La escuela de los momios

AC Oulu v IFK Mariehamn

Inicio: 2026-06-18 09:59 UTC

Final: AC Oulu 2–1 IFK Mariehamn

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

AC Oulu (Local)

Predicción 68.53%1.46momio equitativo
EV -4.06%
Ventaja -2.90%
Kelly -10.15%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.97%68.43%68.68%69.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.301.361.361.4076.92%73.76%73.53%71.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

IFK Mariehamn (Visitante)

Predicción 12.27%8.15momio equitativo
EV +1.37%
Ventaja +0.166%
Kelly +0.189%
Crecimiento +0.003%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.26

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.65%12.32%12.35%13.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.007.327.508.2616.67%13.66%13.33%12.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 19.20%5.21momio equitativo
EV -0.546%
Ventaja -0.105%
Kelly -0.131%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.18

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.41%19.25%18.97%22.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.624.505.1826.67%21.66%22.22%19.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.38I 72.46%NM 69.76%EV -5.43%E -3.94%K -14.29%G +0.000%8.26I 12.11%NM 11.65%EV +1.37%E +0.166%K +0.189%G +0.003%5.18I 19.31%NM 18.58%EV -0.546%E -0.105%K -0.131%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-18 09:41
Coolbet1.39I 71.94%NM 69.14%EV -4.75%E -3.41%K -12.17%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.01%EV -1.82%E -0.227%K -0.260%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.84%EV -2.08%E -0.408%K -0.508%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-18 05:50
Betsson1.37I 72.99%NM 68.26%EV -6.12%E -4.46%K -16.53%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.84%EV -3.05%E -0.386%K -0.442%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -9.76%E -2.08%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-18 04:30
NordicBet1.37I 72.99%NM 68.26%EV -6.12%E -4.46%K -16.53%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.84%EV -3.05%E -0.386%K -0.442%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -9.76%E -2.08%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-18 04:30
LowVig.ag1.35I 74.07%NM 69.55%EV -7.49%E -5.55%K -21.39%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.04%EV -4.27%E -0.548%K -0.629%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.41%EV -2.08%E -0.408%K -0.508%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-18 09:10
BetOnline.ag1.35I 74.07%NM 69.55%EV -7.49%E -5.55%K -21.39%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.04%EV -4.27%E -0.548%K -0.629%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.41%EV -2.08%E -0.408%K -0.508%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-18 09:10
Tipico (DE)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.51%EV -9.54%E -7.23%K -29.82%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.76%EV -4.27%E -0.548%K -0.629%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.73%EV -5.92%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-18 09:20
Marathon Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 69.08%EV -7.49%E -5.55%K -21.39%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.27%EV -6.73%E -0.885%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -4.00%E -0.800%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-18 09:30
1xBet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.86%EV -6.80%E -5.00%K -18.90%G +0.000%7.55I 13.25%NM 12.40%EV -7.34%E -0.972%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -4.00%E -0.800%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-18 09:30
DraftKings1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.12%E -4.46%K -16.53%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.54%EV -7.96%E -1.06%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -4.00%E -0.800%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-18 09:10
FanDuel1.37I 72.99%NM 68.12%EV -6.12%E -4.46%K -16.53%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.44%EV -7.96%E -1.06%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -7.84%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-18 09:20
Unibet (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 67.98%EV -6.12%E -4.46%K -16.53%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.42%EV -7.96%E -1.06%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -8.80%E -1.85%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-18 09:20
Betway1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.86%E -6.66%K -26.84%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -7.96%E -1.06%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -4.00%E -0.800%K -1.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-18 09:10
Unibet1.37I 72.99%NM 67.24%EV -6.12%E -4.46%K -16.53%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -7.96%E -1.06%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -13.60%E -3.02%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-18 08:50
PointsBet (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 67.24%EV -6.12%E -4.46%K -16.53%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -7.96%E -1.06%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -13.60%E -3.02%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-18 08:20
Bet Right1.37I 72.99%NM 67.24%EV -6.12%E -4.46%K -16.53%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -7.96%E -1.06%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -13.60%E -3.02%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-18 08:20
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -6.80%E -5.00%K -18.90%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -7.96%E -1.06%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -11.68%E -2.54%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-18 09:30
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -6.80%E -5.00%K -18.90%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -7.96%E -1.06%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -11.68%E -2.54%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-18 09:30
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -6.80%E -5.00%K -18.90%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -7.96%E -1.06%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -11.68%E -2.54%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-18 09:30
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -6.80%E -5.00%K -18.90%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -7.96%E -1.06%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -11.68%E -2.54%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-18 09:30
BetRivers1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -6.80%E -5.00%K -18.90%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -7.96%E -1.06%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -13.60%E -3.02%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-16 14:20
Casumo1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -6.80%E -5.00%K -18.90%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -7.96%E -1.06%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -13.60%E -3.02%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-16 14:21
Unibet (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -6.80%E -5.00%K -18.90%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -7.96%E -1.06%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -13.60%E -3.02%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-16 14:19
Grosvenor1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -6.80%E -5.00%K -18.90%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -7.96%E -1.06%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -13.60%E -3.02%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-16 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -6.80%E -5.00%K -18.90%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -7.96%E -1.06%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -13.60%E -3.02%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-16 14:20
Unibet (NL)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -6.80%E -5.00%K -18.90%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -7.96%E -1.06%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -13.60%E -3.02%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-16 14:19
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -6.80%E -5.00%K -18.90%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -7.96%E -1.06%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -13.60%E -3.02%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-16 14:20
betPARX1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -6.80%E -5.00%K -18.90%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -7.96%E -1.06%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -13.60%E -3.02%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-16 14:19
Svenska Spel1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -6.80%E -5.00%K -18.90%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -7.96%E -1.06%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -13.60%E -3.02%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-16 14:20
ATG (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -6.80%E -5.00%K -18.90%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -7.96%E -1.06%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -13.60%E -3.02%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-16 14:21
LeoVegas1.35I 74.07%NM 67.26%EV -7.49%E -5.55%K -21.39%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV -7.96%E -1.06%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -15.52%E -3.53%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-18 08:50
LiveScore Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 67.26%EV -7.49%E -5.55%K -21.39%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV -7.96%E -1.06%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -15.52%E -3.53%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-18 08:50
Virgin Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 67.26%EV -7.49%E -5.55%K -21.39%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV -7.96%E -1.06%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -15.52%E -3.53%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-18 08:50
GTbets1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%EV -4.75%E -3.41%K -12.17%G +0.000%7.35I 13.61%NM 12.78%EV -9.80%E -1.33%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.79I 20.88%NM 19.62%EV -8.03%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-18 09:20
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 67.35%EV -4.06%E -2.90%K -10.15%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.01%EV -11.02%E -1.52%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.64%EV -7.84%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-18 09:20
Bovada1.36I 73.53%NM 68.25%EV -6.80%E -5.00%K -18.90%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.80%EV -11.02%E -1.52%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.94%EV -5.92%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-18 09:39
BetUS1.36I 73.53%NM 68.25%EV -6.80%E -5.00%K -18.90%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.80%EV -11.02%E -1.52%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.94%EV -5.92%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-18 09:40
Everygame1.33I 75.19%NM 68.33%EV -8.86%E -6.66%K -26.84%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.54%EV -11.02%E -1.52%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.13%EV -8.80%E -1.85%K -2.35%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-18 03:29
PlayUp1.36I 73.53%NM 66.52%EV -6.80%E -5.00%K -18.90%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.92%EV -14.09%E -2.01%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -15.52%E -3.53%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-18 09:41
betfred_uk1.36I 73.53%NM 66.30%EV -6.80%E -5.00%K -18.90%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.88%EV -14.09%E -2.01%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.82%EV -16.87%E -3.90%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-18 08:20
Betr (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 66.68%EV -7.49%E -5.55%K -21.39%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.86%EV -14.09%E -2.01%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.46%EV -15.52%E -3.53%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-18 09:20
SportsBet1.33I 75.19%NM 67.61%EV -8.86%E -6.66%K -26.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -14.09%E -2.01%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -11.68%E -2.54%K -3.24%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-18 09:20
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 67.31%EV -8.86%E -6.66%K -26.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -14.09%E -2.01%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -13.60%E -3.02%K -3.89%G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-18 09:20
PMU (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 67.20%EV -10.91%E -8.40%K -36.38%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.48%EV -14.09%E -2.01%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.32%EV -17.44%E -4.06%K -5.29%G +0.000%14.5%2026-06-18 08:50
Unibet (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 67.23%EV -9.54%E -7.23%K -29.82%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.05%EV -16.55%E -2.43%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -13.60%E -3.02%K -3.89%G +0.000%12.7%2026-06-18 09:30
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -8.86%E -6.66%K -26.84%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -20.23%E -3.11%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.86%EV -8.80%E -1.85%K -2.35%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-18 09:10
Neds1.36I 73.53%NM 65.86%EV -6.80%E -5.00%K -18.90%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -20.23%E -3.11%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -15.52%E -3.53%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-18 09:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 65.86%EV -6.80%E -5.00%K -18.90%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -20.23%E -3.11%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -15.52%E -3.53%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-18 09:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 65.86%EV -6.80%E -5.00%K -18.90%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -20.23%E -3.11%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -15.52%E -3.53%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-18 09:20
Coral1.36I 73.53%NM 65.86%EV -6.80%E -5.00%K -18.90%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -20.23%E -3.11%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -15.52%E -3.53%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-18 09:20
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 65.65%EV -6.80%E -5.00%K -18.90%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -20.23%E -3.11%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -16.87%E -3.90%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.0%2026-06-18 09:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 63.97%EV -10.91%E -8.40%K -36.38%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 13.86%EV -26.36%E -4.39%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.17%EV -28.00%E -7.47%K -10.18%G +0.000%20.3%2026-06-18 09:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.46%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.80%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74%0.7%2026-06-18 09:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.46%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.80%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74%0.7%2026-06-18 09:51
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.46%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.80%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74%0.7%2026-06-18 09:50
Matchbook1.41I 70.92%NM 70.46%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.80%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74%0.7%2026-06-18 09:51