -7.49%E -5.55%K -21.39%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV -7.96%E -1.06%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -15.52%E -3.53%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-18 08:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.26%EV -7.49%E -5.55%K -21.39%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV -7.96%E -1.06%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -15.52%E -3.53%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-18 08:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.26%EV -7.49%E -5.55%K -21.39%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV -7.96%E -1.06%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -15.52%E -3.53%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-18 08:50
GTbets🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%EV -4.75%E -3.41%K -12.17%G +0.000%7.35I 13.61%NM 12.78%EV -9.80%E -1.33%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.79I 20.88%NM 19.62%EV -8.03%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-18 09:20
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.35%EV -4.06%E -2.90%K -10.15%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.01%EV -11.02%E -1.52%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.64%EV -7.84%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-18 09:20
Bovada🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.25%EV -6.80%E -5.00%K -18.90%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.80%EV -11.02%E -1.52%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.94%EV -5.92%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-18 09:39
BetUS🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.25%EV -6.80%E -5.00%K -18.90%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.80%EV -11.02%E -1.52%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.94%EV -5.92%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-18 09:40
Everygame🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.33%EV -8.86%E -6.66%K -26.84%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.54%EV -11.02%E -1.52%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.13%EV -8.80%E -1.85%K -2.35%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-18 03:29
PlayUp🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.52%EV -6.80%E -5.00%K -18.90%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.92%EV -14.09%E -2.01%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -15.52%E -3.53%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-18 09:41
betfred_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.30%EV -6.80%E -5.00%K -18.90%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.88%EV -14.09%E -2.01%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.82%EV -16.87%E -3.90%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-18 08:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.68%EV -7.49%E -5.55%K -21.39%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.86%EV -14.09%E -2.01%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.46%EV -15.52%E -3.53%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-18 09:20
SportsBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.61%EV -8.86%E -6.66%K -26.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -14.09%E -2.01%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -11.68%E -2.54%K -3.24%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-18 09:20
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.31%EV -8.86%E -6.66%K -26.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -14.09%E -2.01%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -13.60%E -3.02%K -3.89%G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-18 09:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 67.20%EV -10.91%E -8.40%K -36.38%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.48%EV -14.09%E -2.01%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.32%EV -17.44%E -4.06%K -5.29%G +0.000%14.5%2026-06-18 08:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 67.23%EV -9.54%E -7.23%K -29.82%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.05%EV -16.55%E -2.43%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -13.60%E -3.02%K -3.89%G +0.000%12.7%2026-06-18 09:30
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -8.86%E -6.66%K -26.84%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -20.23%E -3.11%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.86%EV -8.80%E -1.85%K -2.35%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-18 09:10
Neds🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.86%EV -6.80%E -5.00%K -18.90%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -20.23%E -3.11%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -15.52%E -3.53%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-18 09:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.86%EV -6.80%E -5.00%K -18.90%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -20.23%E -3.11%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -15.52%E -3.53%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-18 09:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.86%EV -6.80%E -5.00%K -18.90%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -20.23%E -3.11%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -15.52%E -3.53%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-18 09:20
Coral🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.86%EV -6.80%E -5.00%K -18.90%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -20.23%E -3.11%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -15.52%E -3.53%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-18 09:20
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.65%EV -6.80%E -5.00%K -18.90%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -20.23%E -3.11%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -16.87%E -3.90%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.0%2026-06-18 09:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 63.97%EV -10.91%E -8.40%K -36.38%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 13.86%EV -26.36%E -4.39%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.17%EV -28.00%E -7.47%K -10.18%G +0.000%20.3%2026-06-18 09:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.46%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.80%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74%0.7%2026-06-18 09:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.46%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.80%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74%0.7%2026-06-18 09:51
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.46%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.80%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74%0.7%2026-06-18 09:50
Matchbook1.41I 70.92%NM 70.46%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.80%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74%0.7%2026-06-18 09:51