StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Ukraine v Sweden

Matchstart: 2026-03-26 19:45 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

36 spelbolag (14 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Ukraine (Hemma)

Prognos 29.10%3.44rättvist odds
EV -1.05%
Fördel -0.308%
Kelly -0.437%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.40

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
28.63%29.13%29.12%30.29%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.103.193.203.4032.26%31.31%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Sweden (Borta)

Prognos 41.83%2.39rättvist odds
EV -2.54%
Fördel -1.09%
Kelly -1.91%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.33

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
40.65%41.80%41.78%42.48%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.152.262.252.3346.51%44.25%44.44%42.92%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 29.07%3.44rättvist odds
EV -1.17%
Fördel -0.345%
Kelly -0.489%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.40

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
27.46%29.08%29.10%29.68%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.103.233.243.4032.26%30.95%30.91%29.41%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Ukraine (Hemma): 29.10%; Sweden (Borta): 41.83%; Oavgjort: 29.07%. För Ukraine (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.44. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 3.40, med väntevärdet -1.05%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (36 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Coolbet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.63%EV -1.05%E -0.308%K -0.437%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.32%EV -3.79%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.05%EV -2.63%E -0.784%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-26 19:34
BetOnline.ag🎯3.37I 29.67%NM 28.68%EV -1.92%E -0.570%K -0.811%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.03%EV -3.79%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.29%EV -4.08%E -1.24%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-26 15:05
Pinnacle🎯3.33I 30.03%NM 29.05%EV -3.09%E -0.927%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.79%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.88%EV -2.63%E -0.784%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-26 19:30
Marathon Bet🎯3.32I 30.12%NM 29.09%EV -3.38%E -1.02%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.81%EV -3.37%E -1.46%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.09%EV -3.50%E -1.05%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-26 19:34
1xBet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.40%EV -3.96%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.64%EV -2.54%E -1.09%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.96%EV -2.63%E -0.784%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-26 19:34
ReBet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.11%EV -3.96%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -2.95%E -1.27%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.47%EV -5.24%E -1.61%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-26 18:49
DraftKings🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.11%EV -3.96%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.79%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.11%EV -4.08%E -1.24%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-26 19:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -5.41%E -1.67%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.12%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -4.08%E -1.24%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-26 14:55
Betway🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.41%E -1.67%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -6.99%E -2.18%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-26 18:55
Betclic (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -5.41%E -1.67%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.37%EV -7.97%E -3.62%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.95%EV -6.41%E -1.99%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-26 19:16
NordicBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -6.87%E -2.15%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.00%EV -2.95%E -1.27%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.27%EV -5.53%E -1.70%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 19:35
Betsson🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -6.87%E -2.15%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.00%EV -2.95%E -1.27%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.27%EV -5.53%E -1.70%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 19:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -6.87%E -2.15%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.79%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -6.99%E -2.18%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-26 14:00
Coral🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -6.87%E -2.15%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.79%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -6.99%E -2.18%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-26 13:59
FanDuel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -6.87%E -2.15%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -4.08%E -1.24%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-26 19:10
Bet Victor🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -6.87%E -2.15%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.53%E -1.70%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-26 19:38
Winamax (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -6.87%E -2.15%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.53%E -1.70%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-26 12:34
Bovada🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -6.87%E -2.15%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.45%EV -5.46%E -2.42%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -6.99%E -2.18%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-26 19:38
Betr (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.87%E -2.15%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.97%E -3.62%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.08%E -1.24%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-26 17:24
Paddy Power🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -6.87%E -2.15%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.97%E -3.62%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -5.53%E -1.70%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-26 19:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -3.79%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -8.44%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-26 13:59
Neds🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -3.79%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -8.44%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-26 13:59
TAB🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -6.99%E -2.18%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-26 19:24
NetBet (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.97%E -3.62%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -8.44%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-26 19:15
Winamax (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.97%E -3.62%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -8.44%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-26 12:34
Bet Right🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.47%EV -10.07%E -4.68%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -6.99%E -2.18%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-26 17:25
Dabble (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -9.78%E -3.15%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -3.79%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -5.53%E -1.70%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-26 19:35
Sky Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -9.78%E -3.15%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.97%E -3.62%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -1.17%E -0.345%K -0.489%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-26 19:10
Parions Sport (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.78%E -3.15%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.99%E -2.18%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-26 19:20
Unibet (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.78%E -3.15%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.99%E -2.18%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-26 19:19
PlayUp🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.78%E -3.15%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.99%E -2.18%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-26 19:40
SportsBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.78%E -3.15%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.97%E -3.62%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -5.53%E -1.70%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-26 19:10
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.78%E -3.15%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.89%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-26 19:35
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.78%E -3.15%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.89%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-26 19:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.78%E -3.15%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.89%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-26 19:35
888sport (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.78%E -3.15%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.89%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-26 19:34
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.74%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.58%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.68%0.4%2026-03-26 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.74%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.58%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.68%0.4%2026-03-26 19:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.73%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.21%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.06%0.4%2026-03-26 19:35
Smarkets3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.23%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.83%1.2%2026-03-26 19:35