La escuela de los momios

Ukraine v Sweden

Inicio: 2026-03-26 19:45 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

36 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Ukraine (Local)

Predicción 29.10%3.44momio equitativo
EV -1.05%
Ventaja -0.308%
Kelly -0.437%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.63%29.13%29.12%30.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.193.203.4032.26%31.31%31.25%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Sweden (Visitante)

Predicción 41.83%2.39momio equitativo
EV -2.54%
Ventaja -1.09%
Kelly -1.91%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.33

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.65%41.80%41.78%42.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.262.252.3346.51%44.25%44.44%42.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.07%3.44momio equitativo
EV -1.17%
Ventaja -0.345%
Kelly -0.489%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.46%29.08%29.10%29.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.233.243.4032.26%30.95%30.91%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (36 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet3.40I 29.41%NM 28.63%EV -1.05%E -0.308%K -0.437%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.32%EV -3.79%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.05%EV -2.63%E -0.784%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-26 19:34
BetOnline.ag3.37I 29.67%NM 28.68%EV -1.92%E -0.570%K -0.811%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.03%EV -3.79%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.29%EV -4.08%E -1.24%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-26 15:05
Pinnacle3.33I 30.03%NM 29.05%EV -3.09%E -0.927%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.79%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.88%EV -2.63%E -0.784%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-26 19:30
Marathon Bet3.32I 30.12%NM 29.09%EV -3.38%E -1.02%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.81%EV -3.37%E -1.46%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.09%EV -3.50%E -1.05%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-26 19:34
1xBet3.30I 30.30%NM 29.40%EV -3.96%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.64%EV -2.54%E -1.09%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.96%EV -2.63%E -0.784%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-26 19:34
ReBet3.30I 30.30%NM 29.11%EV -3.96%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -2.95%E -1.27%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.47%EV -5.24%E -1.61%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-26 18:49
DraftKings3.30I 30.30%NM 29.11%EV -3.96%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.79%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.11%EV -4.08%E -1.24%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-26 19:24
PointsBet (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -5.41%E -1.67%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.12%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -4.08%E -1.24%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-26 14:55
Betway3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.41%E -1.67%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -6.99%E -2.18%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-26 18:55
Betclic (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -5.41%E -1.67%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.37%EV -7.97%E -3.62%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.95%EV -6.41%E -1.99%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-26 19:16
NordicBet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -6.87%E -2.15%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.00%EV -2.95%E -1.27%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.27%EV -5.53%E -1.70%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 19:35
Betsson3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -6.87%E -2.15%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.00%EV -2.95%E -1.27%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.27%EV -5.53%E -1.70%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 19:35
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -6.87%E -2.15%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.79%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -6.99%E -2.18%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-26 14:00
Coral3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -6.87%E -2.15%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.79%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -6.99%E -2.18%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-26 13:59
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -6.87%E -2.15%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -4.08%E -1.24%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-26 19:10
Bet Victor3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -6.87%E -2.15%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.53%E -1.70%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-26 19:38
Winamax (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -6.87%E -2.15%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.53%E -1.70%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-26 12:34
Bovada3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -6.87%E -2.15%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.45%EV -5.46%E -2.42%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -6.99%E -2.18%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-26 19:38
Betr (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.87%E -2.15%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.97%E -3.62%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.08%E -1.24%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-26 17:24
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -6.87%E -2.15%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.97%E -3.62%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -5.53%E -1.70%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-26 19:09
Ladbrokes (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -3.79%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -8.44%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-26 13:59
Neds3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -3.79%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -8.44%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-26 13:59
TAB3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -6.99%E -2.18%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-26 19:24
NetBet (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.97%E -3.62%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -8.44%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-26 19:15
Winamax (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.97%E -3.62%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -8.44%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-26 12:34
Bet Right3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.47%EV -10.07%E -4.68%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -6.99%E -2.18%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-26 17:25
Dabble (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -9.78%E -3.15%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -3.79%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -5.53%E -1.70%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-26 19:35
Sky Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -9.78%E -3.15%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.97%E -3.62%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -1.17%E -0.345%K -0.489%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-26 19:10
Parions Sport (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.78%E -3.15%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.99%E -2.18%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-26 19:20
Unibet (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.78%E -3.15%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.99%E -2.18%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-26 19:19
PlayUp3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.78%E -3.15%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.99%E -2.18%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-26 19:40
SportsBet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.78%E -3.15%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.97%E -3.62%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -5.53%E -1.70%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-26 19:10
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.78%E -3.15%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.89%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-26 19:35
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.78%E -3.15%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.89%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-26 19:35
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.78%E -3.15%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.89%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-26 19:35
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.78%E -3.15%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.89%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-26 19:34
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.74%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.58%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.68%0.4%2026-03-26 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.74%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.58%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.68%0.4%2026-03-26 19:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.73%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.21%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.06%0.4%2026-03-26 19:35
Smarkets3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.23%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.83%1.2%2026-03-26 19:35